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  <channel>
      <title>Generational Dynamics: Analysis of Current Events</title>
      <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com</link>
      <description>Generational Dynamics: Analysis of Current Events</description>
      <ttl>120</ttl>
      <language>en-us</language>
      <copyright>Copyright (C) 2002-2020, John J. Xenakis</copyright>
      <webMaster>john@jxenakis.com (John J. Xenakis)</webMaster>
      <category>history</category>
      <category>finance</category>
      <category>current events</category>
      <category>clash of civilizations</category>

    <image>
        <title>Generational Dynamics: Analysis of Current Events</title>
        <description>Generational Dynamics: Analysis of Current Events</description>
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        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com</link>
        <width>144</width>
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        </image>
    <item>
      <title>

Artificial Intelligence and the Singularity by 2030

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.singularity151228.htm</link>
        <pubDate> 28 Dec 2015  00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

How AI is rapidly changing our lives

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.singularity151228</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Obamacare's Healthcare.gov -- The greatest software development disaster in history

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.hcgov150823.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Aug 2015 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Corruption, fraud and criminality in Healthcare.gov and Obamacare

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.hcgov150823</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Dysfunction, subversion, sabotage and fraud in software development projects

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.academic150823.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Aug 2015 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Information for academic researchers and software development
managers.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.academic150823</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

New Pentagon report outlines China's military buildup

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.china110828.htm</link>
        <pubDate> 28 Aug 2011  00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

China is preparing for war over Taiwan.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.china110828</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Financial Crisis Inquiry hearings provide 'smoking gun' evidence of widespread criminal fraud

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.smoking100414.htm</link>
        <pubDate> 14 Apr 2010  00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

What bankers claimed to have done is mathematically impossible.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.smoking100414</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Report from TARP Inspector: We're driving off a cliff in a faster car

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.sigtarp100201.htm</link>
        <pubDate> 1 Feb 2010  00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

We're headed for an even larger financial crisis.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.sigtarp100201</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

&quot;Shadow inventory&quot; of unsold homes continues to grow

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.housing091221.htm</link>
        <pubDate>21 Dec 2009 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Housing prices still have very far to fall.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.housing091221</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Generational Dynamics forecasting methodology

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.forecast090503.htm</link>
        <pubDate>3 May 2009 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

The methodology and tools used in generational theory to produce
forecasts and predictions

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.forecast090503</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

&quot;Maybe we'll get it right this time&quot; by Tom Mazanec

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.mazanec090309.htm</link>
        <pubDate>9 Mar 2009 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

In this science fiction story, a time traveler tries to prevent the
world war predicted by Generational Dynamics.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.mazanec090309</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

The economic outlook for 2009

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.outlook090105.htm</link>
        <pubDate>5 Jan 2009 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

How we got to where we are today, who's to blame, and where we're
going in 2009.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.outlook090105</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

The gathering storm in the Caucasus

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.caucasus080817.htm</link>
        <pubDate>17 Aug 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

The world is looking more and more like the prelude to World War I.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.caucasus080817</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

How Boomers and Generation-Xers brought about the dumbing down of
Information Technology (IT)

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.java080701.htm</link>
        <pubDate>1 Jul 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Software development has adopted a Java cookbook approach that leads
to project failures.  Also: How Digimarc Corp. self-destructed with
management's cookbook programming mentality.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.java080701</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Basics of Generational Dynamics

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.basics.htm</link>
        <pubDate>22 Jun 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Generational eras, archetypes, and other elements of generational
theory

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.basics</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Chinese embarrassment and anger grows over Tibet and Olympics

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.china080412.htm</link>
        <pubDate>12 Apr 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Some notes on the growing mutual xenophobia and paranoia between
China and the West.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.china080412</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

List of major Generational Dynamics predictions

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.predictions.htm</link>
        <pubDate>27 Mar 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

These are the major predictions posted on this web site since 2003,
using the generational forecasting methodology.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.predictions</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Cities and towns need to start helping themselves.

