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Laying the groundwork for a November visit to China by President Bush, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld was cordial to Chinese officials in Beijing, but he questioned the purpose of China's rapid military expansion.
In essence, Rumsfeld conveyed the same message to Chinese leaders that he did in a speech in June in Singapore.
His message to Chinese leaders on Wednesday was that the country's rapid and mostly secret military advances are raising concerns around the world.
The "rapid and, from our perspective at least, non-transparent nature" of the country's military expansion, plus its efforts to exclude the United States from regional institutions and activities" are leading nations around the world to wonder about China's intentions, the secretary said.
More importantly, Rumsfeld said, "it raises questions about whether China will make the right choices -- choices that will serve the world's real interests in regional peace and stability."
As I wrote yesterday (Sunday) in an analysis of the sharply deteriorating relations between China and Japan, these concerns are running deep in the region and around the world. A conflict over gas and oil rights in the East China between Japan and China could escalate out of control at any time.
Although Rumsfeld said that China is sending out "mixed signals" about its intentions, on this web site I've made no secret of what I see happening in China: China is rapidly militarizing in preparation for war with America. A war with America over re-unification of Taiwan with China is 100% certain, but it won't stop there. China will attack Japan to get revenge for Japan's atrocities in World War II, and China will go to war to gain hegemony over the entire North and South Pacific region, extending through the Indian Ocean to Africa. This comes at a time when China itself is becoming increasingly unstable, and is approaching civil war, which only makes China even more dangerous to the rest of the world. You don't have to be a Generational Dynamics scholar to see that coming.
Donald Rumsfeld sees this clearly as well. Rumsfeld is a member of the "Silent Generation" that grew up during the Great Depression and World War II, and knows well what can happen. Born in 1932, Rumsfeld was old enough to understand that the militarization of Hitler's Germany in the mid 1930s led to the most violent war the world has known, and Rumsfeld can see the same thing happening in China's aggressive militarization today.
Regular readers of this web site know that I don't get political, and that I have little use for the political prevarications of politicians of any party.
But I'll say this without hesitation: There is only one person in Washington, Democrat or Republican, who knows what's going on in the world and is actually doing something about it, and that's Donald Rumsfeld. Since he took office, he's been modernizing our military and re-focusing it on the Pacific, in preparation for a preemptive war by the Chinese. I dread the day that Rumsfeld leaves office and is replaced by a Gen-Xer (of either party), because anyone that young won't have a clue what's going on.
If America survives the next world war in decent shape then, in my
opinion, the person we'll owe the most to is Donald Rumsfeld.
(24-Oct-05)
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