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Government changes by Sultan Qaboos fails to satisfy demonstrators
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About 1,000 protesters set a supermarket on fire in Sohar, on the northwest coast of Oman, on Monday, in the third day of clashes with police. According to The National (UAE), the protesters were mostly young people, claiming that most jobs are given to migrant workers from other countries, leaving Omanis without jobs.
In an effort to head off further demonstrations, Sultan Qaboos bin Said al-Said has ordered a reorganization of the government, the creation of 50,000 new government jobs, and a monthly stipend of about 150 rials ($390) for unemployed job seekers, according to the Telegraph.
Since 1744, Oman has been ruled by the powerful Al Said dynasty. Historically, they ruled the coastal areas around Muscat, the capital city, while the interior portions of the country were run by individual tribes governed by imams (Muslim religious leaders). The tribes were unified under a central government by a generational crisis civil war in 1870-71.
Oman's most recent crisis war was the Dhofar Rebellion of 1962-75. The war involved military forces from Britain, Saudi Arabia, and Iran. Sultan Qaboos, who overthrew his father in a coup d'état in 1970, has been in power ever since. In the end, Oman became a close ally of Britain and the United States.
Oman is currently near the end of its generational Awakening era. The current unrest has a good chance of leading to an Awakening climax, that will lead to some kind of change in Oman's government. It might be a simple change of leadership from Sultan Qaboos to someone else, or it might be a major change in the form of government. A lot depends on whether Sultan Qaboos decides to use a massacre scenario, such as is being used in Libya, or was used briefly in neighboring Bahrain.
(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion,
see the 1-Mar-11 News -- Mideast riots and violence spreads to Oman
thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be
posted anonymously.)
(1-Mar-2011)
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