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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 11-Oct-2019
11-Oct-19 World View -- Turkey defends Syria invasion, despite almost universal condemnation

Web Log - October, 2019

11-Oct-19 World View -- Turkey defends Syria invasion, despite almost universal condemnation

Turkey's Erdogan responds to European Union's threat with his own threat

by John J. Xenakis

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

European Union threatens Turkey, after Syria invasion
United Nations makes new delusional statements on Syria
Turkey's Erdogan responds to European Union's threat with his own threat
ISIS prisoners in limbo
Anti-war politicians blame Donald Trump

European Union threatens Turkey, after Syria invasion

EU Parliament VP Federica Mogherini. She could be a lot hotter if she learned how to smile.

EU Parliament VP Federica Mogherini. She could be a lot hotter if she learned how to smile.

Turkey is receiving almost universal international condemnation for launching its long-planned military invasion of northern Syria. Turkey has been massing forces on the border for a year, with the objective of setting up a buffer zone in northern Syria, and neutralizing the PKK terrorists living there. In the long run, Turkey would also like to relocate some of the 3.6 million Syrian refugees that it's hosting into the buffer zone.

Officials from countries around the world are demanding that Turkey end the invasion immediately.

The most interesting condemnation is a speech by EU Parliament VP Federica Mogherini, in which she made the following farcical statement:

"The Turkish operation into north-east Syria can open a new dramatic chapter in the already very dark history of the Syrian war.
The potential consequences of such military action are clear to everyone – at least are very clear to us. The repercussions can be extremely serious in humanitarian, military, political and strategic terms. For all these reasons, we call upon Turkey to immediately stop its unilateral military action. ...
But Turkey’s legitimate security concerns should be addressed through political and diplomatic means, not military action, in accordance with international humanitarian law. We urge all to always ensure the protection of civilians and unhindered, safe and sustainable humanitarian access throughout Syria.
Our goal remains to help the Syrian people build a united, sovereign, democratic and inclusive Syria.
A sustainable solution to the Syrian crisis will not come through military means. I think that this is very clear to all, at least this is very clear to us Europeans. The only way to achieve peace and security in Syria is the full implementation of the UN Security Council Resolution 2254 under UN auspices."

I suppose that I shouldn't be so hard on Mogherini. After all what else can she say? She's just a puppet saying what she has to say. If she said something different, she'd just be replaced by a different puppet.

United Nations makes new delusional statements on Syria

Mogherini's statement is completely delusional. UN Security Council Resolution 2254, adopted on December 15, 2015, says that everyone in Syria should stop fighting and expresses support for "a Syrian-led political process that is facilitated by the United Nations and, within a target of six months, establishes credible, inclusive and non-sectarian governance and sets a schedule and process for drafting a new constitution, and further expresses its support for free and fair elections." This is totally laughable.

Against that, we have the psychopathic, sociopathic monster president Bashar al-Assad of Syria, who freely uses barrel bombs, chlorine gas and Sarin gas on women and children, in order to exterminate his political enemies, and who is supported by Iran, who wants a clear path to Israel and the Mediterranean Sea, and which routinely uses torture, rape, beatings and murder itself.

Al-Assad is also supported by Russia, which doesn't care about al-Assad's use of chemical weapons and genocide, as long as it gets its military bases at Tartus and Hmeimim. Russia, which has no hesitation to commit genocide when it's convenient, also loves the Kurds because they're Communists.

Since 2012, the United Nations Security Council has put forth one farcial resolution after another. Bashar al-Assad, Russia and Iran have used these as cover for their use of barrel bombs, chlorine gas, Sarin gas and genocide of women and children. Bashar al-Assad has made fools of one credulous UN envoy after another -- Kofi Annon, Lakhdar Brahimi, Staffan de Mistura. Obviously, the same kind of thing is happening now with Mogherini. If United Nations officials didn't have delusional thoughts, then they wouldn't have any thoughts at all.

Turkey's Erdogan responds to European Union's threat with his own threat

So everyone, including Turkey's president Recep Tayyip Erdogan, knows that UN Security Council Resolution 2254 is completely farcical. But as we said, what else can Mogherini say, except her ridiculously delusional statement.

