	Generational Dynamics
	Modern Generational Theory

\| HOME \| WEB LOG \| COUNTRY STUDIES \| COMMENT \| FORUM \|
\| DOWNLOADS \| FOURTH TURNING ARCHIVE \| ABOUT \|

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 12-Nov-2021
12-Nov-21 World View -- Israel holds joint naval exercises with UAE, Bahrain, affirming Abraham Accords

Web Log - November, 2021

12-Nov-21 World View -- Israel holds joint naval exercises with UAE, Bahrain, affirming Abraham Accords

After one year, the military drills affirm the continuation of Abraham Accords

by John J. Xenakis

This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com

Bahrain, UAE, Israel, US hold joint exercises in Red Sea
After one year, the military drills affirm the continuation of Abraham Accords

Bahrain, UAE, Israel, US hold joint exercises in Red Sea

Signing ceremony for Abraham Accords at the White House on 15-Sep-2020, with officials from Bahrain, Israel, USA and UAE

Signing ceremony for Abraham Accords at the White House on 15-Sep-2020, with officials from Bahrain, Israel, USA and UAE

Israel's navy is taking part in joint maritime drills with the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, and the United States in the Red Sea. This is the first time that Israel's navy has publicly taken part in naval drills with Gulf Arab states.

According to a statement by the US Naval Fifth Fleet, which is headquartered at a base in Bahrain:

"The five-day exercise includes at-sea training aboard amphibious transport dock ship USS Portland (LPD 27) focused on visit, board, search and seizure tactics. The training will enhance interoperability between participating forces' maritime interdiction teams.
"It is exciting to see U.S. forces training with regional partners to enhance our collective maritime security capabilities," said Vice Adm. Brad Cooper, commander of NAVCENT, U.S. 5th Fleet and Combined Maritime Forces. "Maritime collaboration helps safeguard freedom of navigation and the free flow of trade, which are essential to regional security and stability."

This statement doesn't say so, but the drills are aimed at Iran. In March and April, Iran and Israel allegedly attacked each others ships in the Persian Gulf with missiles and explosive. And the US Navy had to fire warning shots during encounters with Iranian vessels in the Gulf.

After one year, the military drills affirm the continuation of Abraham Accords

The Abraham Accords were announced on August 13, 2020, and signed by the participants in September. The Accords were negotiated by Donald Trump's administration between Israel and UAE, later joined by Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan. Trump described the Accords as historic because they were the first public normalization of relations between Israel and an Arab country since the agreement with Jordan in 1994 and the agreement with Egypt in 1979.

There was a lot of skepticism that the Accords would survive for long, but after a year they've even survived an 11-day war between Israel and Gaza. Israel has exchanged ambassadors with the other signatories, and has initiated trade relations with them. The joint naval exercises that Israel is holding with UAE and Bahrain indicate that the Accords are continuing as intended.

One (simplistic) way of looking at the Mideast is that Israel is part of two major fault lines.

One fault line is Sunni vs Shia. This conflict is pitting Iran versus the Arab Gulf nations, and Israel against its will has been drawn into this conflict by Iran. The Abraham Accords directly address this fault line.

The other fault line is Israel vs Palestinians. This conflict comes out of the bloody 1948 war that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel. This fault line is completely unrelated to the Abraham Accords, and is still headed for conflict as much as before.

As I've written many times, Generational Dynamics predicts that there is an approaching Clash of Civilizations world war, pitting the "axis" of China, Pakistan and the Sunni Muslim countries against the "allies," the US, India, Russia and Iran. Part of it will be a major new war between Jews and Arabs, re-fighting the bloody the war of 1948-49 that followed the partitioning of Palestine and the creation of the state of Israel. The war between Jews and Arabs will be part of a major regional war, pitting Sunnis versus Shias, Jews versus Arabs, and various ethnic groups against each other.

Sources:

Related Articles:

(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion, see the Generational Dynamics World View News thread of the Generational Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.) (12-Nov-2021) Permanent Link
Receive daily World View columns by e-mail
Donate to Generational Dynamics via PayPal

Web Log Pages

Current Web Log

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 12-Nov-2021 12-Nov-21 World View -- Israel holds joint naval exercises with UAE, Bahrain, affirming Abraham Accords

Bahrain, UAE, Israel, US hold joint exercises in Red Sea

After one year, the military drills affirm the continuation of Abraham Accords

Web Log Pages

Generational Dynamics Web Log for 12-Nov-2021
12-Nov-21 World View -- Israel holds joint naval exercises with UAE, Bahrain, affirming Abraham Accords