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.cities080302.htm</link>
        <pubDate>2 Mar 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Wracked by foreclosures and by the collapsing muncipal bond market,
cities and towns should start planning immediately.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.cities080302</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

A primer on financial engineering and structured finance

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.cdo080123.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Jan 2008 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

How financial engineers made a fortune creating worthless
mortgage-based securities.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.cdo080123</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

The Bubble that Broke the World

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.garrett071009.htm</link>
        <pubDate>9 Oct 2007 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

How a book written in 1931-32 tells us what's going to happen in
2008-2009.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.garrett071009</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

How to compute the &quot;real value&quot; of the stock market.

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.panic070820.htm</link>
        <pubDate>20 Aug 2007 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

And some additional speculations about stock market crashes.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.panic070820</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.iraq070401.htm</link>
        <pubDate>1 Apr 2007 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.iraq070401</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
System Dynamics and the Failure of Macroeconomics Theory

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.macro061025.htm</link>
        <pubDate>25 Oct 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Mainstream macroeconomic theory, invented by Maynard Keynes in the
1930s, has failed to predict or explain anything that's happened
since the bubble started, including the bubble itself.  We need a new
&quot;Dynamic Macroeconomics&quot; theory.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.macro061025</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

President George Bush talks about a &quot;Third Awakening,&quot; but
he has his history wrong

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.awakening060919.htm</link>
        <pubDate>19 Sep 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

It was America's 1960s Awakening that united Protestants, Catholics
and Jews, and cemented our support for Israel.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.awakening060919</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Washington becomes hysterical again over an Iraqi 'civil war'

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.060807iraqcivil.htm</link>
        <pubDate>7 Aug 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

A civil war in Iraq is impossible, as I've said many times, because
only one generation has passed since the Iran/Iraq war of the 1980s. 
Here's some additional historical information.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.060807iraqcivil</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Israel's war against Hizbollah and Lebanon forces Muslims to
choose sides

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.060724hizbollah.htm</link>
        <pubDate>25 Jul 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

The war is part of a larger Shi'ite-Sunni struggle, and a stopgap
ceasefire will create a worsening environment leading to a much more
chaotic situation within a few months

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.060724hizbollah</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

A beautiful mind? The world is paralyzed into a &quot;Nash
equilibrium&quot;

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.060717nash.htm</link>
        <pubDate>17 Jul 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Today, 61 years after the end of World War II, the countries of the
world are struggling to maintain a status quo that can't last
too much longer.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.060717nash</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Why aren't college students protesting against the Iraq war?

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.060601antiwar.htm</link>
        <pubDate>1 Jun 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Young students are criticized for being indifferent to politics,
while &quot;Grannies Against the War&quot; is truly bizarre.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.060601antiwar</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Speculations about a stock market panic and crash

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.060530panic.htm</link>
        <pubDate>31 May 2006 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Will there be a stock market panic next week, next month, or next
year, and will it lead to a crash?  We speculate on some possibilities.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.060530panic</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Ariel Sharon's political &quot;earthquake&quot;
in Israel signals change in direction for entire Mideast

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.051129ariel.htm</link>
        <pubDate>29 Nov 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

His aggressive program that began with the barrier and the Gaza
pullout is now likely to founder.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.051129ariel</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Ben S. Bernanke: The man without agony

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.051029bernanke.htm</link>
        <pubDate>29 Oct 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Bernanke and Greenspan are as different as night and day, despite
what the pundits say.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.051029bernanke</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Japanese and Chinese relations are deteriorating sharply

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.051023japan.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Oct 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Between China's search for oil and Koizumi's shrine visit,
the level of anger and suspicion is rising fast.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.051023japan</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Robert Pape's "Dying to Win" sheds light on
suicide bombers.

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.050718pape.htm</link>
        <pubDate>18 Jul 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Robert Pape's database of every suicide bombing and attack
around the world from 1980-2003 -- 315 attacks in all -- provides
valuable insight into the causes of suicide terrorism, and confirms
the Generational Dynamics' conclusions about crisis wars.


