Generational Dynamics: Forecasting America's Destiny Generational
Dynamics
 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

 |  HOME  |  WEB LOG  |  COUNTRY STUDIES  |  COMMENT  |  FORUM  |  ABOUT  | 

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 26-Feb-2014
26-Feb-14 World View -- Ukraine's 'separatist' talk threatens ethnic Tatars

Web Log - February, 2014

26-Feb-14 World View -- Ukraine's 'separatist' talk threatens ethnic Tatars

China considers two new anti-Japanese national holidays

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Ukraine's 'separatist' talk threatens ethnic Tatars


Ukraine - Crimea is the peninsula at the bottom, jutting into the Black Sea
Ukraine - Crimea is the peninsula at the bottom, jutting into the Black Sea

As we've discussed several times, western Ukraine is mostly populated by Ukrainian-speaking ethnic Ukrainians, while eastern Ukraine is mostly populated by Russian-speaking ethnic Russians. However, even eastern Ukraine isn't entirely Russian, and although the Russian language is spoken there, it's spoken with a Ukrainian accent.

The exception is the Crimea, the body of land at the bottom of Ukraine, jutting into the Black Sea, and connected to mainland Ukraine by a narrow strip of land. This is the most Russian part of Ukraine, and the most Russian part of Crimea is the port of Sevastopol, a strategically important naval port hosting Russia's Black Sea fleet. This is the place to which deposed Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych fled over the weekend, and he has not been seen publicly since then. It's impossible to predict what will happen to Ukraine from the current crisis, but one thing is certain: Russia will not let go of Sevastopol.

Talk of "separatism" is high in Sevastopol. And we're not talking about separatism of east Ukraine from west Ukraine. We're talking about separation of Crimea from the rest of Ukraine. Sevastopol's city council on Monday already demanded a referendum on rejoining what they call "The Motherland."

The situation has become sufficiently alarming that even Moscow is backing down a bit. Two days ago, Russia's prime minister Dmitry Medvedev referred to the situation as "an armed uprising" by "people with black masks strolling through Kiev with Kalashnikov rifles."

But on Tuesday, Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov was considerably more subdued:

"We are using our contacts with the various political forces at play in Ukraine in order to calm the situation down.

[It is] dangerous and counter-productive to try to force upon Ukraine a choice on the principle of 'you are either with us or against us'. We want Ukraine to be part of the European family in every sense of the word."

Whether this reference to the "European family" represents a change in policy remains to be seen, but it's certainly a change in rhetoric.

The possibility of Crimea rejoining Russia is of greatest concern to the Tatars, a mostly Turkic language speaking Sunni Muslim ethnic group, currently numbering around 300,000. Russia's dictator Josef Stalin, who had already engineered the massive famine in Ukraine in the 1930s, in 1944 deported 200,000 Tatars from Crimea, where they had lived for millennia, to central Asia, accusing them of collaborating with the Nazis. It was only in the 1980s and 1990s that the Tatars returned in large numbers to Crimea, particularly after the collapse of the Soviet Union and Ukraine's independence.

Tatars are concerned that a return to Russia rule would mean "the end of the Crimean Tatars," according to one activist:

"If the violence in Ukraine were to spread to Crimea, 300,000 Crimean Tatars would come face to face with approximately 2 million Russians living there. Soldiers in Russia's Black Sea Fleet in the port of Sevastopol are ready to invade Crimea. The parliament of the Autonomous Region of Crimea is under the control of Russia, is predominantly of Russian ethnicity and is against the Crimean Tatar National Assembly and Crimean Tatars."

CS Monitor and Telegraph (London) and Zaman (Istanbul)

U.S. expels three Venezuela diplomats in tit-for-tat reprisal

The U.S. State Department said that two first secretaries and a second secretary at Venezuela's embassy in Washington had been declared personae non gratae, and have been given 48 hours to leave the country. The expulsion is tit-for-tat reprisal for Venezuela's expulsion of three American diplomats last week. Venezuela's president Nicolás Maduro expelled three U.S. diplomats last week on accusations of recruiting students to hold violent, rock-throwing protests against him. The U.S. Washington has rejected the claims as baseless. Reuters

Nigeria's Boko Haram kills 39 school students after army mysteriously withdraws

Gunmen from Nigeria's Islamist terrorist group Boko Haram ("Western education is forbidden") stormed at 2 am Tuesday, and killed 29 pupils, all boys, many of whom were burnt to death by a fire. The girls were spared, and were told to go home, get married, and abandon Western education. The school was secular, and students were both Christian and Muslim.

