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Trends and Controversies


  Malthus Effect and food prices

  Religion

  Violence in Islam

  The future and the Singularity
 
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(Previous page) Bubbles and Global Financial Crisis - 1995-Present
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(Next slide) Role of Religion in Generational Dynamics
Food Prices and Malthus Effect


  Malthus Effect
-   Thomas Roberts Malthus: 'Essay on Population' 1798
-   Population grows faster than food supply
-   Result is wars, not famines

  Green Revolution
-   Triggered by massive famines during WW II
-   Huge effort led by Rockefeller foundation 1948
-   Fertilizers, insecticides, better seeds
-   Green revolution petered out in the 1990s

FAO Food Price Index - 1991 - February 2011
FAO Food Price Index - 1991 - February 2011

 
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Role of Religion in Generational Dynamics


  At most one religion can be 'true'

  Identity group formation: Religion, ethnicity, skin color, etc.

  Religion doesn't cause war; war causes religion
 
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Violence in Islam


  Al-Qaeda-linked international jihadists (AQAP, AQIM, etc.)
-
  Independent salafist groups (Egypt, Gaza, etc.) (Cf IRA)

  Ordinary Muslims
 
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The Future and the Singularity


The Future
The Future


  World War

  Computer breakthrough - Intelligent plumbers and nursemaids

  Singularity - around 2030

Copyright © 2002-2016 by John J. Xenakis.