Generational Dynamics: Forecasting America's Destiny Generational
Dynamics
 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

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These pages contain the complete manuscript of the new book Generational Dynamics: Forecasting America's Destiny, written by John J. Xenakis. This text is fully copyrighted. You may copy or print out this material for your own use, but not for distribution to others.
Comments are invited. Send them to mailto:comments@generationaldynamics.com.

Appendix -- List of Crisis Periods

Table of Contents

Site Home

Book Home

Preface

Chapter 1 -- Basics and Some Myths about War

Chapter 2 -- American History

Chapter 3 -- The Principle of Localization I

Chapter 4 -- The Principle of Localization II

Chapter 5 -- Leo Tolstoy's War and Peace

Chapter 6 -- Another Great Depression?

Chapter 7 -- Great Awakenings in World History

Chapter 8 -- History of Western Europe

Chapter 9 -- Islam versus Orthodox Christianity

Chapter 10 -- History of Asia

Chapter 11 -- Trend Forecasting

Chapter 12 -- The Next Century

Chapter 13 -- America's Manifest Destiny and You

Appendix -- List of Crisis Periods

Bibliography

End Notes

Concept Index

Colophon

Book Cover

Distinguishing between crisis wars and mid-cycle wars is crucial to the theory underlying Generational Dynamics. This list of criteria is given in chapter 4 (page [localization2#84]) and illustrated by detailed examples in chapters 4 and 5.

The following list summarizes all the generational timelines described in this book, focusing on the crisis periods. In some cases, dates can't be identified with absolute precision, but this is not important to Generational Dynamics, as long as the crisis period is identified to within a few years. In some cases, the dates given below identify only the crisis war; in other cases, the dates include the preceding financial crisis period. This represents an annoying lack of precision that can be corrected with more detailed study of the historical period in question, but is not crucial to the success of Generational Dynamics.

>   Chapter 2 - American History
>       America from Plymouth Rock, 1620
>           King Philip's War, 1675-1678
>           Revolutionary War, 1772-1790
>           Civil War, 1857-1870
>           Great Depression + World War II, 1929-1945
 
>   Chapter 7 - Great Awakenings in History
>       Golden Age of Greece, 5th century BC
>           Persian Wars, 510-478 BC
>           Peloponnesian War, 431-404 BC
>           Macedonian conquest, 359-338 BC
>       Life of Jesus, 1st century AD
>           King Herod's Reign of Terror, 40-4 BC
>           Roman massacre of Jerusalem, 66-71
>       Life of Mohammed, 7th century AD
>           War involving Jews, Christians, pagans, 580s
>           Muslim civil war, 656-660s
 
>   Chapter 8 - History of Western Europe
>       Medieval Spain from 1300s
>           Spain's Anti-Jewish Pogroms of the 1390s
>           The Spanish Inquisition and the Reconquest -- 1480s-1490s
>           Destruction of Spanish Armada, 1588
>       Medieval England from Norman Conquest, 1066
>           The Norman Conquest, 1066
>           Civil War, 1135-54
>           War with Normandy and Magna Carta, 1204-15
>           Civil war and war with Wales, 1264-1282
>           Hundred Years' War begins, 1337-47
>           Civil war and Welsh Revolt, 1386-1409
>           Wars of the Roses, 1455-85
>           War with Spain, 1559-88
>           Britain's Great Civil War, 1638-60
>       Western Europe from 1500s
>           Regional religious wars, 1500s
>           Thirty Years' War, 1618-48
>           War of Spanish Succession, 1701-14
>           French Revolution and Napoleonic Wars, 1789-1815
>           Wars of German Reunification, 1860-1871
>           World War II, 1937-1945
 
>   Chapter 9 - Islam versus Orthodox Christianity
>       Russia, from fall of Constantinople, 1453
>           Livonian War, 1557-82
>           Peasant Rebellions and Church Schism, 1649-70
>           War with Ottomans and Pugachev's Rebellion, 1762-83
>           Crimean War and Emancipation Edict, 1853-61
>           Bolshevik Revolution, 1905-1927
>       Ottoman Empire, from conquest of Istanbul, 1453
>           War with the Holy League, 1683-99
>           War with Russia, 1768-74
>           Crimean War, 1853-56
>           Young Turk Revolution to Destruction of Empire, 1908-22
 
>   Chapter 10 - History of Asia
>       China, from White Lotus Rebellion, 1796
>           The White Lotus Rebellion - 1796-1805
>           The Taiping Rebellion, 1851-64
>           Mao's Long March to Great Leap Forward, 1932-1960
>       Japan from Commodore Perry and the Meiji Restoration, 1853-68
>           Commodore Perry and the Meiji Restoration, 1853-68
>           World War II, 1931-1945
>       Southeast Asia, from French Indochina, 1880s-90s
>           French Indochina - France versus China, 1880s-90s
>           War with America, Cambodian genocide, 1960-1976

Copyright © 2002-2016 by John J. Xenakis.