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The residents of Beslan, North Ossetia, are choosing between revenge and getting on with their lives today.
On September 1-3, a terrorist massacre occurred at a school in Beslan, North Ossetia, killed more than 340 people, almost half of them children.
The Russian Orthodox religion calls for 40 days of mourning and prayer for the souls of the dead. The 40 days have ended. The people of Beslan are taking off their shawls and shaving their beards.
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So what happens now?
Interviews with Beslan residents yesterday indicate that feelings are mixed. Some want to try to just get on with their lives -- though that's not particularly easy after such a traumatic event -- and others are talking about revenge against the neighboring Muslim provinces of Ingushetia and Chechnya.
I've said repeatedly the past few months that the Caucusus is the most danger region on earth, mainly because it's deeper into a "generational crisis" period than other regions. Furthermore the Caucusis has been the site of numerous major ethnic and religious wars for centuries. Generational Dynamics predicts another major war is to come, and we can see how the that war seems to approach closer every day.
Generational Dynamics predicts that the Caucusus region will have a major crisis war in the next few years with almost 100% certainty. The fact that this region is deeper into a crisis period means that the people are more ready, willing and able to wage war. That's why Russian President Vladimir Putin is calling for calm.
This situation is not going to go away. There is no way that the
massacre of so many children and their parents is going to be
forgotten. Even if revenge does not occur right away, this is one
more issue that will inflame the region for years to come.
(14-Oct-04)
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