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China's Dong Jingwei defects to the United States
by
John J. Xenakis
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
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When we discuss China's planned invasion of Taiwan, we generally (tacitly) assume that the US will be Taiwan's only foreign defender. While it's not clear how South Korea, Vietnam, Australia or India might react to China's invasion of Taiwan, Japan has been discussing how it would react, in increasingly explicit terms.
Taiwan was a colony of Japan, thanks to the Treaty of Shimonoseki, signed by Japan and China on April 17, 1895, after Japan's victory in the Sino-Japanese war of 1894-95. China ceded Taiwan to Japan as a result of that treaty, and Japan controlled Taiwan until Japan was defeated in 1945. Japan's colonization of Taiwan was harsh, but there were numerous economic benefits to Taiwan, and improvement in living standards. When Japan declared war on China in 1937, Taiwan was an ally of Japan against their common enemy, China.
After WW II, Taiwan and Japan had cordial relations, but there was little talk of joint security and defense planning, since Japan had adopted its "Pacifist Constitution," which made it illegal for Japan to deploy armed forces for any reason other than to defend an attack on Japanese soil.
Finally in 2015, Japan reinterpreted the constitution to permit "collective self-defense," which would permit Japanese military forces to deploy armed forces for an attack on an ally, such as the United States. (See "5-May-14 World View -- Japan debates 'collective self-defense' to protect America and Japan" for a detailed explanation of what was adopted in 2015.)
So a commitment to defend Taiwan from an invasion by China is not a simple thing as it would be in other countries, especially since the pacifist constitution is very popular among the Japanese people, who are still trying to figure out why they acted as they did in WW II. But the increasily belligerent threats from China are forcing the Japanese to look for a solution.
So with that reinterpretation of the Constitution, Japanese government officials are considering two possible paths by which they could militarily support the United States after a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
In a debate on Covid-19 in parliament earlier this month, Japan's prime minister Yoshihide Suga referred to Australia, New Zealand and Taiwan and said, "These three countries have been imposing strong restrictions on privacy rights" to curb the virus outbreak.
It's not known whether this was a slip or was intentional, but it drew the usual hysterical complaint from China's Foreign Ministry: "China expresses strong dissatisfaction with Japan's erroneous remarks and has lodged a solemn protest against Japan."
China claims Taiwan as a province of China, and has repeatedly said that they will invade Taiwan at a time of their choosing to force Taiwan to be part of China. As a result, both the United States and Japan have adopted a policy of "strategic ambiguity," in order to encourage both China and Taiwan to continue thinking that the issue can be resolved in time peacefully (which, of course, it cannot). In particular, the US has not committed to defending Taiwan, but is providing weapons to Taiwan for its own self-defense.
For decades, this strategic ambiguity has been debated in Washington and Tokyo. But now, with the growing military might of China and its growing belligerence, there is pressure on both the US and Japan to abandon strategic ambiguity and commit to defending Taiwan in case of attack.
These discussions are in process, and it's possible that something will be decided within a few months, or not.
According to an analysis by Ian Easton, senior director at the Project 2049 Institute, China is preparing for an all-out invasion within five to ten years.
He says that Beijing’s optimistic version of events goes something like this:
Easton says that Taiwan has been preparing for just such an attack by fortifying defenses around key landing points and conducting drills to repel Chinese forces.
China has blocked Taiwan from getting doses of the Pfizer vaccine. The Pfizer vaccine was co-developed by the German company BioNTech. Taiwan was negotiating with Pfizer to get the vaccine, but China was able to delay the deal indefinitely by pressuring BioNTech and the German government. The Chinese claim that they had offered to sell their vaccine to Taiwan, but Taiwanese law bans Chinese-made medical products, including vaccines.
So earlier this month, Japan delivered 1.24 million doses of AstraZeneca coronavirus vaccine to Japan. The Japanese foreign ministry said that that Japan was responding to a Taiwanese request, and that the donation reflects “Japan’s important partnership and friendship with Taiwan.”
On Friday, Japan it would send 2 million additional doses of AstraZeneca COVID-19 vaccine to Taiwan and Vietnam, and arrangements were being made to send 1 million doses each to Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines.
In addition, the United States recently shipped 2.5 million vaccine does to Taiwan. Taiwan Foreign Minister Joseph Wu tweeted, “The Taiwan-U.S. relationship is rock solid, & we’ll keep cooperating closely in combating COVID19. Forces for good will prevail!”
Analysts who talk about a Chinese invasion of Taiwan usually provide a time frame of five to ten years. That's pretty much what they have to say, isn't it.
But any such timeline assumes that the Chinese Communists are pursuing rational policies. As I've written in the past, crisis wars begin with a chaotic unexpected event. WW I began because a 12-year-old decided to shoot an Archduke in 1914. WW II began because a Japanese soldier had to pee and got lost in the woods in 1937. Those wars were a complete surprise, even to the belligerents. That's how WW III will begin. It will be totally irrational and unexpected, and it could happen any day.
A lot depends on the stability of the CCP government, and I've argued in the past that any dictatorship is fatally flawed and unstable, especially as compared to the US Constitutional government, with its federal system of checks and balances. The problem is that when a dictator does something really stupid, there's no one there to stop him, and anyone who tries is executed. This was true, for example, of Mao Zedong's Great Leap Forward (1958-59), which was possibly the stupidest policy of any country in the history of the world, killing tens of millions of innocent people for no reason at all, destroying China's economy for decades.
