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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 2-Jul-2020
2-Jul-20 World View -- China passes Hong Kong Security Law, arrests hundreds of peaceful protesters

Web Log - July, 2020

2-Jul-20 World View -- China passes Hong Kong Security Law, arrests hundreds of peaceful protesters

Ladakh: India - China - Pakistan military buildup continues

by John J. Xenakis

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

China passes Hong Kong Security Law, arrests hundreds of peaceful protesters
Terms of the Hong Kong National Security Law
Ladakh: India - China - Pakistan military buildup continues

China passes Hong Kong Security Law, arrests hundreds of peaceful protesters

A protester displays the (British) Hong Kong colonial flag on Wednesday. Under the new law, he could be sent to jail for 5 or more years. (AP)

A protester displays the (British) Hong Kong colonial flag on Wednesday. Under the new law, he could be sent to jail for 5 or more years. (AP)

China's National People's Congress in Beijing rubber-stamped a harsh Hong Kong National Security Law on Tuesday, and on Wednesday arrested over 300 peaceful protesters in Hong Kong.

On Wednesday, the Hong Kong police bragged about their first arrest on Twitter:

"#BREAKING: A man was arrested for holding a #HKIndependence flag in #CausewayBay, Hong Kong, violating the #NationalSecurityLaw. This is the first arrest made since the law has come into force.
— Hong Kong Police Force (@hkpoliceforce) July 1, 2020"

So someone was carrying a "Hong Kong Independence" flag. According to the new National Security Law, he will be in jail for 5-10 years.

The new law marks an end to the "one nation, two systems" doctrine that the Chinese Communist Party had committed to until 2047. It also means that China is repudiating the international commitments that it made when the UK handed Hong Kong over to China in 1997.

This is nothing new. The CCP consider themselves to be the Master Race, and everyone else to be barbarians, as I described in detail in my book, "War Between China and Japan." Their officials take pleasure in lying, knowing that the useful idiots in the Western mainstream media will simply repeat them as if they were true. They commit to international agreements, knowing that they're so superior, they can simply ignore the commitments they've made.

US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in a statement:

"No reasonable person can assert today that Hong Kong maintains a high degree of autonomy from China, given facts on the ground.
Hong Kong and its dynamic, enterprising, and free people have flourished for decades as a bastion of liberty, and this decision gives me no pleasure. But sound policy making requires a recognition of reality. While the United States once hoped that free and prosperous Hong Kong would provide a model for authoritarian China, it is now clear that China is modeling Hong Kong after itself."

Pompeo's statement is an official government assessment that Hong Kong will no longer be assured of receiving special considerations, such as exemptions from tariffs imposed on Chinese goods. However, those decisions have not yet been made.

Terms of the Hong Kong National Security Law

There are harsh penalties -- prison terms of 5 or 10 years or life -- for anything that fits into any one of several categories: secession, subversion, terrorist activities, or collusion with a foreign country.

However, each of these categories is ill-defined, and so they can be applied in any way. Simply criticizing a CCP policy could be interpreted as subversion, for example, just as carrying an "Indpendence" flag makes you guilty of criminal secession.

The CCP will set up its own security forces in Hong Kong, and its own courts, with judges that it appoints. Defendants can be deported to the mainland for trial or jailing there.

The law applies to anyone, anywhere in the world, including Americans. This may seem strange, but it's quite consistent with the CCP view that they're the Master Race, and the rest of the world are barbarians.

Listening to analysts and CCP stooges today, it's pretty clear that the CCP has had a fundamental change of attitude. In the past, they've made concessions to the West to avoid criticisms. But what now seems clear is that they no longer care what anyone in west thinks. They will do whatever they want in Hong Kong, just as they've illegally annexed and militarized the South China Sea, just as they've arrested, jailed, tortured and enslaved millions of Uighurs -- and they won't be deterred by anything, certainly not by a statement by Mike Pompeo.

The CCP believes that by enforcing this new law in the harshest possible way, then the pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong will settle down, and Hong Kong will be fully compliant within a year. History and Generational Dynamics do not support this view.

Ladakh: India - China - Pakistan military buildup continues

Although there haven't been a new military clashes between Indian and Chinese soldiers in Ladakh on the China-India border, military buildups continue on both sides.

As I've written in the past, the Ladakh military clash is remarkably similar to the military clash between Japanese and Chinese soldiers in 1937 in the Marco Polo Bridge Incident. The clash was resolved quickly, but both sides brought in reinforcements. Within a month there was full-scale war, leading to the Japanese "Rape of Nanking" shortly thereafter. ( "13-Jun-20 World View -- China and India mobilize thousands of troops along border in Ladakh")

With both sides bringing reinforcements into Ladakh, the situation is very similar.

Here are some recent developments, according to Indian media (Chinese media is remaining quiet):

China is massing troops in Galwan Valley, which China is claiming as its sovereign territory for the first time. ( "25-Jun-20 World View -- Both India and China reinforce armies in Ladakh, as China makes new claim")

India is sending a dozen steel patrol boats to Ladakh’s Pangong Tso lake, to counter the Chinese Army lake fleet.

Pakistan has moved almost 20,000 troops into Ladakh, to match Chinese deployments. India is preparing for a two-front war with Pakistan and China.

India will deploy Barak-8 medium-range surface-to-air missile systems, on loan from Israel.

John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references, $13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Between-Prepared-Generational/dp/1732738637/

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(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the Generational Dynamics World View News thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (2-Jul-2020) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 2-Jul-2020 2-Jul-20 World View -- China passes Hong Kong Security Law, arrests hundreds of peaceful protesters

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Terms of the Hong Kong National Security Law

Ladakh: India - China - Pakistan military buildup continues

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 2-Jul-2020
2-Jul-20 World View -- China passes Hong Kong Security Law, arrests hundreds of peaceful protesters