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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 26-Aug-04
Russian airplane catastrophe, 5 days before Chechen election, heightens Putin's woes in the Caucasus

Web Log - August, 2004

Russian airplane catastrophe, 5 days before Chechen election, heightens Putin's woes in the Caucasus

Al-Qaeda has promised America a terrorist attack prior to our election, after their successful attack in Madrid on March 11 just prior to Spain's election. It looks like the terrorists were spectacularly successful in Russia on Tuesday, just a few days prior to Chechnya's presidential election, scheduled for Sunday.

Russia has not yet confirmed that yesterday's two simultaneous plane crashes were caused by terrorism, but it's hard to believe that it's anything else. Can anyone forget on 9/11, when a plane hit the first World Trade Center tower, most people thought it was an accident, but quickly changed their minds when another plane hit the second tower?


Troubled areas in Caucasus regions - including Chechnya
Troubled areas in Caucasus regions - including Chechnya

Russia has had dozens of Chechen terrorist attacks in the last couple of years, resulting in hundreds of casualties. Until this week, the most complex and spectacular occurred in October, 2002, when terrorists held hundreds of playgoers hostage in a Moscow theatre.

The most brazen was the assassination of Russian President Vladimir Putin's hand-picked Chechen President Akhmad Kadyrov on May 9 of this year. The attack was a major victory for the terrorists, since Kadyrov was killed by a bomb that tore through a heavily guarded section of stadium seats in Grozny, where Kadyrov and other officials were watching a "Victory Day" parade. The terrorists had cleverly planted the bomb, with a remote control device, underneath the stadium seats months earlier.

It's easy to see why Putin is loath to admit that his government is victim of yet one more spectacular Chechen terrorist attack. The pace of successful Chechen terrorist attacks is increasing. The troubles are piling up in the Caucasus region, where the Chechen war has been going on for ten years and is spreading into Ingushetia and Dagestan, and he's close to war with Georgia over the separatist province of South Ossetia.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the Caucasus region is the most dangerous in the world right now, since it's farther into a generational crisis period than even Palestine. The Caucasus region is a major front line in the centuries old war between Orthodox Christians and Muslims. (26-Aug-04) Permanent Link
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