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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 25-Jan-2016
25-Jan-16 World View -- Farcical Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva

Web Log - January, 2016

25-Jan-16 World View -- Farcical Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva

Previous attempts at Syria 'peace talks' ended in farce

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Previous attempts at Syria 'peace talks' ended in farce
Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva

Previous attempts at Syria 'peace talks' ended in farce

Vietnam anti-American antiwar protester John Kerry gives the 1960s 'peace sign' at a United Nations news conference in Vienna last week (Reuters)

Vietnam anti-American antiwar protester John Kerry gives the 1960s 'peace sign' at a United Nations news conference in Vienna last week (Reuters)

US Secretary of State John Kerry is spearheading the drive for peace talks for "peace talks" to get a "political solution" to the war in Syria. This follows the efforts by Kerry and others in the successful Israeli-Palestinian peace talks, successful Afghanistan Taliban peace talks, successful Pakistan Taliban peace talks, and successful Ukraine-Russia peace talks.

Oh wait.

Not only have all the above "peace talks" been total failures, so have several previous attempts at Syrian peace talks.

Let's recall that in March 2012, the vitriolicly anti-American former United Nations Secretary-General Kofi Annan headed up the effort to bring peace to Syria. At that time, al-Assad had already massacred thousands of Sunni women and children as punishment for peaceful protesting, and only a few thousand refugees had already fled to Turkey. Bashar al-Assad made a fool of Kofi Annan by promising that he would make an "honest effort" to achieve peace in his country, at the same time that he was launching brutal attacks on civilians in Idlib.

At that time, I wrote "22-Mar-12 World View -- U.N. Security Council adopts farcical 'peace plan' for Syria". The terms of the 6-point peace plan were:

Syria commits to work with Kofi Annan “in an inclusive Syrian-led political process to address the legitimate aspirations and concerns of the Syrian people.”
Syria commits to stop fighting and immediately stop troop movements and use of heavy weapons in populated areas. As these actions are being taken, Syria should work with Annan to end all violence, under U.N. supervision. Annan will seek similar commitments from the opposition to stop all fighting.
Syria accepts and implements a daily two hour “humanitarian pause” to deliver aid and evacuate the injured.
Syria commits to intensify “the pace and scale of release of arbitrarily detained persons” and provide a list of all places where such people are being held.
Syria commits to ensure freedom of movement throughout the country for journalists “and a non-discriminatory visa policy for them.”
Syria commits to “respect freedom of association and the right to demonstrate peacefully as legally guaranteed.”

The whole "Syria commits" was a joke, since al-Assad honored no commitment. In fact, the whole peace plan was a joke. As I wrote in "3-Aug-12 World View -- Kofi Annan resigns in failure as Syria envoy", Annan was bitter and angry when he resigned, blaming his decision on what he described as Syrian government intransigence, on increasing militancy by Syrian rebels and on finger-pointing and name-calling by members of the United Nations Security Council.

In fact -- and this is important -- the whole "peace plan" was deceitful sham on the part of al-Assad. He continued to say that he was "honestly" working for peace when he had no intention of doing so, but continued his genocidal attacks on innocent Sunni women and children. He agreed to the "peace process" so that his acolytes in the press and online would keep supporting him and lying for him as he slaughtered more and more innocent people. The "peace process" also provided cover for Iran and Russia to continue supplying billions of dollars of weapons to the al-Assad regime for use in slaughter of innocent women and children; and it provided cover for the U.S. and Britain and France and Turkey to do nothing, since doing something might harm the "peace process." After Annan resigned, Lakhdar Brahimi took over as U.N. and Arab League envoy to the "peace process," but to no avail.

That whole "peace process" was a deceitful sham by Syria, Russia and Iran that allowed them to completely humiliate that total fool, Kofi Annan.

The Three Satans of the modern world are Syria's Bashar al-Assad, Russia's Vladimir Putin, and Iran's Seyed Ali Khamenei. These Three Satans are entirely to blame for the following:

Mass slaughter of hundreds of thousands of innocent people in Syria.

Motivating tens of thousands of young Sunni men to travel to Syria and fight the Bashar al-Assad regime. These young men came from countries from South Asia to North Africa and up to the Russian Caucasus, and they've resulted in the formation of the so-called Islamic State (IS or ISIS or ISIL or Daesh). Thousands of girls from around the world have also traveled to Syria for love, to marry the ISIS jihadists. ISIS now spreading out to create terrorist groups in these same countries from South Asia to North Africa and up to the Russian Caucasus.

