New Iran demonstrations commemorate the student protests of July 9, 1999 - 10-Jul-2009 - Generational Dynamics

Hardline Iranian mullahs had thought that they had crushed the demonstrations once and for all, since the streets had been relatively quiet for 11 days.

Iran

In Iran's largest and most violent protests yet, nephew of opposition leader is killed: Iranian police fired on protesters on Sunday,... (28-Dec-2009)

Iran fails to smash student protests, as the Dubai crisis batters its economy: Huge peaceful student protests in cities across Iran were met with violence... (9-Dec-2009)

Theological split in Iran widens as opposition protests continue: The Islamic Republic of Iran versus the Persian Republic of Iran.... (9-Nov-2009)

Iran plays a grand game in international nuclear weapons talks: Will she or won't she?... (26-Oct-2009)

Furious Iran blames Pakistan, US and Britain for Sunday's terrorist attacks: Iran's Revolutionary Guards vow revenge.... (22-Oct-2009)

Big Iran street protests greet Ahmadinejad's fiery denunciations of Israel: Iran's political crisis continues to grow, as the college year begins.... (19-Sep-2009)

Escalating civil war in Yemen threatens to pull in Iran, Saudi Arabia and U.S.: Last week, President Obama said we would help Yemen in its "fight against terrorism,"... (13-Sep-2009)

New Iran demonstrations commemorate the student protests of July 9, 1999: Hardline Iranian mullahs had thought that they had crushed the demonstrations ... (10-Jul-2009)

Ayatollah Ali Khamanei relives his childhood, as Iran arrests UK Embassy employees: Following a week of massacres, protestors have taken to the rooftops,... (28-Jun-2009)

Iran's Khamenei appears desperate, as reports of Tehran massacres grow: An amazing generational battle is proceeding in Iran.... (26-Jun-2009)

A generational explanation of Iran's political crisis: What happens when an irresistible force meets an immovable object?... (23-Jun-2009)

Iran's government panics, as Supreme Leader hints at violence against protesters: Friday's speech by Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was a significant escalation... (20-Jun-2009)

Iran: Violent street demonstrations follow Ahmadinejad's landslide election victory: Opposition supporters are claiming massive election fraud,... (14-Jun-2009)

President Obama casts a vote against Iran's President Ahmadinejad: Can reformist Mir-Hossein Musavi beat Ahmadinejad in the June 12 elections?... (22-Mar-2009)

Stock markets in Iraq and Iran are surging.: Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad says "it is the end of capitalism."... (17-Oct-2008)

Wall Street Journal describes Iran's generational Awakening era: Young Iranians turn away from the Quran and go for self-help and New Age.... (1-Jul-2008)

Israel conducts mock attack on Iran: The rumor mill is predicting a real attack.... (21-Jun-2008)

China "betrays" Iran, as internal problems in both countries mount: Diplomats say that China has provided Iran's nuclear weapons plans to the UN.... (5-Apr-08)

Iranian speedboats threaten to blow up US ships in Gulf of Hormuz: Question: Why did Iran do it?... (9-Jan-08)

Students at Tehran University risk protest against Ahmadinejad: When Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad spoke at Columbia University... (8-Oct-07)

Iran's President Ahmadinejad facing a growing "generation gap": Gas rationing and restrictions on women are infuriating the college-age generation.... (2-Jul-07)

Iranian police swoop down on women with loose headscarves: Sorry, I just can't stop laughing at this one.... (25-Apr-07)

Iraqi Sunnis are turning against al-Qaeda in Iraq : This is exactly the kind of thing that generational theory predicts. (1-Apr-2007)

Iran hostage crisis grows increasingly dangerous: This is comparable to the 1962 Cuban missile crisis.... (31-Mar-07)

An Iranian scholar says that Tom and Jerry cartoons are a Jewish conspiracy: Professor Hasan Bolkhari is loonier than Ahmadinejad.... (29-Mar-07)

Iran is using cartoons to fight decline in anti-Americanism: Anti-Americanism has been declining in Iran for ten years,... (24-Mar-07)

Iran and Russia increasingly at odds over Iran's nuclear development: Saying that Moscow "will not play anti-American games" with Iran,... (17-Mar-07)

The U.S. vs Iran debate may be unifying the Iraqis: Iraqis don't want interference from either America or Iran.... (2-Feb-07)

Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad holds two-day Holocaust denial conference: He says that Israel "will soon be wiped out."... (13-Dec-06)

Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad threatens Europe and Israel: He also says he has a "connection with God"... (20-Oct-06)

