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World in Crisis - 2000-Present
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China |
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Korea |
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Japan |
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India and Pakistan |
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Afghanistan |
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Saudi Arabia |
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Israel and Palestine |
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America's Crisis era -- 2000s, 2010s
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Disappearance of all WW II survivors |
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9/11 MIGHT have started a world war |
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Return to stereotypical gender roles |
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Worldwide increase in xenophobia |
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Increasing tensions along Mexican border |
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Increasing tensions with Muslims |
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2001: Incarceration of many Muslims |
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2010: Spike in public xenophobia (Ground Zero) |
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Worldwide increase in Xenophobia
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Repudiation of 1960s Awakening era |
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1960s: 'Everyone is equal' |
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1960s: Racial and gender equality |
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1990s: Only the individual matters |
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Other regions |
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Europe: Roma Gypsies and Muslims |
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Egypt: Muslims, Coptic Christians |
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Mideast: Sunni vs Shia vs West |
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China: Han vs Japanese, Uighurs, Tibetans |
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Generational History of China to 1989
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History of regular massive rebellions |
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White Lotus Rebellion, 1795-1805 |
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Taiping Rebellion, 1851-1864 |
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Mao's Communist Revolution, 1934-1949 |
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China is overdue for the next rebellion |
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Recovery Era, 1949-65 |
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'Let a hundred flowers bloom' - systematic repression |
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Great Leap Forward - Tens of thousands of deaths bloodbath |
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The 'Miserable Generation' born in the 1950s |
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Awakening era, 1965-89 |
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Cultural revolution, 1965-68 |
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Instituted many educational and govt reforms |
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China's Unraveling Era - 1989-2005
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Tiananmen Square massacre, 1989 |
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Led by Nomad archetypes (like our Gen-X) |
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Generational echo of May 4 Movement (May 4 1919) |
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Victory of war survivors over post-war generations |
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Rise of Falun Gong movement |
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Led by 'Miserable Generation' |
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Millions of people meeting to do aerobic exercises |
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Echos of Taiping Rebellion |
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Panic in Beijing |
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Collapse of Soviet Union in 1991 |
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Fear of Falun Gong -- brutal crackdown |
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Tens of thousands of 'mass incidents' each year |
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Taiwan: White Lily rebellion, 1991 |
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Rise of independence movement |
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China's Crisis Era - 2005-present
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Taiwan Anti-Secession law, 2005 |
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Calls for 'peaceful unification' |
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Recognizes any 'reckless attempt' re Taiwan independence |
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Requires China to resort to 'non-peaceful approaches' |
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Widespread anti-Western xenophobia |
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Financial crisis, 2007-8 |
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Anger and humiliation over Olympics torch ceremony |
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Anger at anti-China bias re Tibet uprising |
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Highly nationalistic 'Unhappy China' |
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China's Crisis Era
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China preparing for war with U.S. |
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Massive military buildup |
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Repeated threats of war over Taiwan |
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String of Pearls strategy |
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Highly confrontational foreign policy since 2009 |
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Serious confrontations with Japan |
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Serious confrontations in East/South China Seas |
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Claiming that enormous regions are owned by China |
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Aggressive on border disputes with India |
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Agressively siding with Pakistan on Kashmir/Jammu |
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Schizophrenic foreign policy |
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Attempts to reconcile with neighbors |
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Attempts to project a friendlier international face |
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Rapid internal changes |
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Internal generational conflict |
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Transition to younger generation in 2012 |
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Korea
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Crisis war - World War II |
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Japanese occupation/colonization, 1905-1945 |
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Japan's use of 'comfort women' during WW II |
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Recovery Era |
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Korean War, 1950-1953 (armistice) |
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Kwangju massacre, South Korea, 1980 |
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Followed 1979 coup d'état |
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Led to victory of '386 generation' |
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Korea's Crisis Era
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Crisis era: North |
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Renewed military confrontations with South |
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Development of nuclear weapons |
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Crisis era: South - Schizophrenia |
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Loyalty to Koreans in the North |
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Loyalty to traditional allies in China |
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Fear of invasion/nuclear weapons in North |
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Loathing of Japanese - Western ally |
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Japan
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Meiji Restoration (1868) |
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Invasion by Commander Perry, 1853 |
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Rule by Emperor was restored |
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Recovery era |
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Japan - 20th Century
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Awakening era: Colonialism |
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Reaction to Perry's easy victory |
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Learning colonialism from the West (Scramble for Africa) |
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Learning to be an advanced, 'westernized' nation |
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Unraveling era: Imperialism |
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Tokyo stock market crash, 1919 |
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Invasion of Manchuria, 1931 |
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Invasion of China, 1937 |
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Postwar - Repudiation of military |
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India and Pakistan
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Colony of Britain until 1947 |
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Indian independence movement: Mahatma Gandhi |
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Founder of Pakistan: Muhammad Ali Jinnah |
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Partition, 1947, and war |
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One of the bloodiest wars of the century |
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Forced migration of 14 million people, 1 million killed |
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Separating Hindus from Muslims |
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Epicenter: Kashmir and Jammu |
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Crisis era |
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Tensions growing over Kashmir/Jammu |
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Tensions growing over terrorist attacks |
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Almost went to war after 2008 Mumbai attack |
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China siding with Pakistan |
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Russia siding with India |
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Afghanistan
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Russian invasion in 1980s |
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Stalemate (defeat for Russians) |
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Ethnic alignments - Crisis civil war, 1990-96 |
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Sunni Pashtuns in south linked to Pashtuns in Pakistan |
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Shia Hizaris in north linked to Persians and Hindus |
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Recovery era, 1996 - present |
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Rise of Sunni hardliners - Taliban |
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Link with Arab jihadists - al-Qaeda, bin Laden, 9/11 |
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Defeat of Taliban army, 2002 |
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Link with Pakistan's Pashtun jihadists |
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Link with Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) |
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Saudi Arabia
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Long-time alliance with U.S. |
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America supplies the military defense against Iran |
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Split over Arab uprisings |
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Throwing Mubarak under the bus |
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Opposing Saudi intervention in Bahrain |
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Saudi Arabia - Change of Direction
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Saudi view |
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Iran is an existential threat to Gulf states |
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U.S. is not willing to take Iran seriously |
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U.S. not willing to pressure Israel on settlements |
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Very rapid attitude change |
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Saudi action - rise of the Gulf Cooperation Council |
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Invite Morocco and Jordan to join |
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Economic aid vs well-trained Sunni armies |
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Sever link to U.S. defense umbrella |
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Israel and Palestine region
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Crisis war at founding |
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Partitioning of Palestine in 1948 |
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Creation of Israel, May 14, 1948 |
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Palestinian view: The Naqba |
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Loss of ancestral lands |
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Israel-Palestinian peace process
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Peace process |
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Yasser Arafat and Ariel Sharon |
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Mideast Roadmap to Peace, May 2003 |
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Death of Yasser Arafat, election of Mahmoud Abbas |
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Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, 2005 |
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Permanent vegetative state - Ariel Sharon |
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Three wars since then |
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Israel vs Hizbollah in Lebanon, 2006 |
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Fatah vs Hamas in Gaza, 2007 |
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Operation Cast Lead: Israel vs Hamas in Gaza, 2009 |
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