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Al-Qaeda and Taliban militants on Afghan border are seeking revenge for Red Mosque attack.
Tribal leaders in Waziristan in Northwest Pakistan tore up a peace pact with Pakistani president Pervez Musharraf and launched suicide attacks and bombings that killed at least 70 people, in a dramatic escalation of violence in the al-Qaeda infiltrated region. This is the region on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan, where Osama bin Laden is assumed to be in hiding.
This region has been a hotbed of terrorism since before 9/11, when bin Laden had his training camps there. The Afghan war flushed most of the Taliban and al-Qaeda out, causing them to flee over the border into Pakistan.
The U.S. military has no permission to cross into Pakistan to chase after the terrorists, but Musharraf promised to take care of them with his military. After several military setbacks, Musharraf agreed in mid-2006 to withdraw the military, on the promise of the tribal chiefs to wipe out al-Qaeda and the Taliban in their provinces.
Since then, al-Qaeda has been resurging on the Afghan-Pakistan border, as has been repeatedly reported by CNN terrorism expert Peter Bergen.
The peace agreements were never going to last anyway, but the Red Mosque attack in Islamabad has provided an excuse to tear up the agreements once and for all.
As I wrote last week, the Sunni terrorist groups (Taliban and
al-Qaeda) are hoping to spark an "Islamic revolution," similar to
what happened in Iran in 1979. With 60 years having passed since the
end of Pakistan's last generational crisis war, a new crisis war is
certainly a possibility. But even if it begins as an "Islamic
revolution," if it happens it will evolve quickly into an
inter-tribal war that will spread to India and lead to a new
Pakistan/India war.
(16-Jul-07)
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