Just to come back on the "Generational Theory"
How could generations fight in Egypt if they agree AND if army is on the same side as the protesters (because they belong to the same generation)?
Who could fight who?
Your wrote that Egypt was deep in the Crisis Era:
-1- Do you refer at 1922, the end of the Ottoman empire
-2- If they are deep in the Crisis Era there should be (I think) 2 movements ready to fight, and what I see today is a big mess but without any people having the desire to fight. Where is the "Border line", the point of possible internal clash??
Then I consider that a risk for us on the West is IF Egypt moves to a radical Islam (as you wrote this is a very different point as the problem with the Mulsim Brotherood) and I also refer to:
http://bigpeace.com/abostom/2011/01/29/ ... ct-sharia/
Tunisia shouldn't but Egypt could (as long as the news I personaly have from Egypt are correct).
I'm not so sure that the army would accept that, but army could perfectly split in 2 parts (on a theoritical point of view).
Thank you for your point of view and the point of view of anyone who lives in Egypt OR was living a short time ago in Egypt