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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 27-Feb-2010
27-Feb-10 News - War in Darfur may be starting again

Web Log - February, 2010

27-Feb-10 News - War in Darfur may be starting again

A major explosive battle has yet to occur.

Omar Al Bashir, the president of Sudan, is saying that the war in Darfur is completely over, according to the Sudan Daily.

Al-Bashir, who is running for reelection as President of Sudan, said at a campaign stop on Friday, "Darfur crisis and the battle of arms are over for good. All are now heading for the battle of development, progress, building and prosperity." Like any good politician, he pledged to transform all money that was being used in war into development and construction programs. This claim is based on a recent truce that was signed.

However, al-Bashir's statement is being contradicted by the AP, which reported on Friday that heavy fighting is going on between government forces and a "rebel group" that had refused to sign the truce.

The Darfur war has been a media circus since 2004, when the world "discovered" Darfur. The whole thing would be a hilarious joke if you ignored the tragedy of what's actually going on.

First off, the mainstream media reports are that the Darfar war began in 2004. Nothing could be farther from the truth. It actually began in the 1970s, as a series of low-level incidents between camel herders, whose camels sometimes destroyed farmers' crops, and farmer, who put fences around their land to keep the herders' camels from stomping on their crops. This kind of dispute happens in almost every country at some point, including the United States in the 1800s.

In the 1970s, it was just an occasional series of incidents that could be resolved by elders from the conflicted herder and farmer tribes. These elders were people who had survived the previous generational crisis war in Darfur, and who knew how to resolve conflicts before they got out of hand. As those survivors died off, the number of incidents increased throughout the 1980s and 1990s. In 2002-03, it escalated into a full scale crisis war, and it was discovered by the world in 2004. (See Ban Ki Moon blames Darfur genocide on global warming, for a complete generational analysis of the Darfur war.)

Since 2004, there has been a lot of international game playing with the Darfur war. In 2004, anti-war "peace activist" Jesse Jackson called for sending American troops to Darfur. In 2007, then-Senator (now Vice President) Joe Biden wanted to pull our troops out of Iraq and move them to Darfur. What these examples show is that these people never were "anti-war"; they just wanted to send troops into politically correct wars.

The United Nations was particularly playful. In 2005, the UN declared Darfur war was not genocide because UN members didn't want to have to deal with it in the Security Council. In 2007, the UN Secretary General Ban Ki Moon blames Darfur genocide on global warming, which he then blamed on the United States, making the entire Darfur war the fault of President Bush. There was just no end to the hilarity.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this war has never reached a climax. It appeared in 2006-7 that a massive battle was building, but that battle never occurred, because the United Nations formed refugee camps with three million refugees in huge tent farms in the middle of the desert. Food, water and other needs were supplied by international care agencies. (See U.N. commander claims that the Darfur war is over.)

The new fighting has driving 1500 more people from their homes. Those three million refugees will be sitting ducks when the international forces are withdrawn, which may happen in any major emergency.

The climax of the Darfur crisis war is yet to come.

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Iran is confounding international nuclear inspectors, according to the NY Times, because Iran has moved its entire stockpile of low-enriched fuel out into the open. One theory is that they're taunting the West, provoking Israel into a military strike. Another theory is that they simply ran out of underground storage.

(The Generational Dynamics forum will be unavailable for a few days due to technical problems.) (27-Feb-2010) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 27-Feb-2010 27-Feb-10 News - War in Darfur may be starting again

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 27-Feb-2010
27-Feb-10 News - War in Darfur may be starting again