	Generational Dynamics
	Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

\| HOME \| WEB LOG \| COUNTRY WIKI \| COMMENT \| FORUM \| DOWNLOADS \| ABOUT \|

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 5-Oct-04
UN Secretary General Kofi Annan criticizes Sudan for no progress stopping Darfur genocide

Web Log - October, 2004

UN Secretary General Kofi Annan criticizes Sudan for no progress stopping Darfur genocide

I haven't been writing about Darfur on a regular basis because there's no point.

Several months ago, I wrote that the UN is completely irrelevant to the ongoing Darfur genocide. I said that this kind of genocide is a force of nature, and the UN can no more stop it than they can stop a typhoon.

Darfur - southwest region of Sudan <font size=-2>(Source: BBC)</font>

Darfur - southwest region of Sudan (Source: BBC)

Time has proven this prediction to be correct. The past few months have seen almost a comedy of buck-passing and name-calling in the UN and the European Union to do something to stop the genocide. And with almost two million displaced people, the worst is yet to come.

The latest remarks by Kofi Annan on Darfur came at the end of UN Security Council session today, during which several ministers condemned Sudan for appearing to support the genocide, and promised that they might, maybe, perchance, impose some sort sanctions some day if Sudan doesn't stop it.

None of this makes any difference to the actual genocide because there are deep-seated ethnic differences between the warring groups, just as there were in Rwanda in 1994 when the Hutus massacred close to a million Tutsis.

It's one of the principal discoveries of Generational Dynamics that these kinds of genocidal wars cannot be stopped by the United Nation any more than an earthquake can be stopped by the United Nations. And these genocidal wars are not unique to Africa, but occur at regular intervals in every society at every time in history.

You may find this hard to believe, dear reader, but some people actually tell me that they find this web site too gloomy and negative. That's why I like to point to the Darfur example. I could predict with almost 100% certainty that the genocide could not be stopped, despite enormous worldwide attention, and that prediction is, of course, coming true, despite the wishes of those who believe that with a positive attitude and a lot of hard work, such a genocide can be prevented or stopped. It can't.

There are fundamental patterns that the world has followed throughout history, whether in wars, in finance, and in technology.

It boggles the mind to think that we've entered another 1930s style depression, and that stocks will fall by more than 50% within the next few years, and yet the historical patterns show that it will happen, with almost 100% certainty. thanks to generational changes.

It boggles the mind to think that a massive genocidal war between Palestinians and Israelis that will engulf the entire region will occur and can't be stopped, but historical parallels throughout history prove that such a war will occur with almost 100% certainty, and will engulf the entire region, thanks to generational changes.

The same can be said of the Caucasus region, which is the most dangerous region on earth, thanks to generational changes. And the same can be said about an inevitable war between China and America in the Pacific, thanks to generational changes.

A regular reader recently sent me an e-mail message asking me, "I am having quite a difficult time getting others to understand the principles of Generational Dynamics. Most of the people I talk to about this seem to have a difficult time grasping the idea that a society (or region I should say) goes into a crisis period because the generations alive during the last crisis disappear, so there is no guidance from those generations to keep the younger ones from getting into the same trouble all over again.

"I was wondering if you are having the same level of difficulty I am in disseminating the information?

"Thanks again for the book. It really is interesting to know that I am ahead of the curve simply by reading this book and I know now where the country is heading in the upcoming years. Information like this is priceless."

I wrote back to him joking that being able to predict the future may be as much a curse as a blessing, and that information like this may be "priceless," but I haven't figured out a way to make money from it.

More seriously, I fundamentally believe that if at least American politicians could understand Darfur and why these fundamental generational forces, then we could make the world a better place. Unfortunately, the current political campaign proves that even this hope is completely in vain. (5-Oct-04) Permanent Link
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Donate to Generational Dynamics via PayPal

Web Log Pages

Current Web Log

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 5-Oct-04 UN Secretary General Kofi Annan criticizes Sudan for no progress stopping Darfur genocide

Web Log Pages

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 5-Oct-04
UN Secretary General Kofi Annan criticizes Sudan for no progress stopping Darfur genocide