Iran test fires submarine to surface missile in the massive "Blow of Zolfaqar" military games: Iran (like China) continues rapid militarization, while confrontation over nuclear development looms.... (28-Aug-06)

Iran and Ahmadinejad are waiting for the Mahdi: Most people know about the belief by Christian fundamentalists about the Second Coming of Christ,... (22-Aug-06)

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is a very charismatic leader: In his 60 Minutes interview, he was witty, charming, confident and deadly.... (14-Aug-06)

Iranian representatives witnessed North Korea's July 4 missile tests: According to Assistant Secretary of State Chris Hill,... (21-Jul-06)

Allah Akbar!! Ahmadinejad announces that Iran is enriching uranium: Clearly trying to provoke an Israeli or American military attack on Iran,... (13-Apr-06)

State of the Union speech displays continuing misreading of Iran: It's wishful thinking to believe that an overthrow of the Mullahs is coming.... (1-Feb-06)

Europe resigns itself to a nuclear Iran: Defiant Iran President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad continues to lead Iran to be the regional superpower,... (16-Jan-06)

Iran appears to be positioning itself as a post-war superpower: Iran restarts its nuclear enrichment program while calling for Israel's removal.... (11-Jan-06)

Iran will set up a "love fund": Iran's new president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, plans a billion dollar fund... (31-Aug-05)

Feminism flourishes in Iran, as the international crisis on nuclear weapons intensifies: Iran's new president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, named a hardline Islamist cabinet on Sunday,... (15-Aug-05)

Iran's plan to develop nuclear fuel is "irreversible": France calls it a "major international crisis"... (3-Aug-05)

Ultraconservative Mahmoud Ahmadinejad wins Iran Presidential election: I try to find humor wherever I can for this serious web site, and with this guy it's easy.... (25-Jun-05)

Iran holding chaotic runoff election on Friday: Iran and Iraq are generational twins, and their elections show it.... (23-Jun-05)

Iran: Tehran University student unrest is building against the government: "Moderate" President Mohammad Khatami blamed the hard-line Muslim clerics... (8-Dec-04)

Iran moves forward with developing nuclear weapons technology: Iran has indicated that it won't budge on its plans to develop nuclear enrichment technology,... (22-Oct-04)

Iraq Today vs 1960s America (Revised): They have much in common: Bombings, assassinations, student demonstrations, violent riots, calls for insurrection and civil war and harsh rhetoric. That's much more than a coincidence. (8-May-2004)

Riots in Iran: Will there be a violent overthrow of the Iranian Mullahs? Generational Dynamics says 'No.' (25-Jun-03)

But on Thursday, thousands of protestors ran down the streets of Tehran shouting "Allahu Akbar" (God is great) and "Death to the dictator," the latter referring to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

This is a surprise to many analysts, who had thought that the demonstrations would quickly fizzle. Many analysts are comparing this situation to the Beijing's 1989 Tiananmen Square massacre, which fizzled quickly after China's People's Liberation Army sprayed bullets into demonstrators, killing hundreds or thousands of unarmed students.

But that occurred at the beginning of a generational Unraveling era, 40 years after the end of the previous crisis war, Mao Zedong's Communist Revolution civil war.

Today's crisis in Iran is occurring 21 years after the end of Iran's last crisis war, the war that began with the 1979 Islamic Revolution, and continued with the Iran/Iraq war that climaxed in 1988. Thus, the correct historical event to compare it to is not the Tiananmen Square massacre, but America's 1967 Summer of Love and the following events, including the violence at the 1968 Democratic National Convention in Chicago.

The period 20-25 years after the end of the preceding crisis war is the time of greatest political protest, usually with little violence. Thus, we should expect the current demonstrations in Iran to continue for several years.

Today was chosen for the demonstrations because it's the tenth anniversary of a violent student uprising that began on July 9, 1999. That uprising was met with government violence and fizzled after only four days, which is to be expected only 11 years after the end of the previous crisis war.

The following is a fascinating al-Jazeera video describing the July 9, 1999, uprising:

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 10-Jul-2009
New Iran demonstrations commemorate the student protests of July 9, 1999

Web Log Pages

	Generational Dynamics
	Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

\| HOME \| WEB LOG \| COUNTRY WIKI \| COMMENT \| FORUM \| DOWNLOADS \| ABOUT \|

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 10-Jul-2009 New Iran demonstrations commemorate the student protests of July 9, 1999

Web Log Pages

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 10-Jul-2009
New Iran demonstrations commemorate the student protests of July 9, 1999