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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 24-Sep-2014
24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control

Web Log - September, 2014

24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control

CDC warns of possibly 1.4 million Ebola infections in West Africa

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control
Qatar remains reluctant partner in coalition against ISIS in Syria
CDC warns of possibly 1.4 million Ebola infections in West Africa

Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control

The four Arab capitals claimed by Iran -- Beirut (Top L), Sanaa (Top R), Baghdad (Bottom L), Damascus (Bottom R) (AlWeeam)

The four Arab capitals claimed by Iran -- Beirut (Top L), Sanaa (Top R), Baghdad (Bottom L), Damascus (Bottom R) (AlWeeam)

Iran-backed Shia Houthis celebrated with fireworks on Monday after signing a UN-brokered "peace agreement" that required the government to resign, replacing it with one that gives power to the Houthis. It's believed that they will follow the same path as Hezbollah in Lebanon -- using a power-sharing agreement combined with military power with weapons and money supplied by Iran to take majority control of Yemen's government.

Member of Iran parliament Ali Reza Zakani, who is close to Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei, bragged that Sanaa is fourth Arab capital in Iran's grasp, joining "the three Arab capitals who are already a subsidiary of the Iranian Islamic revolution," and part of "the greater jihad." He predicted that 14 out of 20 counties in Yemen would soon be under Houthi control. The other Arab capitals referenced by Zakani are Beirut Lebanon, Baghdad Iraq, and Damascus Syria.

Hezbollah gives Iran a presence in the Mediterranean, Iran itself has control of the Strait of Hormuz at the mouth of the Persian Gulf, and control of Yemen gives Iran a stranglehold on the entrance to the Red Sea.

Analysts do not believe that the Houthi control of Sanaa is permanent. Sunni ethnic groups are expected to regroup and oppose the Houthis militarily. BBC and Al Arabiya and AlWeeam (Trans) and Daily Star (Beirut)

Qatar remains reluctant partner in coalition against ISIS in Syria

The barrage of airstrikes announced by President Barack Obama are directed primarily against the Islamic State / of Iraq and Syria (IS or ISIS) in Syria, without the permission of the Syrian regime, and with opposition by Russia. Previous airstrikes were directed at ISIS in Iraq, with permission of Iraq's government.

American warplanes bombing ISIS in Syria were joined by Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Bahrain, and United Arab Emirates (UAE). State news agencies of these four countries mentioned their participation, though usually only briefly and reluctantly.

Qatar was named by the US administration as the fifth participating Arab country, but apparently Qatar did not actually participate in the bombing. Qatar's official state news agency did not mention the strikes at all, while Qatar-based al-Jazeera prominently mentioned the airstrikes, and the other Arab countries' participation, but failed to mention Qatar's role. It's also being widely noted that Turkey is not participating, and is not even permitting its air bases to be used.

As readers are aware, I've been writing frequently about of the continuing realignment of the entire Mideast following the Gaza war and the rise of ISIS. In this realignment, Turkey is aligned with Qatar and Hamas, versus Egypt, Saudi Arabia, and the Palestinian Authority. Turkey also has maintained cordial relations with ISIS, because ISIS held 49 Turkish diplomats as hostages until recently, and because ISIS is fighting Syria's Bashar al-Assad, Turkey's bitter enemy.

Radical Salafist groups in the Mideast are also supporters of ISIS, and Qatar is suspected of having a connection.

I have not heard any analyst say that ISIS can be defeated or even "managed" without "boots on the ground." Events in the Mideast are moving very quickly, and it's clear that many realignments have yet to occur, as the Mideast heads for a full-scale regional war, as predicted by Generational Dynamics. Daily Star (Beirut) and CNN

CDC warns of possibly 1.4 million Ebola infections in West Africa

The Centers for Disease Control on Tuesday warned of a worst-case scenario that the number of people in Sierra Leone and Liberia in West Africa infected with the Ebola virus could exceed 1.4 million by mid-January. However, the CDC also wishfully added that the number of cases could peak below that, if efforts to control the outbreak are ramped up.

These figures are consistent with the ones that I posted recently in "18-Sep-14 World View -- Will Ebola become a worldwide pandemic?" One thing that the CDC did not mention is that if there are 1.4 million infections by mid-January, then the number of infections will continue to grow exponentially beyond that point, until almost all of the 10 million people in these two countries have become infected. AP

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (24-Sep-2014) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 24-Sep-2014 24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control

Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control

Qatar remains reluctant partner in coalition against ISIS in Syria

CDC warns of possibly 1.4 million Ebola infections in West Africa

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 24-Sep-2014
24-Sep-14 World View -- Iran brags that Sanaa Yemen is the fourth Arab capital they control