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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 22-Mar-05
Condi Rice hints at sanctioning North Korea

Web Log - March, 2005

Condi Rice hints at sanctioning North Korea

She demands that North Korea return to the nuclear non-proliferation talks.

It isn't clear what Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice was threatening when she raised the prospect of using "other options in the international system" against North Korea if it refuses to rejoin the talks, but presumably the other options would include the horror of having the case turned over to the United Nations Security Council. (As usual, sorry for the sarcasm.)

It's hard to see what the point of this threat is, for several reasons:

North Korea has been saying for three years now that any economic sanctions would be considered an act of war.

The U.N. Security Council is useless, and anything it wanted to do would be vetoed by China.

South Korea has actually been giving substantial aid to North Korea, in hopes of preventing a North Korean invasion.

North Korea has already said firmly it would not return to the talks, so returning to them would be an enormous humiliation. Rice's statement just adds to that.

The level of tension in the North Pacific has been increasing on an almost daily basis for the last few months, and Rice's statement continues that trend.

Actually, everyone knows by this time that there's nothing to be done about North Korea's nuclear buildup, so Rice's statement is just plain desperate.

North Korea's response was to announce that it has increased its nuclear arsenal.

"We have taken a serious measure by increasing nuclear arms in preparation for any invasions by enemies," said the North Koreans. "We've taken serious steps of boosting our nuclear arsenal and we are also prepared to mobilise all of our military force against any provocative moves by the enemy."

Rice has been hoping that China would use its leverage with North Korea to pressure it to return to the talks, but China has refused to do any such thing.

And why would they? China itself is preparing for an inevitable war with America over Taiwan. Meanwhile, South Korea is becoming increasingly angry with Japan, because of the dispute over those tiny islands, a dispute that brings back memories of Japan's invasion and colonization of Korea.

Generational Dynamics predicts that North Korea will start a war to reunite South and North Korea under North Korean control, that China will start a war to return Taiwan to Chinese control, and that China and Korea will get revenge against Japan for the latter's actions prior to and during World War II. These wars could begin next week or next year, but they're coming with 100% certainty. (22-Mar-05) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 22-Mar-05 Condi Rice hints at sanctioning North Korea

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 22-Mar-05
Condi Rice hints at sanctioning North Korea