Darfur war takes a major turn, as Sudan expels aid groups. - 11-Mar-2009 - Generational Dynamics

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 11-Mar-2009

Darfur war takes a major turn, as Sudan expels aid groups.

Oxfam, CARE, Save the Children, and numerous other aid groups are being expelled from Darfur.

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The move by the government of Sudan is in retaliation for an arrest warrant issued last week by the International Criminal Court (ICC) of the United Nations for Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir.

The charges were for war crimes and crimes against humanity -- in the Darfur war.

This is beginning to bring us full circle on Darfur.

When the Darfur genocide first broke into the news in news in 2004, and the UN was vowing that they would stop the genocide, I wrote "Darfur genocide: The UN is completely irrelevant."

That's because the Darfur war is a generational crisis war, one of only two going on in the world today. (The other one is the Sri Lanka civil war between the government and the Tamil Tigers.)

And, as I've explained many times, a generational crisis war is a force of nature, and cannot be stopped by politicians until it reaches its climax, some kind of explosive conclusion. (Once it reaches its climax, it will stop, and whatever politician happened to be giving a speech at the time will take credit for stopping it.)

Of course, the U.N. has TRIED to stop it, as you can see in many of the articles in the adjoining "Related Articles" box.

The U.N. has set up huge refugee camps with hundreds of thousands of people, all living in neat rows of tents, stretching for miles across the desert. NGOs (non-governmental organizations) and aid organizations have been providing food, water, and medical care.

The war in Darfur can't seem to reach a climax, and I believe that it's because of this U.N. intervention. The U.N. has failed to stop the genocide in Darfur, and can't possibly succeed at that. All it's done is prolonged the war. There's a big philosophical question here: Is it better to prolong a war in this way, and allow the killing to go on for years, or is it better to allow events to run their course, and get all the killing over in a brief period of time? In the case of Darfur, the former choice has been made.

However, now the war has possibly taken a major turn.

The ICC arrest warrant has absolutely infuriated the Sudanese. It has given President Bashir a pretext for expelling many of the organizations that were keeping him from winning the war.

The do-gooders at the UN don't understand stuff like this. They think that the Darfur genocide is under the control of the politicians. What they don't understand is that generational crisis wars come from the people, from the masses of people, from generations of people, and a politicians can't stop them any more than they can stop a tsunami.

This also shows how useless these war criminal trials can be. The Nuremberg trials that followed WW II were supposed to stop war crimes forever. I doubt that a single war crime was stopped by the Nuremberg trials.

And now we see the other side. The arrest warrant for Bashir may turn out to be exactly what Bashir needed to take the next steps toward the extermination of his enemy in Darfur.

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the Geopolitical topics thread of the Generational Dynamics forum.) (11-Mar-2009) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 11-Mar-2009 Darfur war takes a major turn, as Sudan expels aid groups.

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 11-Mar-2009
Darfur war takes a major turn, as Sudan expels aid groups.