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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 23-Jul-2010
23-Jul-10 News -- Fighting in Yemen flares again

Web Log - July, 2010

23-Jul-10 News -- Fighting in Yemen flares again

Venezuela's Hugo Chavez severs diplomatic ties with Colombia

Fighting in Yemen flares again


Yemen.  Shia Houthi rebels are fighting the army in northern Yemen, while al-Qaeda is established in southern Yemen. <font size=-2>(Source: CIA Fact Book / Economist)</font>
Yemen. Shia Houthi rebels are fighting the army in northern Yemen, while al-Qaeda is established in southern Yemen. (Source: CIA Fact Book / Economist)

A February ceasefire appears to have ended in northern Yemen, as army clashes with Houthi rebels have resulted in dozens of deaths, at least 30 deaths in the last day alone, according to the UAE's The National.

Last year, it was thought that Iran was supplying weapons to the Houthis, although that was never proved, and Saudi Arabia's army also got involved the fighting. (See "Yemen wars escalate rapidly, as US provides military support.") So far this time, the fighting is just between the Yemen army and the Houthi rebels.

In southern Yemen, when gunmen killed at least five Yemeni soldiers in an ambush of a military convoy. It's believed that the gunmen were from Al-Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP). This is the third attack on state targets in five weeks.

It's believed that United States special forces are operating in Yemen, and that the U.S. is providing intelligence information to the Yemenis.

As I've described many times, al-Qaeda's aim is to duplicate the success of Iran's 1979 (Shia) Islamic Revolution in a Sunni Muslim country. They've attempted this in Iraq, Somalia, Algeria, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Uzbekistan and elsewhere, as well as Yemen. So far they've been unsuccessful, but they'll keep trying in different countries until they're successful.

The fight between the Yemenis and the Houthi rebels is following a familiar pattern, alternating between fighting and ceasefire. At some point, a "regeneracy" event will occur, and the war will transition into a full-scale generational crisis civil war.

Additional links

Venezuelan president Hugo Chávez severed diplomatic ties with Colombia on Thursday. He was reacting to a presentation by Colombia at a meeting of the Organization of American States showing evidence that Chavez was supporting violent terrorists in Colombia. Guardian

As we reported three days ago, Hungary has refused to meet its austerity commitments, and the IMF has refused to provide any more financial aid. Hungary claims that it can get without further IMF made but an analyst at Nomura International says that Hungary's survival without IMF support is a "myth," and that Hungary's actions endanger the euro, as Europe's debt crisis may be spreading. Bloomberg

Ethnic divide threatens in Afghanistan. LA Times

The Pentagon is planning to build a counter-terrorism training compound in Kyrgyzstan in the Fergana Valley region near Osh that was the site of so much violence in the last couple of months. Eurasia Net

Gen. David Petraeus, who recently replaced Gen. Stanley McChrystal as allied commander in Afghanistan, believes that McChrystal's implementation of the counter-insurgency strategy was flawed, and will change it. McChrystal's supporters dispute this conclusion. WSJ (Access)

Prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva's government in Thailand, supported by the Thai-Chinese elite class, came to power by passing anti-corruption laws and used them against former prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra and his allies. Now those same laws will be used against Vejjajiva's government, which may collapse as a result. Asia Sentinel

With new ethnic violence flaring up in South Africa, refugees that fled from violence in Zimbabwe two years ago are now fleeing back home. CS Monitor

Some women who are sick of being manipulated by consumerism are going on a "shopping diet." As an experiment, one woman selected six items of clothing and wore only those for an entire month. Her husband didn't even notice. NY Times. This story shows how much attitudes towards money have changed in the last ten years, as people learn to be as frugal as their grandparents were in the 1930s.

Beer is to be sold in dead animals. Twelve bottles of The End Of History ale have been placed in dead animals, and will be sold for 500 pounds apiece. Telegraph

Five mistakes online job hunters make. WSJ (Access)

Scientists reveal the formula for the perfect handshake. Fox News

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 23-Jul-10 News -- Fighting in Yemen flares again thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (23-Jul-2010) Permanent Link
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