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8-May-12 World View -- Putin becomes president of Russia again, facing harsh new challenges



Greece may face new elections within weeks

** 8-May-12 World View -- Putin becomes president of Russia again, facing harsh new challenges
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 08#e120508



Content:
Vladimir Putin becomes President of Russia again
Russian police in Moscow arrest hundreds of protesters
Putin's rule in Russia faces harsh new challenges
Greece may have new elections if government formation fails
France's Hollande to meet with Germany's Merkel


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Russia, Vladimir Putin, Dmitry Medvedev,
Dagestan, Sochi, Winter Olympics 2014, Greece,
Antonis Samaras, Alexis Tsipras, François Hollande, France,
Germany, Angela Merkel

I would expect Greece to take a similar path to France. Even the efforts at austerity that the European countries are making now are quite unpopular and I don't expect them to last much longer. Merkel openly favored Sarcozy and Hollande spoke out against their agreement, which could make things pretty interesting for France-Germany relations.

A question: how would we have fought WWII if it was a non-crisis war for us? Say we were on the WWI timeline, the previous crisis ending around 1925, with the U.S. just beginning its awakening period. How would we have fought it under those circumstances?

John in light of recent events in Europe such as the following comments, and the marching song, do you think maybe it is time to change Europe from green to yellow on your conflict risk level chart?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=en ... hqszvljRtw

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E4AXJx3I ... r_embedded

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AtwUEBe1 ... re=related

Dear Trevor,

Trevor wrote: > A question: how would we have fought WWII if it was a non-crisis
> war for us? Say we were on the WWI timeline, the previous crisis
> ending around 1925, with the U.S. just beginning its awakening
> period. How would we have fought it under those circumstances?

Well, it's always difficult to discuss counterfactuals, because often
the counterfactual assumptions could not have occurred, and once you
assume something impossible, then you can draw any conclusions you
want.

The best way to try to answer this question is to look at how America
fought other non-crisis wars -- Spanish-American war, WW I, Korean
War, Vietnam War, Iraq War -- and try to apply those behaviors to
Americans in WW II.

John

Dear Gerald,

gerald wrote: John in light of recent events in Europe such as the following
comments, and the marching song, do you think maybe it is time to
change Europe from green to yellow on your conflict risk level
chart?

This is something I've been debating for months. I'm going to wait
until something military happens before making the change.

John

So in other words Europe goes from green to red?

gerald wrote:So in other words Europe goes from green to red?

Not necessarily. There might be some minor border flareup that
will raise tensions, in which case Europe will go from
Green to Yellow.

Or there might be a political rise of some Hitler-like figure in
one of the 27 countries.

John

So, as long as the blood is not flowing to bad it is OK?

gerald wrote:So, as long as the blood is not flowing to bad it is OK?

There's blood flowing in every town and country in the world.
What's your point?

Sorry, I guess the question should be the volume of blood. Blood flows every day, but at what point does it become a torrent for change.