Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7514
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Thu May 02, 2024 11:27 am
Remarks by Governor Ben S. Bernanke
Before the National Economists Club, Washington, D.C.

November 21, 2002

Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here

A broad-based tax cut, for example, accommodated by a program of open-market purchases to alleviate any tendency for interest rates to increase, would almost certainly be an effective stimulant to consumption and hence to prices. Even if households decided not to increase consumption but instead re-balanced their portfolios by using their extra cash to acquire real and financial assets, the resulting increase in asset values would lower the cost of capital and improve the balance sheet positions of potential borrowers.
Image

https://www.niskanencenter.org/how-frag ... -recovery/
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Guest

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Guest »

It's hard to know what causes a cycle, even in retrospect. Interesting to speculate, though. Was the Federal Reserve successful in prolonging this boom? Perhaps we will never know for sure.

Guest

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Guest »

There was this thing known as the Greenspan put.

Market commentors noticed a pattern during Alan Greenspan's tenure as Fed chair from 1987 to 2006. The Fed, it appeared to some, had developed a policy of bailing out stock investors by injecting liquidity into the economy amid large stock market declines. This perceived tendency came to be called the "Greenspan put."

Bernanke said in the film that he would continue the policies of Greenspan and he did in a big way.

Guest

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Guest »

Guest wrote:
Fri May 03, 2024 3:34 pm
There was this thing known as the Greenspan put.

Market commentors noticed a pattern during Alan Greenspan's tenure as Fed chair from 1987 to 2006. The Fed, it appeared to some, had developed a policy of bailing out stock investors by injecting liquidity into the economy amid large stock market declines. This perceived tendency came to be called the "Greenspan put."

Bernanke said in the film that he would continue the policies of Greenspan and he did in a big way.
Greenspan dug our grave, but he had help.

JCP

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7514
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

These charts cover both the Greenspan and Bernanke eras. Though Bernanke's policies seemed more extreme, the outcome was about the same.

I suppose if the average worker bought a house a long time ago he did OK too.

Image

Image
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7514
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Mon May 06, 2024 11:25 am
I suppose if the average worker bought a house a long time ago he did OK too.
Provided it was in the "right" neighborhood. Old Economy Steve meme.

Image

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2013/05 ... steve.html
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Higgenbotham
Posts: 7514
Joined: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:28 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Higgenbotham »

During the Greenspan era, it was thought by some that blowing a generational bubble was OK because it would give the new technologies time to be commercialized and there would be some long term benefit to getting the internet companies established, then popping the bubble to revert everything back to the mean while the strongest internet companies survived and the US took the lead. In the early 2000s that thinking seemed to change and the US lost its way is my version of what happened. But before I go any further I will try to dig up some evidence for the first sentence.
While the periphery breaks down rather slowly at first, the capital cities of the hegemon should collapse suddenly and violently.

Guest

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Guest »

Higgenbotham wrote:
Mon May 06, 2024 4:40 pm
During the Greenspan era, it was thought by some that blowing a generational bubble was OK because it would give the new technologies time to be commercialized and there would be some long term benefit to getting the internet companies established, then popping the bubble to revert everything back to the mean while the strongest internet companies survived and the US took the lead. In the early 2000s that thinking seemed to change and the US lost its way is my version of what happened. But before I go any further I will try to dig up some evidence for the first sentence.
The reality is that Greenspan really didn't know what he was doing.

He lost his way when he abandoned the gold standard.

aeden
Posts: 12572
Joined: Sat Jul 31, 2010 12:34 pm

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by aeden »

She had to retire as the mental patients damned well have beat her more than once.
Her knee was blown out and was forced to retire damn near crippled.
These damned fools have no clue what is coming from these drug addled ssri animals growing like a petri dish of the demonic damned.
Ruled by fools ignored by useful idiots as the cheerful idiot taxpayers just end up homeless.
The effort underway for the remaining sane community is a respite area for Parents barely hanging on with issues we deal with
since these liberals would drown in as a rainstorm looking up.

Marxism the road to Hell.
Moleks you worship in the sprint to eternal separation from your Creator.

Guest

Re: Higgenbotham's Dark Age Hovel

Post by Guest »

Guest wrote:
Tue May 07, 2024 1:31 am
Higgenbotham wrote:
Mon May 06, 2024 4:40 pm
During the Greenspan era, it was thought by some that blowing a generational bubble was OK because it would give the new technologies time to be commercialized and there would be some long term benefit to getting the internet companies established, then popping the bubble to revert everything back to the mean while the strongest internet companies survived and the US took the lead. In the early 2000s that thinking seemed to change and the US lost its way is my version of what happened. But before I go any further I will try to dig up some evidence for the first sentence.
The reality is that Greenspan really didn't know what he was doing.

He lost his way when he abandoned the gold standard.
Roosevelt took the US off the gold standard in 1933.

https://www.history.com/this-day-in-his ... d-standard

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 9 guests