Southgate via boqueronman wrote:
> During the second half of the twentieth century, human numbers and
> food demand grew at an unprecedented pace, yet food supplies
> increased even faster.
This is true, but totally irrelevant. I've written about this
subject many times over the years
The Green Revolution was wonderful, but it petered out in the 1990s.
The innovations that the Silent Generation implemented in the 1960s
were great, but the Boomers and Generation-Xers came to power in the
1990s have let everything slide. The farmland in India that responded
well to fertilizers and insecticides in the 1960s are now saturated
and unresponsive (Law of Diminishing Returns). The equipment that was
so modern in the 1960s and 1970s is broken down today. The Green
Revolution is over.
It's only since the year 2000 that the Malthus Effect (my name for the
phenomenon that population grows faster than the food supply) has
really taken effect. Any statistics from years prior to 2000 are
irrelevant.
Southgate via boqueronman wrote:
> Demographic expansion is now slackening, due to dramatic
> reductions in human fertility in Asia, Latin America, and other
> parts of the world.
This is a weird United Nations fantasy which they use to justify
their fund raising appeals.
I posted the following table a while ago, but it's worth repeating:
Population Growth Rate
Western countries:
United States 0.97%
United Kingdom 0.28%
France 0.53%
Germany -0.06%
Israel 1.63%
Spain 0.05%
South Africa -0.05%
Japan -0.24%
Other non-Muslim countries:
Russia -0.47%
Vietnam 1.10%
China 0.49%
Thailand 0.60%
India 1.38%
Mongolia 1.50%
Korea, North 0.39%
Korea, South 0.26%
Iran 0.94% (Shia Muslim)
Sunni Muslim (especially Arab) countries:
Indonesia 1.10%
Uzbekistan 0.94%
Turkmenistan 1.14%
Syria 1.95%
Saudi Arabia 1.75%
Iraq 2.45%
Libya 2.12%
Egypt 2.00%
West Bank 2.13%
Gaza Strip 3.29%
Pakistan 1.51%
Kuwait 3.50%
United Arab Emirates 3.56%
Yemen 2.71%
https://www.cia.gov/library/publication ... 2rank.html
Note: For comparison purposes, my rough calculation is that the food
supply has a growth rate of about 0.96%.
The imbalances in population growth in Sunni Muslim countries will
have the effect of food shortages because of distribution issues. Even
if there's enough food in the world to feed everyone, it's meaningless
unless the food can be distributed to everyone, and that's
becoming more and more difficult.
** UN expert calls biofuels a 'crime against humanity'
** http://www.generationaldynamics.com/cgi ... 07#e071107
boqueronman wrote:
> 4. As I have said before every single regional/national famine in
> the post WWII world (see particularly Mao's China, Ethiopia, and
> Mozambique) has been caused by governmental interference in
> markets.
And as I've said before, the Malthus Effect does not cause famines.
It causes wars, and there have been plenty of those.
boqueronman wrote:
> Now since it's clear that any implication that the world's
> population is growing faster than the food supply has been
> falsified,
Bullshit.
John