Creating a refugee crisis with millions of refugees and displaced persons that is destabilizing the entire Mideast and Europe, as I wrote about yesterday in "Migration crisis signals historic shifts in Europe and Mideast".

These Three Satans have done an almost unbelievable amount of damage to the world, and now John Kerry is going to be "negotiating" with them. This ought to be sickening.

Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva

Here's how I described the "Geneva-II" peace conference led by Lakhdar Brahimi, when I wrote about in January 2014: In the mornings, both sides are in the same room with Brahimi. The two sides are in the same room, but they don't talk to each other. Each of them talks only to Brahimi. The purpose of the morning sessions is to discuss the agenda for the afternoon sessions. In the afternoon sessions, the two sides are in different rooms, and Brahimi goes back and forth between the rooms, like Henry Kissinger's "shuttle diplomacy."

Well, I didn't know it at the time, but there's a phrase to describe this kind of peace talks. They're called "proximity talks," as opposed to "face to face talks," because the two sides are in different rooms.

The proximity talks were supposed to begin today (Monday), but they couldn't because there's no agreement on who will represent the anti-Assad "rebels." Russia already controls the al-Assad side, and apparently wants to control the "rebel" side as well. Apparently, none of the "rebel" groups wants to take part in the talks, because they realize that they're only a farce that will be used as a fig leaf to allow al-Assad and the Russians and Iranians to continue the war and then blame the "rebels" for violating the "peace process."

According to news reports, John Kerry has announced a "breakthrough" and a "compromise." Apparently a delegation of Kurds will also take part in the negotiations, which is one of the demands of the Russians, who are allied with the Kurds. This will be in addition to a "rebel" group favored by Kerry. The news reports don't indicate whether the Kurds will be in the same room as the al-Assad negotiators, or in the same room as the "rebels," or in a third room all by themselves. In the latter case, Kerry will have to go from room to room to room, instead of just from room to room. That's the way "proximity talks" work.

Actually, the word "negotiations" is already a joke, since the Syrians are already saying that they have no intention of negotiating. Before the active intervention by Russia, the al-Assad regime was losing more and more territory, and his army was near collapse. But now, thanks to the massive Russian bombing campaign on homes and neighborhoods of civilians supporting the "rebels," the al-Assad regime is doing a lot better, and believes that it has no reason to negotiate.

In remarks published on Sunday by Hilal al-Hilal, a senior official in al-Assad's ruling Baath party:

"We are not going to give today what we did not give over the past five years. This year will be the year of victory for Syria because of the heroic acts and sacrifices by its army and people,"

So what's the point of these "proximity talks"? They're just another scam by the Three Satans to cover up the massive disaster they've created.

Whenever I hear about a "political solution in Syria," there are two questions that always immediately go through my mind.

The first question has to do with peaceful demonstrations. Even if there were some kind of political solution, what would al-Assad do if peaceful demonstrations began again? If he allowed them to go on, then it would prove to the world that his whole motivation for starting the war in 2011 was idiotic. So he would have to start bombing innocent Sunni women an children again, and the war would begin again.

The second question has to do with ISIS and with the al-Qaeda linked Jabhat al-Nusra (al-Nusra Front). They aren't even going to be part of the non-negotiations in Switzerland. So what does Kerry think would happen to them if they were presented with some "political solution"?

I was listening to the BBC on Sunday, and I heard an analyst give an answer to that question. He said that once a political solution was reached, then all the Sunni jihadists would leave ISIS and al-Nusra, and go home, since the political solution would leave them no more reason to fight, and then ISIS and al-Nusra would dissolve.

Just as al-Qaeda has dissolved in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Yemen, Somalia, Algeria and Mali. Oh wait.

Really, we have so many people living in Fantasyland these days, it's no wonder that the world is on fire.

From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this is a generational Crisis era, where the rules of diplomacy and mediation and compromise from the 1990s no longer apply. These "proximity talks" are a joke and a scam by the Three Satans, al-Assad, Putin, and Khamenei, who have already caused an enormous catastrophe, and have no intention of stopping now. Bloomberg and AP

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 25-Jan-16 World View -- Farcical Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (25-Jan-2016) Permanent Link
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25-Jan-16 World View -- Farcical Syria peace process 'proximity talks' to begin this week in Geneva