	Generational Dynamics
	Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's

\| HOME \| WEB LOG \| COUNTRY WIKI \| COMMENT \| FORUM \| DOWNLOADS \| ABOUT \|

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 12-Dec-2014
12-Dec-14 World View -- Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel

Web Log - December, 2014

12-Dec-14 World View -- Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel

Palestinian Authority decides on actions following death of Ziad Abu Ain

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel
Palestinian Authority decides on actions following death of Ziad Abu Ain

Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel

Funeral for Ziad Abu Ain in Ramallah on Thursday (AP)

Funeral for Ziad Abu Ain in Ramallah on Thursday (AP)

The death of a Palestinian Cabinet minister following a clash with Israeli police has caused the Palestinian Authority (PA) to make a series of threats, including a halt to security coordination with Israel.

The Cabinet minister, Ziad Abu Ain, had been participating in a confrontation between Palestinian protesters and Israeli soldiers. At one point, an Israeli grabbed Abu Ain by the throat and pushed him. After the confrontation, Abu Ain spoke to tv cameras, and then collapsed. An autopsy showed that he had a major heart attack. The Israelis are saying that he would have had a heart attack sooner or later anyway. The Palestinians are saying that the heart attack was the direct fault of the Israeli soldiers, who caused Abu Ain to have "anguish and stress." Abu Ain was the PA Cabinet minister in charge of organizing protests against Israeli settlements and the West Bank separation barrier.

The death of Abu Ain has (further) infuriated the Palestinians, leading the PA to threaten to end security cooperation with Israel. If this occurs it will be a major big deal. It would mean that the Palestinians themselves would not take any further responsibility for any kind of crime occurring the West Bank, and that Israel, as the "occupying power," would be responsible for all West Bank security. The cooperation agreement is very unpopular with the Palestinians, because it often means that Palestinians are prevented by other Palestinians from violence and protests against Israeli settlements.

Although the PA is making this threat, it's not thought that PA president Mahmoud Abbas will go through with it. As I've written many times, Abbas was born in 1935, and survived the horrific 1948 war between Jews and Arabs that following the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel. Like most survivors of generational crisis wars, Abbas has literally devoted his life to doing everything possible to prevent that horrific kind of war from occurring again. As regular readers know, Generational Dynamics predicts that he will not succeed in preventing that horrific war, though he may continue to postpone it.

In this case, Abbas is well aware that ending the security cooperation agreement with Israel is a sure-fire way to create a lot more confrontations between Palestinians and Israelis, and may well be all that's needed to trigger the new war between Jews and Arabs that Abbas has devoted his life to trying to prevent. AP and CNN

Palestinian Authority decides on actions following death of Ziad Abu Ain

According to senior Palestinian official Saeb Erekat, in an interview on al-Jazeera, the Palestinian Authority (PA) has tentatively decided to take six actions in response to the death of Ziad Abu Ain (my transcription, sometimes edited for clarity):

"We will submit a security council resolution. Our Arab draft resolution specifies a Palestinian state on the 1967 borders, with Jerusalem as its capital, to be established within a specific time frame."

"Abbas will sign the accession to the International Criminal Court." Note: This would make it possible for the ICC to take up the PA's charges against Israel of crimes against humanity.

"We've asked the higher contracting parties to the Geneva Conventions to convene in Geneva this month to make sure of the applicability of the Fourth Geneva Convention of 1949 to the West Bank, Gaza and East Jerusalem." Note: The Fourth Geneva Convention on Rules of War was adopted in August 1949 in response to Nazi atrocities during World War II. The treaty governs the treatment of civilians during wartime, including hostages, diplomats, spies, bystanders and civilians in territory under military occupation. The convention outlaws torture, collective punishment and the resettlement by an occupying power of its own civilians on territory under its military control.

"Abbas has sent a letter to UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon urging him to establish a special regime for international protection."

"The Palestinian leadership decided to define its relations with Israel -- meaning and very clearly -- cessation of security cooperation, and at the same time asking Israel, the occupying power, to resume its full responsibilities."

"We decided to accelerate our [PA/Hamas] reconciliation immediately, because that's the best way to face such atrocities."

The Palestinian Authority will meet on Sunday to decide how to move forward on these actions. Irish Times and Jewish Virtual Library

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 12-Dec-14 World View -- Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (12-Dec-2014) Permanent Link
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Donate to Generational Dynamics via PayPal

Web Log Pages

Current Web Log

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 12-Dec-2014 12-Dec-14 World View -- Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel

Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel

Palestinian Authority decides on actions following death of Ziad Abu Ain

Web Log Pages

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 12-Dec-2014
12-Dec-14 World View -- Palestinians threaten to halt security coordination with Israel