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The army in Indian Kashmir opened fire at hundreds of stone-throwing Hindu protestors on Wednesday, killing one person. Thousands of other Hindu protesters also clashed with police in other parts of Kashmir and Jammu.
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This comes as a reaction to a general increase in violence by Sunni Islamists (Taliban and al-Qaeda) in the entire region, including Afghanistan and northern Pakistan.
In a previous analysis, we described the almost total analysis of the Pakistan government. The paralysis surged in January when a new and totally ineffective parliament was elected.
The trigger for the violence in Kashmir and Jammu (K+J) was an incident involving a Hindu shrine last month. Thousands of Muslims protested against a plan to transfer some land to a Hindu shrine, leading to violence and clashes with police. India reversed the plan to transfer the land, and that led to the Hindu demonstrations and violence.
Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh met with opposition political leaders to find a way to end the violence. However, the main opposition party Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and it has been suggested that BJP activists have been aiding the Hindu demonstrators in K+J.
Although we haven't discussed it much, India's government is becoming similarly paralyzed. India's Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is still in power, but he recently came very close to losing a vote of confidence in the Parliament, after losing some supporters. A political split over the the violence in K+J would really expose the paralysis of the Indian government.
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, a re-fighting of the
massively genocidal war following the 1947 Partition is coming with
absolute certainty. This war will involve numerous ethnic groups,
but underlying it will be Sunni Muslims versus Hindus + Shia Muslims.
(6-Aug-2008)
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