21-Jul-12 World View -- Syrian refugees pour across borders

Discussion of Web Log and Analysis topics from the Generational Dynamics web site.
John
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Location: Cambridge, MA USA
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21-Jul-12 World View -- Syrian refugees pour across borders

Post by John »

21-Jul-12 World View -- Tens of thousands of Syrian refugees pour into neighboring countries


China to deploy a military garrison in South China Sea

** 21-Jul-12 World View -- Tens of thousands of Syrian refugees pour into neighboring countries
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 21#e120721




Contents:
Tens of thousands of Syrian refugees pour into neighboring countries
Vitriolic U.N. meeting continues with 30-day extension of Kofi Annan plan
Spain's euro crisis continues to worsen, even as bailout is approved
Anti-austerity riots turn violent across Spain
China to deploy a military garrison in South China Sea


Keys:
Generational Dynamics, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan, Iraq, Turkey,
Armenia, Palestinians, Peter Turchin, population dynamics,
United Nations Security Council, Russia, China,
Kofi Annan, UNSMIS, Spain, EuroGroup, Valencia, Cristobal Montoro

Trevor
Posts: 1209
Joined: Tue Nov 15, 2011 7:43 am

Re: 21-Jul-12 World View -- Syrian refugees pour across bord

Post by Trevor »

Well, based on the news, most people are expecting this war to continue even if Assad stands down. Course, I don't think that will be for a while yet and since he's getting desperate, there's no telling just what he's going to do.

Speaking of the Arab Spring, one thing I'm trying to figure out is Yemen's timeline. There's nothing in this current uprising to suggest a crisis war. I fail to see any kind of explosive climax or major structural change that would indicate that. If anything, this looks to be like an awakening era climax, with the younger generations forcing Yaleh to stand down. I think the crisis war might be the North Yemen Civil War in the 1960's, but this is going to require a lot more research.

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