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Large quantities of arms and ammunition have poured into Darfur in the last two weeks and the Sudan government appears ready for a major military offensive, the African Union (AU) said on Friday, which added that the region was now a "time bomb that could explode at any moment."
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Thiis AU report came out on Friday, just as Amnesty International blamed the AU and the United Nations for failing to stop the mass murder and rape of civilians by government-supported militias, which are also bulldozing and burning entire regions ("scorched earth policy") to prevent people from returning to their homes.
When I first discussed the Darfur issue six months ago, in a piece entitled, "Darfur genocide: The UN is completely irrelevant," I concluded, "One thing that Generational Dynamics tells us is that this kind of genocide is a force of nature, and that the UN can no more stop it than they can stop a typhoon."
If the AU report is correct, then we're just about the see the full fury of that typhoon.
A principal finding of Generational Dynamics is that there are two kinds of wars: Non-crisis wars are fraught with political dissent and often end inconclusively; the Vietnam War and World War I are two non-crisis wars for America in the 20th century.
Crisis wars are fought with little political dissension and with much ferocity, almost always ending in an explosion of genocidal fury. There have been two American crisis wars since the founding of the nation: World War II, which ended with the use of nuclear weapons on two cities of Japan, and the Civil War, which ended after General Sherman conducted a "scorched earth" march through Georgia, killing everyone possible and destroying all possible property.
This kind of war, once begun, cannot be stopped any more than an
earthquake can be stopped, until it's run its course. If the African
Union report is right, then we may be seeing the explosion of
genocidal fury in the Darfur war very soon.
(17-Dec-04)
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