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 | A brief trip around the world 
 
 
 with particular attention to the world's exotic trouble
spots
 
 
 
 
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 |  Earth|  |  | 
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 | Crisis Wars vs Mid-Cycle (interim) Wars 
 
 
|   | Crisis Wars |  
| - | Balkan War - early 1990s |  
| - | Cambodian killing fields - 1970s |  
 
|   | Mid-Cycle Wars |  | 
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 | Crisis Wars vs Mid-Cycle (interim) Wars 
 
 
|   | Crisis War Characteristics |  
| - | Visceral cause - fury, fear that nation in danger |  
| - | High energy: preparation, pursuit, revenge |  
| - | Bottom-up - effort driven by the people |  
| - | Minor anti-war (pacifist) movement |  
| - | Targeting civilians - genocidal |  
| - | Outcome: Major political, structural, boundary changes |  
 
|   | Mid-cycle War Characteristics |  
| - | Low energy: surprise, defense, revanche |  
| - | Top-down - Effort driven by the political leaders |  
| - | Dominant anti-war (pacifist) movement |  
| - | Political protection of civilians |  
| - | Outcome: Little real change; "Internal revolution" |  
 
|   | Sex and Genocidal Crisis Wars |  
| - | Both are essential to survival of the fittest |  
| - | Sex increases population, 	genocidal war selectively reduces population |  | 
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 | Western and Eastern European Timelines 
 
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 |  Crisis war timelines for Western 	Europe and for Orthodox Christianity vs Muslim Civilizations|  |  | 
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 | Iraq 
 
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 |  Iraq|  |  | 
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|   | From 'austerity' to 'awakening' |  
| - | Only one generation past Iran/Iraq war, 1980s |  
| - | Civil war is almost impossible (99%) |  
 
 
|   | Terrorist acts |  
| - | Actions of individuals and small groups |  
| - | Possible 'Tet offensive' near June 30 |  
 
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 |  Periods in cycle - #years approximate|  |  | 
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 | Iran 
 
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 |  Iran|  |  | 
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|   | Like Iraq - Only one generation past                      Iran/Iran war, 1980s |  
 
 
|   | Pro-American riots and demonstrations since 1999 -                 overthrow mullahs? |  
 
 
|   | Is Iran developing nuclear weapons? |  | 
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 | Mideast 
 
 
|   | Palestinian Arabs vs Iraqi Muslims |  
| - | "If provoked they'll start a war, but if we're careful they won't" |  
| - | Different places in generational cycle |  
 
|   | Recent history |  
| - | Ariel Sharon versus Yasser Arafat |  
 
|   | From 'unraveling' to 'crisis' |  
| - | Sharon's Disengagement - Wall |  
| - | Assassination of Hamas leader Sheikh Ahmed Yassin |  
| - | Suicide bombings as moderation |  
| - | Regional war almost mathematically certain (99%) |  
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 |  Periods in cycle - #years approximate|  |  | 
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 | Haiti 
 
 
|   | Early history of Haiti |  
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 |  French-oriented Haiti occupies about 1/3 of 	the island of Hispaniola,    not far from Florida, and the 	Spanish-oriented Dominican Republic occupies 2/3.|  |  | 
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| - | 1492 - Christopher Columbus discovers Hispaniola |  
| - | 1700s - Wealthy French colony - 500K slaves |  
 
|   | Market-dominant minority vs majority |  
| - | French-speaking light-skinned mulattos, mixed blood |  
| - | Creole-speaking blacks (noirs) - 95% of pop |  
 
|   | Massacres in twentieth century |  
| - | 1915 - Crisis civil war |  
| - | 1915-34 - American occupation |  
| - | 1937 - Massacre by Dominican Republic's Trujilo |  
| - | 1960s - Massacre by Dr. Francois Duvalier |  
 
|   | Today's crisis period - 1992 to present |  
| - | Malthus effect - food becomes more expensive |  
| - | War postponed by money infusion |  
| - | Analyst predictions: Occupation for 20 years |  | 
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 | Korea 
 
| 
 |  North and South Korea|  |  | 
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|   | Korean vs German Unification |  
| - | Both partitioned after World War II |  
| - | Different places in generational cycle |  
| - | Korean war (1950-53) armistice after stalemate |  
 
|   | Impending reunification war |  
| - | Kim Jong-il: "Embargo means war" |  
| - | South Korean youth: Blaming America for partitioning |  | 
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 | Japan 
 
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 |  Japan|  |  | 
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|   | 1853-68 - Commodore Perry to Meiji Restoration |  
| - | Change in national character ('national lobotomy') |  
| - | 1894-1910 - Imperialist wars with China and Russia |  
| - | Won Taiwan, Korea, southern Manchuria |  
 
|   | 1930-45 - World War II |  
| - | 1930 - Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act |  
| - | 1931 - Invade Manchuria |  
| - | US / League of Nations oil embargo |  
| - | 1941 - Bombs Pearl Harbor |  
| - | Becomes pacifist nation |  | 
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 | China 
 
| 
 |  China|  |  | 
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|   | History of rebellions |  
| - | 1796 - White Lotus Rebellion |  
| - | 1851-71 - Taiping Rebellion and others |  
| - | Population: 410 million to 350 million |  
| - | 1934-49 - Mao's Long March, crisis civil war |  
| - | 1949 - Chiang Kai-shek flees to Taiwan |  
 
|   | The Miserable Generation ('Baby boomers') |  
| - | 1950s -- All lawyers executed |  
| - | 1958-60 Great Leap Forward - 10s M deaths |  
| - | 1966-76 Cultural Revolution - indoctrination |  
 
|   | Awakening to Unraveling |  
| - | 1989 - Tiananmen Square massacre |  
| - | 1992 - Birth of Falun Gong |  
| - | 2000 - Over 100 million adherents of Falun Gong |  
 
|   | Unraveling to Crisis |  
| - | Income disparity - rural peasants vs city workers |  
| - | Collapse of Mao's structure - migration to city |  
| - | Taiwan reunification crisis |  | 
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 | Taiwan 
 
| 
 |  Taiwan|  |  | 
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|   | "Wild Lily" generation |  
| - | Wild Lily rebellion - 1990 |  
| - | Develop Taiwanese (vs Chinese) identity |  
| - | 2000: Election of Chen Shui-bian from Democratic Progressive Party |  | 
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 | Vietnam 
 
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 |  French Indochina: Vietnam, Cambodia, Laos|  |  | 
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|   | French Indochina |  
| - | 1882-93 Crisis war between France and China |  
| - | 1954 French driven out by Ho Chi Minh |  
 
|   | Vietnam War - 1965-75 |  
| - | Mid-cycle war for America |  
 
|   | Cambodia / Laos Civil War |  
| - | Massive genocide and starvation (killing fields) |  
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 |  Periods in cycle - #years approximate|  |  | 
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