          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.050718pape</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

The 11% Solution: An article in Barron's says
the stock market is very overvalued

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.050711eleven.htm</link>
        <pubDate>11 Jul 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

New research by analyst Adam Barth finds that average earnings over
any 20-year period are surprisingly constant.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.050711eleven</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

The Great Depression and Dow Jones Industrial Average

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.djia.htm</link>
        <pubDate>7 2019 2021 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Scrolling through the DJIA through the Great Depression and later
gives a feeling as to what was happening, and how it compares to
what's happening today.
Updated 7-19-2021

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.djia</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

French rejection of EU Constitution signals decline
of entire European Union project

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.eu050601.htm</link>
        <pubDate>1 Jun 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Exit polls from Sunday's French EU Constitution vote show a clear
generational split that analysts aren't noticing.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.eu050601</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Increasing Muslim violence in Uzbekistan raises fears
of destabilizing Asia

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.uzbek050514.htm</link>
        <pubDate>14 May 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

After pro-Russian leaders have been replaced by Western-leaning ones
in Georgia, Ukraine, Kyrgyzstan, the Kremlin is watching the violence
in Uzbekistan nervously, and Washington is watching the Kremlin.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.uzbek050514</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Press Release: 
Mathematician solves problem puzzling historians for centuries

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.pr050422.htm</link>
        <pubDate>22 Apr 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Does history repeat itself?  Historians have tried and failed to
find provable patterns in history, but a mathematician has now
solved the problem that's stumped the historians for centuries.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.pr050422</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Fed and Alan Greenspan signal aggressive plans to
increase interest rates

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.fed050324.htm</link>
        <pubDate>24 Mar 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

This means trouble for people in debt and for the stock market, but it
also hints that the Fed plans to keep the dollar strong through
crisis periods

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.fed050324</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

North Korea continues mobilization for nuclear war

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.korea050210.htm</link>
        <pubDate>10 Feb 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Blaming "hostile" U.S. policies, North Korea pulls out of nuclear
non-proliferation talks, claiming that it already has nuclear weapons.
This is a classic sequence of events that precedes a pre-emptive war.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.korea050210</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Alan Greenspan warns that global economic dangers
are without historical precedent

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.greenspan050206.htm</link>
        <pubDate>6 Feb 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

In a speech on Friday, Greenspan buried a major change of position in
a speech admitting that his assumptions about the economy for the
last decade were wrong.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.greenspan050206</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

China appears to be approaching a major civil war

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.china050116.htm</link>
        <pubDate>16 Jan 2005 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Unrest is spreading, and economic disparities make China a textbook
case for a massive civil war in the making

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.china050116</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

A generational interpretation of Charles Dickens' "A Christmas
Carol"

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.dickens041205.htm</link>
        <pubDate>5 Dec 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Written in 1843, this classic novel depicts a clear generational
struggle

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.dickens041205</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Ukraine headed for a confrontation with Putin

          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.ukraine041128.htm</link>
        <pubDate>28 Nov 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

Ukraine is headed for trouble as it moves to reverse the 20-Nov
Presidential election.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.ukraine041128</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

The six most dangerous regions in the world today.
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.danger041120.htm</link>
        <pubDate>20 Nov 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>

There are six regions that could lead the world into a new world war.
NOTE:  This article also contains a lengthy summary of the
Generational Dynamics theory and Forecasting Methodology.

          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.danger041120</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>

