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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's


Generational Dynamics Web Log for 11-Jun-2013
11-Jun-13 World View -- Russia considers putting troops on Israel-Syria border

Web Log - June, 2013

11-Jun-13 World View -- Russia considers putting troops on Israel-Syria border

After years of hesitation, U.S. discussing arming Syria's rebels

This morning's key headlines from

After years of hesitation, U.S. discussing arming Syria's rebels

14-year-old boy who was beaten and then shot dead by Islamist rebels in Aleppo (ABC News)
14-year-old boy who was beaten and then shot dead by Islamist rebels in Aleppo (ABC News)

Because of the recent military successes of the army of the regime of Syria's president Bashar al-Assad, aided by thousands of fighters from Lebanon's Hezbollah terror militia and possibly also by Revolutionary Guards from Iran, the Obama administration is beginning a discussion on providing lethal weapons to rebel forces. The weapons would only go to "vetted, moderate" rebel units, to prevent al-Qaeda linked groups to end up with the weapons. This would essentially pit the United States alongside regional allies Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Qatar in a proxy war against Russia, Iran, and Hezbollah. AP

Sunni Arab anger grows over Hezbollah's support for al-Assad

A political realignment has been taking place in the Mideast, thanks to the actions of Syria's psychopathic president Bashar al-Assad's mass slaughter of hundreds of thousands of innocent civilians in Syria. However, the recent major announcement by Hezbollah secretary-general Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah would be openly fighting alongside al-Assad's forces against the rebels has served to deepen and hasten the realignment.

Since 1948, Mideast politics has largely been motivated by the "resistance to Israeli occupation," and "the enemy of my enemy (Israel) is my friend." Probably the strangest manifestation has been the close alignment of Sunni Muslim Hamas with three Shia Muslim entities, Bashar al-Assad in Syria, Hezbollah in Lebanon, and Iran, with additional support from Saudi Arabia, Qatar and other Sunni Muslim countries. However, al-Assad's torture, mutilation and slaughter of peacefully protesting Sunni Muslim Arabs in Syria has torn apart those alliances, and re-formed them along sectarian lines. An early sign was last year's announcement by Hamas that it was closing its headquarters office in Damascus, Syria, and moving it to Doha, Qatar.

But Nasrallah's recent announcement has sparked a wave of enraged sectarian criticism of Hezbollah in the Sunni Arab world, with the media saying that Hezbollah is a murderous and hostile organization even more dangerous than al-Qaeda. Other articles argued that the organization had forfeited its legitimacy and that it was dragging both Lebanon and the region into sectarian war, as part of an Iranian-Russian plan to gain control of the region. According to a leading Saudi government daily:

"[Hezbollah] is continuing alone on its suicidal path, despite the objection of the parties, sects and the people in Lebanon. Had it not been for this organization, a sectarian conflict would not have erupted in Tripoli, scores of people would not have been killed, and missiles would not have fallen yesterday on one of Beirut's suburbs. One should remember that this organization is the regional arm of forces that are larger than it."

In Egypt, the responses were fewer and more moderate apparently because the Egyptian regime seeks to position itself as a broker in the Syrian crisis. Memri

Russia considers putting troops on Israel-Syria border

Russia is considering putting Russian troops into the Golan Heights on the Israel-Syria border as peacekeepers. Russia made the suggestion last week after the Austrians announced that they would pull their troops out of the U.N. peacekeeping force, but the U.N. rejected the suggestion because of a 1974 agreement between Syria and Israel that no permanent members of the U.N. Security Council could serve there as peacekeepers. But the Russians have decided to push ahead anyway, to provide "peace and stability." According to Aleksey Pushkov, Russia's top foreign policy MP,

"The issue has not been yet solved, it is being considered. We must take some real action because we cannot exclude that the Syrian-Israeli topic would be involved in large-scale military action. ...

Assad could be replaced by radical Islamists in comparison with whom Assad would seem an angel from heaven. The people who are now offering friendship to Israel would not necessarily see Israel as their partner when they come to power, rather they would see it as an enemy."

According to press reports, Israel has replied to the Russian offer, but has not disclosed whether it supports or opposes it. Since Russia is supporting the al-Assad regime, the implication of these statements is that Israel and Russia would be supporting the al-Assad regime against the rebels.

As I've been writing for many years, from the point of view of Generational Dynamics, the approaching Clash of Civilizations world war will pit China + Pakistan + the Sunni Muslim countries versus the U.S. + India + Russia + Iran + Israel. This new development appears to be a step in that direction. Russia Today and Ria Novosti

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 11-Jun-13 World View -- Russia considers putting troops on Israel-Syria border thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (11-Jun-2013) Permanent Link
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