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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 18-Apr-06
Hamas calls Monday's Tel Aviv bombing "justified"

Web Log - April, 2006

Hamas calls Monday's Tel Aviv bombing "justified"

The Mideast slide toward all out war appears to be accelerating, because the forces holding the region back from war are quickly disappearing.

In the past few days, the following have happened:

Western aid to the Palestinian Authority has all but ended. Iran, Qatar and other Mideast countries have picked up some of the slack, but the PA's treasury is still empty. This means a lot more poverty, increasing the likelihood of war, since men will readily go to war rather than let themselves or their families starve.

Furthermore, the Palestinians no longer have to pay attention to Western demands in exchange for receiving aid, since they're no longer receiving aid.

Furthermore, the Palestinians view the Western call for democratic elections as hypocritical, since Western nations are refusing to accept Hamas' election victory.

Hamas defended Monday's suicide bombing in Tel Aviv, saying "Our public is carrying out defensive fighting and it has every right to use all means to defend itself." This kind of justification prepares the Palestinians for war when it comes.

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's frequent statements about the end of Zionism and Israel are providing moral support to the Palestinians.

Meanwhile, a similar reaction is occurring in Israel. The Israeli "bunker mentality" -- the desire to hide behind a security barrier and have nothing to do with the Palestinians -- has been badly eroded by Monday's terrorist success.

Thus, both sides are feeling increased justification for increased violence. Hamas feels justified for more suicide attacks, and Israel feels justified for greater retaliation.

These are good examples of the Chaos Theory aspect of what's going. As day to day political events are "chaotic events" that fall like snowflakes in random ways, but the events "attracted" to the impending Mideast war.

Every one of the political events that I listed above move toward war, and you would be hard-pressed to think of any political event that moves away from war. That's how it works.

There is no end to this process except an actual war.

Generational Dynamics predicts that there'll be a major genocidal war between Arabs and Jews that will engulf the entire region. The path to that war appears to be accelerating. (18-Apr-06) Permanent Link
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