Outrage is growing in Nigeria because Boko Haram has killed thousands of civilians, but the armed forces are failing to protect them, or even respond to raids. In this case, there had been soldiers guarding a checkpoint near the government school, but they were mysteriously withdrawn hours before the attack. And then the terrorists were able to continue their massacre for five hours, no troops or security agents intervening. It's believed that the soldiers knew the attack was coming, and then withdrew either because they wanted to support the terrorists, or because they were afraid of being killed themselves. BBC and CBS News

China considers two new anti-Japanese national holidays

Laws have been submitted to China's National People's Congress to add two new holidays to the list of China's national holidays:

The proposed law is expected to pass. BBC and Bloomberg

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 26-Feb-14 World View -- Ukraine's 'separatist' talk threatens ethnic Tatars thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (26-Feb-2014) Permanent Link
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail

Web Log Pages

Current Web Log

Web Log Summary - 2014
Web Log Summary - 2013
Web Log Summary - 2012
Web Log Summary - 2011
Web Log Summary - 2010
Web Log Summary - 2009
Web Log Summary - 2008
Web Log Summary - 2007
Web Log Summary - 2006
Web Log Summary - 2005
Web Log Summary - 2004

Web Log - December, 2014
Web Log - November, 2014
Web Log - October, 2014
Web Log - September, 2014
Web Log - August, 2014
Web Log - July, 2014
Web Log - June, 2014
Web Log - May, 2014
Web Log - April, 2014
Web Log - March, 2014
Web Log - February, 2014
Web Log - January, 2014
Web Log - December, 2013
Web Log - November, 2013
Web Log - October, 2013
Web Log - September, 2013
Web Log - August, 2013
Web Log - July, 2013
Web Log - June, 2013
Web Log - May, 2013
Web Log - April, 2013
Web Log - March, 2013
Web Log - February, 2013
Web Log - January, 2013
Web Log - December, 2012
Web Log - November, 2012
Web Log - October, 2012
Web Log - September, 2012
Web Log - August, 2012
Web Log - July, 2012
Web Log - June, 2012
Web Log - May, 2012
Web Log - April, 2012
Web Log - March, 2012
Web Log - February, 2012
Web Log - January, 2012
Web Log - December, 2011
Web Log - November, 2011
Web Log - October, 2011
Web Log - September, 2011
Web Log - August, 2011
Web Log - July, 2011
Web Log - June, 2011
Web Log - May, 2011
Web Log - April, 2011
Web Log - March, 2011
Web Log - February, 2011
Web Log - January, 2011
Web Log - December, 2010
Web Log - November, 2010
Web Log - October, 2010
Web Log - September, 2010
Web Log - August, 2010
Web Log - July, 2010
Web Log - June, 2010
Web Log - May, 2010
Web Log - April, 2010
Web Log - March, 2010
Web Log - February, 2010
Web Log - January, 2010
Web Log - December, 2009
Web Log - November, 2009
Web Log - October, 2009
Web Log - September, 2009
Web Log - August, 2009
Web Log - July, 2009
Web Log - June, 2009
Web Log - May, 2009
Web Log - April, 2009
Web Log - March, 2009
Web Log - February, 2009
Web Log - January, 2009
Web Log - December, 2008
Web Log - November, 2008
Web Log - October, 2008
Web Log - September, 2008
Web Log - August, 2008
Web Log - July, 2008
Web Log - June, 2008
Web Log - May, 2008
Web Log - April, 2008
Web Log - March, 2008
Web Log - February, 2008
Web Log - January, 2008
Web Log - December, 2007
Web Log - November, 2007
Web Log - October, 2007
Web Log - September, 2007
Web Log - August, 2007
Web Log - July, 2007
Web Log - June, 2007
Web Log - May, 2007
Web Log - April, 2007
Web Log - March, 2007
Web Log - February, 2007
Web Log - January, 2007
Web Log - December, 2006
Web Log - November, 2006
Web Log - October, 2006
Web Log - September, 2006
Web Log - August, 2006
Web Log - July, 2006
Web Log - June, 2006
Web Log - May, 2006
Web Log - April, 2006
Web Log - March, 2006
Web Log - February, 2006
Web Log - January, 2006
Web Log - December, 2005
Web Log - November, 2005
Web Log - October, 2005
Web Log - September, 2005
Web Log - August, 2005
Web Log - July, 2005
Web Log - June, 2005
Web Log - May, 2005
Web Log - April, 2005
Web Log - March, 2005
Web Log - February, 2005
Web Log - January, 2005
Web Log - December, 2004
Web Log - November, 2004
Web Log - October, 2004
Web Log - September, 2004
Web Log - August, 2004
Web Log - July, 2004
Web Log - June, 2004


Copyright © 2002-2014 by John J. Xenakis.