Election results show a major cultural and political restructuring
in the making.
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.election041103.htm</link>
        <pubDate>3 Nov 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
In the long run, George Bush's victory is less important than the
reasons why people voted for him.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.election041103</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Unrealistic expectations worldwide about the American election are
setting the stage for hostile reactions next year
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.big041024.htm</link>
        <pubDate>24 Oct 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Will "something big" happen to America in 2005?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.big041024</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Ten-nation survey says that non-Americans worldwide
overwhelmingly favor Kerry over Bush
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.bush041023.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Oct 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
However, Russia and Israel support Bush; so do Iran's mullahs
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.bush041023</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Can we withdraw from Iraq in 2005?
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.iraq041016.htm</link>
        <pubDate>16 Oct 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Suddenly the Washington buzz is that whoever wins - Bush or Kerry -
will begin to withdraw American troops from Iraq.  We look at two
historical examples to predict scenarios.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.iraq041016</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Yield curves are flattening as Federal Reserve
raises short term interest rates
significantly
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.fed040921.htm</link>
        <pubDate>21 Sep 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Long-term interest rates are falling while short-term interest rates
are rising, a sign of possible trouble ahead.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.fed040921</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
On September 11, terrorism around the world is increasing
significantly
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.world040911.htm</link>
        <pubDate>11 Sep 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Infuriated and anxious people around the world are demanding military
actions to halt or even avenge terrorism
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.world040911</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Does history favor George Bush or John Kerry?
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.bush040824.htm</link>
        <pubDate>24 Aug 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Long-term historical trends favor Bush, but Kerry may win anyway
because Bush is in danger of being 'Hooverized'
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.bush040824</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Southeast Asian nations are forced to pick sides in the
conflict between China and Taiwan
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.taiwan040823.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Aug 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Singapore will support China and Australia will support Taiwan in a
conflict between China and Taiwan.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.taiwan040823</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Today's slow-motion genocide in Darfur recalls the lightning quick
genocide in Rwanda in 1994
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.africa040822.htm</link>
        <pubDate>22 Aug 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Why do these things always seem to happen in Africa?  Understanding
Africa's geography explains why.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.africa040822</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Oil prices spiking on supply fears
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.oilpeak040803.htm</link>
        <pubDate>3 Aug 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
There is increasing concern that Saudi Arabia's oil production is
peaking, and that prices will rise significantly farther.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.oilpeak040803</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Arab views worldwide are becoming increasingly hostile
to America
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.zogby040726.htm</link>
        <pubDate>26 Jul 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Arab view of America is down to about 10% favorable, 90% unfavorable.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.zogby040726</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Kerry establishes an electoral lead going into the
Democratic convention.
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.kerry040725.htm</link>
        <pubDate>25 Jul 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
He's tuned his message to what I suggested last year.  Do you suppose
he read my web site?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.kerry040725</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Generational crisis for Arafat as thousands take to
streets in revolt in Gaza
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.mideast040719.htm</link>
        <pubDate>19 Jul 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Arafat's offices burned down, as he seeks a way to prevent civil war
among Palestinian factions
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.mideast040719</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
"I, Robot" is science fiction, but intelligent
computers will soon be science fact.
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.robot040709.htm</link>
        <pubDate>9 Jul 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
When will it dawn on the politicians and the general public that
this changes everything?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.robot040709</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Alan Greenspan's Mixed Emotions
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.greenspan040706.htm</link>
        <pubDate>6 Jul 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
More and more top analysts are getting concerned about extremely high
debt levels and stock valuations.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.greenspan040706</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Operation Summer Pulse 04
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.taiwan040706.htm</link>
        <pubDate>6 Jul 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Taiwan is moving inexorably towards independence, and America is
supporting it, while China is freaking out over it.  Will this lead
to an inevitable war over Taiwan?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.taiwan040706</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Green Revolution vs Malthus Effect
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.food040628.htm</link>
        <pubDate>28 Jun 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Despite the &quot;Green Revolution,&quot; world population continues to grow
faster than food production.  This is one of the fundamental reasons
why wars occur.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.food040628</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Beheadings part of increasing conflict level
throughout Mideast
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.mideast040623.htm</link>
        <pubDate>23 Jun 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
The level of conflict is increasing throughout the Mideast, from Gaza
to Pakistan, from Saudi Arabia to Uzbekistan.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.mideast040623</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Stock market increasingly volatile
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.stocks040517.htm</link>
        <pubDate>17 May 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Sharp plunges in international stock markets portend periods of
increasingly high volatility.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.stocks040517</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised)
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.sixties040501.htm</link>
        <pubDate>8 May 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student
demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil
war and harsh rhetoric.  That's much more than a coincidence.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.sixties040501</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Taiwan's Wild Election Battle
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.taiwan040411.htm</link>