Turkey has been hosting 3.6 million Syrian refugees, and 300,000 of them are Syrian Kurds, who have fled the violence of Syria's civil war. Erdogan has frequently expressed anger at the EU for not supporting Turkey, which is a Nato member, although after years of negotiations, the EU did agree to pay some financial assistance (3 billion euros) for the refugees. However, in her speech, Mogherini threatened to limit this financial assistance.

Erdogan responded on Thursday in a speech to his governing party:

"The objective of our operation is to avoid the establishment of a terror state in the south. That’s what we are working for.
Just like other operations conducted by Turkey, the objective of the Peace Spring is to contribute to the territorial integrity and political unity of Syria. It’s quite obvious that one can talk about the territorial integrity and political unity of this country while one-fourth of its territories are under the occupation of the PKK/YPG."

Erdogan referred to the 300,000 Syrian Kurdish refugees that Turkey is hosting, and the Kurdish People's Democratic Party (HDP) political party in Turkey.

"Let’s first see this. They are still in our country. Why don’t we talk about it? America does not see this, nor does the EU. To whom will we explain all these? Then we should tell this to our own people. There is a political party at the parliament which takes support from a terror organization. They will never see but we will let them see one way or another.
You [the HDP] cannot describe our operation as an invasion. You cannot depict our army as an invading force."

Erdogan responded to Mogherini's threat to cut off financial assistance to Turkey for hosting the 3.6 million refugees with a threat of his own:

"Hey, European Union! Pull yourself together. I repeat it: If you try to describe our operation as an invasion, we will do what’s easy for us: we will open the doors and send 3.6 million refugees to you. ...
You have not given anything to us for our efforts (to host refugees). It was us who spent $40 billion. We’ll continue our path by spending the same amount of money, but we will then open the doors.
You cannot remain silent when terror organizations attack Turkey."

ISIS prisoners in limbo

Syria camps for displaced people. Families of ISIS prisoners are in Roj, Ain ISSA, and al-Hol. (BBC)

Syria camps for displaced people. Families of ISIS prisoners are in Roj, Ain ISSA, and al-Hol. (BBC)

Thousands of displaced Syrians are living in temporary camps. The families of suspected ISIS prisoners are help in three of them, Roj, Ain ISSA, and al-Hol, which house 1,700, 12,900 and 68,000 people, respectively. Al-Hol is about 60 km from Turkey and so would not be in the proposed buffer zone. More than 94% of the people at al-Hol are women and children, and 11,000 are foreign nationals.

Many of the ISIS prisoners are being guarded by Kurdish forces, and their disposition is now the subject of finger-pointing. Donald Trump says that some EU officials have asked him to transfer them to Guantánamo prison, which he refused. Trump has asked the EU nations to take back their own citizens that went to Syria to join ISIS, but they're refusing.

Mogherini is demanding that Turkey take full responsibility for them, but whether that will happen remains to be seen.

Anti-war politicians blame Donald Trump

Mostly left-wing politicians in Washington are blaming Donald Trump for causing the invasion by withdrawing 50 soldiers from observation posts in Syria near the Turkey border. This is laughable, considering that Turkey has been massing forces on the border for a year in preparation for this invasion, and 50 troops would have made no difference.

Trump says that the original agreement with the Kurds was that we'd provide support, weapons and money for 30 to 90 days until ISIS was defeated, and then we'd leave. Trump says that there was never any commitment to protect the Kurds forever.

Now we're hearing that Democrats want US soldiers to intervene to protect the Kurds. I've been through this too many times. Anti-war democrats supported the Iraq war before it happened, but then later pretended that they had opposed the war all along.

So here we go again. Let's get US soldiers involved in the war between Turks and Kurds, so that later we can pretend we were against doing anything of the sort, and then we can impeach again.

As regular readers know, Generational Dynamics predicts that there is an approaching Clash of Civilizations world war, pitting the "axis" of China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries against the "allies," the US, India, Russia and Iran. Part of it will be a major new war between Jews and Arabs, re-fighting the bloody the war of 1948-49 that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel. The war between Jews and Arabs will be part of a major regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews versus Arabs, and various ethnic groups against each other.

Although all of those wars are coming with absolutely certainty, it's impossible to predict the exact scenarios that will bring them about. One possible scenario is that they will be triggered by a war in northern Syria.

One thing is certain: World War III will occur whether the 50 US soldiers are withdrawn or not.

Sources:

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(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the Generational Dynamics World View News thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (11-Oct-2019) Permanent Link
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