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 Forecasting America's Destiny ... and the World's


Generational Dynamics Web Log for 18-May-2016
18-May-16 World View -- Venezuela's Maduro accuses US of planning an imminent invasion

Web Log - May, 2016

18-May-16 World View -- Venezuela's Maduro accuses US of planning an imminent invasion

Syria peace talks in Vienna collapse in farce - again

This morning's key headlines from

Venezuela's Maduro accuses US of planning an imminent invasion

Nicolás Maduro on Tuesday (AP)
Nicolás Maduro on Tuesday (AP)

Venezuela's president Nicolás Maduro on Tuesday renewed his accusation that the collapse of the country's economy is being caused by United States sabotage. ( "15-May-16 World View -- Venezuela economy close to collapse as Maduro orders jailing of factory owners")

And he accused the United States of planning an imminent invasions because, he claimed, two American military surveillance planes had illegally entered Venezuelan airspace last week.

According to Maduro on Tuesday:

"Our military aviation detected the illegal entry, for unusual espionage tasks, of the Boeing 707 E-3 Sentry, which is an airborne early warning control center system that has all the mechanisms for espionage. ...

Washington conducts these tasks to support communications of armed groups in war zones or to prepare actions to disable electronic equipment of the government, the armed forces or the economy."

Maduro has decreed a state of emergency, giving himself additional powers that will permit the use of violence and arrests against opposition protests.

Opposition leader Henrique Capriles told his followers to ignore the decree, said that the army has to make a choice:

"We, Venezuelans, will not accept this decree. This is Maduro putting himself above the constitution. To impose this, he'd better start preparing to deploy the war tanks and military jets.

And I tell the armed forces: The hour of truth is coming, to decide whether you are with the constitution or with Maduro."

Capriles called on its supporters to take to the streets again Wednesday. BBC and TeleSurTV (Caracas) and Deutsche Welle

Syria peace talks in Vienna collapse in farce - again

Every month, the Syria peace talks start up, then collapse a few days later. Then they would be restarted, and the cycle repeats. I've reported on several rounds of this just in the last few months.

So it's not surprising that the latest round of peace talks has collapsed, but this time the impasse is a lot worse since they didn't even bother to schedule a new date for the peace talks to restart, as they've always done in the past.

The UN Special Envoy for Syria, Staffan de Mistura, said that Syria might return to full scale war unless the peace talks could resume, and added some political bromides:

"We need to bear in mind that credible intra-Syrian talks will become credible when [...] there is a credible development on the cessation of hostilities and a credible improvement on the humanitarian side."

In other words, there couldn't be any peace talks between the Syrian regime and the opposition as long as they were still shooting at each other.

US Secretary of State John Kerry as usual made a statement that sounded like an SNL skit:

"The challenge that we face now is to transform these possibilities into the reality of an agreement at some point. And because of the gains that we've made in recent months, yet because of their fragility, and we acknowledge they're fragile, and increasingly threatened by irresponsible and dangerous actions taken by those who would rather have this effort fail, who want to create problems, cause rather than solutions, they see a different outcome, and there are frankly actors on both side."

Kerry referred to "those who would rather have this effort fail," and that includes pretty much everyone, though for different reasons:

So it's not surprising that the International Syria Support Group (ISSG), which was meeting in Vienna and which comprises the United States, Russia, the UN, the Arab League, the European Union, and 16 countries, announced on Tuesday that they had, once again, failed to reach any agreement to bring peace to Syria. The whole thing is an international farce.

People always criticize me when I call al-Assad a genocidal monster, but he's clearly comparable to Hitler, Pol Pot, Mao Zedong and Stalin from the last century. There is no mass weapon of destruction, nor any gruesome form of torture, that he won't use to satisfy his psychopathy.

Al-Assad is the lynchpin and the engine behind the Syrian war. It would never have started without him, and would have ended quickly if he had let it, or if he hadn't been supported by Russia and Iran. Thanks to his policy of exterminating Sunni civilians, tens of thousands of young jihadists have come from around the world to Syria to fight him. This has resulted in the creation of ISIS, and it's resulted in millions of refugees flooding neighboring countries, including countries in Europe.

I've written thousands of Generational Dynamics analyses since 2003, which is the year that the current generational Crisis era began, and although the types of behavior we're seeing were all predictable and were all predicted, it's incredible to see them being played out on the world stage. The world is changing rapidly, as we're seeing people, especially young people, support Socialism, racism, and xenophobia in country after country exactly like the 1930s. These young people have no knowledge of history and the massive disasters caused by the Socialism or racism or the Holocaust, and are not even fazed as we see Socialist Venezuela collapse right before our very eyes.

In 2013, when Hugo Chávez died, Hollywood liberals Sean Penn, Michael Moore and Oliver Stone were effusive in their praise, but we haven't been hearing from them lately. Also, Britain's new ultra-left Labor Party leader Jeremy Corbyn tweeted:

"Thanks Hugo Chavez for showing that the poor matter and wealth can be shared. He made massive contributions to Venezuela & a very wide world"

The pathological stupidity of these people is amazing.

Meanwhile, the incredible geopolitical destruction being perpetrated by Bashar al-Assad is not only tolerated, but is praised by Russia, Iran and other acolytes. As I've said before, what's happening today is beyond belief to me, as if I'm watching a bad movie but I can't leave the movie theatre. But it's increasingly obvious to me what caused World War II, and that exactly the same things are happening today. United Nations and AFP and Washington Times and Twitter

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the 18-May-16 World View -- Venezuela's Maduro accuses US of planning an imminent invasion thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (18-May-2016) Permanent Link
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