Dynamics
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Generational Dynamics |
| Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's | |
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A suicide bombing in Iraq today killed seven Marines, bringing to 990 the number of American military deaths since the beginning of military operations in Iraq in March, 2003. It was the deadliest day for Americans in Iraq in four months.
Even though there have been American deaths almost daily, the number of war deaths is rarely reported in major newscasts today, or is reported only in passing. That's because the American people as a whole have changed in the last few years, more concerned about the danger to the American way of life than even battle deaths.
The number of deaths will probably cross the 1,000 mark later this week. That milestone will undoubtedly generate some news coverage, but to judge from recent reporting, the amount of coverage will simmer down again fairly quickly.
This is remarkable when you consider the fact that just a few combat deaths in Somalia in 1993 caused such a public outcry that the entire military engagement had to be scrapped.
For those who want to understand Generational Dynamics, then this is what happens when a country enters a "generational crisis" period. America began entering this period around the year 2000, as the generation of people who lived through World War II were quickly disappearing (retiring or dying), all at once.
In 1993, America was in a "generational unraveling" period, when individual rights have the highest public priority. Today, individual rights are no longer as important to the great masses of American people as preserving our way of life from Islamic terrorists.
All the countries who fought in World War II are entering generational crisis periods about now. France has clearly done so, as shown by the near-unanimous support for the new headscarf law when the French journalists were kidnapped. And Russia and the Caucasus are the most dangerous region on earth, because they've been in generational crisis period even longer.
It's amazing how the public mood can change so drastically within
just a few years, but that's the kind of effect a major generational
change can have. That's why, for example, we've been able to predict
since 2002 that there would not be any significant antiwar movement in America, and there hasn't been.
The world is a much, much more somber place than it was just a few
years ago.
(6-Sept-04)
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