        <pubDate>11 Apr 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Taiwan's election battle is even wilder and more raucous than the
Bush-Gore election battle in 2000.  Its uncertain outcome is causing
massive protests.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.taiwan040411</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
What Iraqi Civil War?
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.iraq040409.htm</link>
        <pubDate>09 Apr 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Early in 2003, I predicted that there would be no popular uprising
against the Americans, and that there would be no civil war.  After
the overthrow of Saddam, I said that an Iraqi civil war was
impossible.  Despite the
constant near-hysteria of the politicians, journalists and
high-priced analysts, I've been right so far.  Here's why.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.iraq040409</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Palestinian Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, spiritual leader of
the Hamas militia group, killed in Israeli air strike
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.hamas040321.htm</link>
        <pubDate>21 Mar 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Generational Dynamics says that this brings Mideast much closer to
all-out war
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.hamas040321</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Madrid terrorist bombings are having unexpected
significance
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.madrid040315.htm</link>
        <pubDate>15 Mar 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
The 3/11 bombings may have the same effect on Europeans that the 9/11
attacks had on Americans.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.madrid040315</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Haiti: Heading for possible rebellion and anarchy
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.haiti040304.htm</link>
        <pubDate>4 Mar 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
A historical analysis of a potential crisis.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.haiti040304</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Anti-Shi'ite Terror Attacks in Iraq, Pakistan
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.bombings040302.htm</link>
        <pubDate>2 Mar 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
So far, Sunni and Shi'ite leaders in Iraq aren't taking the bait.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.bombings040302</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
The New Sexual Revolution
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.sexrev040227.htm</link>
        <pubDate>27 Feb 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
The pendulum is swinging back.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.sexrev040227</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Alan Greenspan's Mea Culpa
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.greenspan040108.htm</link>
        <pubDate>08 Jan 2004 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Alan Greenspan has put his legacy into serious danger
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.greenspan040108</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Georgia (Asia) on the brink of civil war
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.nov15.htm</link>
        <pubDate>15 Nov 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Georgian President Eduard Shevardnadze says that the country is on
the verge of civil war.  This could be the next war in the "clash of
civilizations" between Islam and Christianity.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.nov15</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
"Ping-Pong Terrorism" in Mideast leading
inevitably to major regional war
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.oct10.htm</link>
        <pubDate>10 Oct 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Even non-violent acts are seen as terrorism by the other side, and the
intensity of the mutual attacks is constantly increasing.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.oct10</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Schwarzenegger's victory could spell trouble for
Bush
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.oct08.htm</link>
        <pubDate>8 Oct 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
It also signals the end of the societal culture / gender wars.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.oct08</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
What if Al Gore were President?
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.sep26.htm</link>
        <pubDate>26 Sep 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Both Republicans and Democrats are making important strategic errors
in the battle for the White House in 2004.  Here's what they
SHOULD be saying.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.sep26</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Is China unraveling?
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.sep10.htm</link>
        <pubDate>10 Sep 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Should you invest in the world's fastest growing economy?
Analysts say yes, but
there are ominous generational signs of financial and social
instability in China.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.sep10</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Hamas Announces End of Cease-Fire
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.aug21.htm</link>
        <pubDate>21 Aug 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Can Ariel Sharon and Yasser Arafat once more
fend off a large regional war?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.aug21</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Terrorist suicide bombings in Iraq may backfire
against terrorists
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.aug19.htm</link>
        <pubDate>19 Aug 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
During an awakening period, terrorist acts cause masses of people to
shrink from more violence.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.aug19</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Riots in Iran
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.jun25.htm</link>
        <pubDate>25 Jun 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs? 
Generational Dynamics says 'No.'
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.jun25</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Dow Passes 9000 / Mideast Peace Plan Takes Off
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.jun04.htm</link>
        <pubDate>04 Jun 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
This is a big test for Generational Dynamics, which predicts that
the good news won't last.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.jun04</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
&quot;Mideast Roadmap&quot; - Will it bring peace?
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.may01.htm</link>
        <pubDate>01 May 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Generational Dynamics predicts something quite different for the
Mideast.
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.may01</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
France and Germany
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.frangerm.htm</link>
        <pubDate>15 Feb 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Why are they becoming anti-American?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.frangerm</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
The Anti-War Movement
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.antiwar.htm</link>
        <pubDate>15 Feb 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Will it gain traction?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.antiwar</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
North and South Korea
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.korea.htm</link>
        <pubDate>22 Jan 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Will the North Koreans start a nuclear war?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.korea</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Turkey
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.turkey.htm</link>
        <pubDate>24 Mar 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Turkey has been rebuffing America.  What are they up to?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.turkey</guid>
        </item>
    <item>
      <title>
Japan
          </title>
        <link>http://www.GenerationalDynamics.com/pg/ww2010.i.japan.htm</link>
        <pubDate>26 Mar 2003 00:00:00 EST</pubDate>
      <description>
Is Japan's economy finally near collapse?
          </description>
        <guid>http://GenerationalDynamics.com/cgi-bin/D.PL?d=ww2010.i.japan</guid>
        </item>

      </channel>
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