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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 9-Feb-2014
9-Feb-14 World View -- Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying

Web Log - February, 2014

9-Feb-14 World View -- Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying

Peaceful protests in Bosnia turn into widespread violence

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying
Peaceful protests in Bosnia turn into widespread violence

Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying

Ayatollah Khamenei, sitting underneath a picture of his predecessor, Ayatollah Khomeini (Fars)

Ayatollah Khamenei, sitting underneath a picture of his predecessor, Ayatollah Khomeini (Fars)

Now that the first of the sanctions have been lifted, and international investors are beginning to flock to Iran, Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei delivered an anti-American rant on Saturday to the Iranian Air Force commanders, accusing the Obama administration of lying:

"American officials, in negotiations with the country’s (Iran) officials, say we are not after regime change in Iran but they are lying because if they had the ability to do this they would not hesitate one second.
The other reason behind US inability to change the Islamic establishment [of Iran] is that the establishment relies on the nation’s faith, kindness and resolve. One can change the tactics, but principles must remain rock solid."

The speech commemorated the 35th anniversary of the 1979 Great Islamic Revolution that brought Khamenei's predecessor, Ayatollah Rouhollah Khomeini, to power.

Khamenei's speech followed in incident on Friday, when the American delegation walked out of a speech in Tunisia at a ceremony honoring Tunisia's newly adopted constitution following the "Arab Spring." At the ceremony, Iran's parliamentary speaker Ali Larijani referred to Israel as a "cancer" in the region on Friday:

"Even after the revolutions that happened in the region, the US and Israel tried to divert and devastate some of the revolutions so that Israel can benefit."

Khamenei and Larijani are both survivors of Iran's 1979 Great Islamic Revolution which is being commemorated, and the great unifying theme of that revolution was that America was the Great Satan whose puppet, the Shah of Iran, had oppressed Iran's people for years. These aging leaders keep trying to revive the unity of the 1979 Revolution by claiming that America and Israel still want to defeat the revolution and oppress the Iranian people again.

Iran's younger generations don't share these views. Most of them like America and the West, and they don't particularly want to see Israel pushed into the sea. So 75-year-old Khamenei's fears about a regime change are well founded. His passing will trigger a generational Awakening era crisis that will cause big changes, including some kind of regime change. And as I've written many times, my expectation is that in the coming Clash of Civilizations world war, Iran will be the ally of America, Israel, Russia, India and others versus China, Pakistan, the Sunni Muslim countries, and others. Jerusalem Post and Ahlul Bayt News Agency (Iran)

Peaceful protests in Bosnia turn into widespread violence

Three days of anti-government protests in Bosnia led to violence across the country on Friday, when protesters set fire to government buildings and fought with riot police in Sarajevo and other cities. This was the worst civil unrest since the genocidal war in Bosnia-Herzegovina that followed the dissolution of the former Yugoslavia in 1992, killing 100,000 people and leading to a crisis war climax in 1995 with the Srebrenica massacre. (See "12-Jul-13 World View -- Bosnia commemorates the 1995 Srebrenica massacre".) Srebrenica is considered the worst genocide in post-war Europe. At least 8,300 Bosniak (Bosnian Muslim) men and boys who had sought safe haven at the U.N.-protected enclave at Srebrenica were killed by Orthodox Christian Serbs under the leadership of General Ratko Mladic, who coined the phrase "ethnic cleansing." Mladic is still considered a hero by many Serbs, who say that no crime was committed, as he was just defending Serbs. Ratko Mladic stands accused of committing war crimes, crimes against humanity and genocide.

Bosnia-Herzegovina is made up of two separate entities: a Bosniak-Croat Federation of Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the Bosnian Serb Republic, or Republika Srpska, each with its own president, government, parliament, police and other bodies. With 40% unemployment, there are around 550,000 unemployed people in Bosnia. There are widespread charges of corruption stemming from the deep divisions within the dual government framework.

People are expressing fears of a new civil war, like the one in 1992-95. However, from the point of view of Generational Dynamics, that's literally impossible. It's been 19 years since the climax of the Bosnian war, and so Bosnia is just entering a new Awakening era, as the young generation born after the war start protesting and making their views heard. However, their parents still remember that absolute horrors of the Bosnian war, and will do everything in their power to keep it from happening. It's worth noting that Friday's violence disappeared on Saturday, and the protests were almost all peaceful. BBC and AP and Reuters

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 9-Feb-14 World View -- Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (9-Feb-2014) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 9-Feb-2014 9-Feb-14 World View -- Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying

Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying

Peaceful protests in Bosnia turn into widespread violence

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 9-Feb-2014
9-Feb-14 World View -- Iran's Ayatollah Khamanei rants and accuses the U.S. of lying