So now we have Xi Jinping in that same position of dictator. If he appears weak, he'll be replaced. So he has to be strong, and if he makes a stupid decision, as Mao did, there will be no one to stop him, and the result will be disaster.
Xi reached the position of dictator by a brutal anticorruption campaign, begun in 2012, which targeted some two million officials in the Chinese Communist Party. This was popular with many Chinese, but alienated may elites.
Xi Jinping is facing many problems. Domestic problems include income inequality, environmental threats, land grabs, food safety, Air pollution, water scarcity, and soil contamination. In addition, China’s aging population means that more retirees are supported by fewer young people.
Internationally, China is facing criticism about its brutal crackdown on the free press in Hong Kong, China's arrest and enslavement of millions of Uighurs, and illegal belligerent actions in the South China Sea. The Chinese Communists have made it abundantly clear that they don't care at all what others think of them, and what international laws they violate. What we're seeing is the millennia-old Chinese culture saying that the rest of the world are barbarians, and are to be treated as donkeys, with no purpose except to serve the Chinese Communists.
On top of all this, there have been reports that Xi Jinping and CCP officials have been shocked at the defection in February of Dong Jingwei and his daughter to the United States. Dong is China's Vice Minister of State Security in the Chinese Ministry of Defense. He is perhaps the highest-level Chinese defector the U.S. has ever had.
He is reported to be providing informtion about the identity of all the Chinese spies in the US, and methods used by the Chinese to infiltrate the US government, businesses and universities.
According to a report from Taiwan, this defection has triggered factional fights within the CCP leading to a period of unprecedented instability not seen since the Cultural Revolution.
The point of mentioning all this in an article on Japan's plans to defend Taiwan from Chinese invasion is that the invasion could occur at any time -- maybe in the 5-10 years as predicted by the analysts, but possibly much sooner than that with an overwhelmed dictator Xi Jinping in charge, and the possibiity that he'll order some military action in the Taiwan Strait to deflect from his personal or political problems.
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Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.)
(28-Jun-2021)
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China's strategic interest in Myanmar / Burma
by
John J. Xenakis
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
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A significant new escalation in the civil war in Myanmar / Burma occurred on Tuesday as the junta regime's armed forces clashed with the Mandalay People’s Defence Force (Mandalay PDF), a newly formed anti-junta militia in Mandalay, Myanmar's second largest city.
Since the February 1 army coup that installed the junta dictatorship, junta forces have been clashing with militias for months in rural areas. What's different this time is that the clash is occurring in a large urban center, Mandalay. As the civil war progresses, this could lead to large-scale carnage among the huge, dense population of Mandalay. According to the junta, troops killed four people and arrested eight others.
The United Nations is warning that unless something is done, Myanmar will accelerate to a civil war of "unprecedented scale." Well, of course, there are many civil wars of "unprecedented scale" all the time, including Burma's last generational crisis civil war (1948-58), so let's ignore the UN hyperbole.
Nothing will be done because the United Nations has become completely toothless. Any resolution in the Security Council is a joke, vetoed by Russia and China. There was a non-binding resolution passed last week by the UN General Assembly. It had been debated for three months and was supposed to call for an arms embargo, but it only passed after the arms embargo stuff was deleted, so the resolution says exactly nothing.
The Biden administration has imposed sanctions on Myanmar's gemstone industry, which funds the army's violent actions, as well as a number of individuals in the junta's government. These sanctions will do no good, but it's interesting to mention them because it shows, once again, that the US is policeman of the world, and can actually take action while the UN can only pass toothless resolutions.
As I've described starting with the massive demonstrations in 2007 by the "'88 Generation," Burma's last two generational crisis wars (1886-91 and 1948-58) were extremely bloody and violent civil wars involving multiple ethnic groups. (See "Burma: Growing demonstrations by the '88 Generation' raise fears of new slaughter")
As expected, the demonstrations in 2007 fizzled out, because Myanmar/Burma was in a generational Unraveling era, when the last aging survivors of the preceding crisis war exert all their political power to prevent a new crisis war.
But starting in 2016, 58 years after the end of the last crisis war, the survivors were almost all gone (dead or retired), and the people in power were in younger generations, with no sense of history.
Starting in 2011, Buddhists began attacking Muslim Rohingyas in villages across Burma, particularly the 1.1 million ethnic Rohingyas in Rakhine State. Mobs of Buddhists attacked Muslims, conducting atrocities including torture and rape, killing hundreds and forcing hundreds of thousands to leave their homes to flee from the attacks. In some cases, the Buddhists burned down entire Rohingya villages to the ground.
However, the worst violence began after a terrorist attack on Ausgust 25, 2017. The Tatmadaw (the army) responded with a sweep of violence against Rohingyas, causing thousands of them to flee their villages and head for the Bangladesh border, where they hoped to cross and reach a refugee camp. The Burmese army shot them as they were fleeing, including women and children, killing dozens. This was the beginning of mass genocide and ethnic cleansing of the Rohingyas. There are now a million Rohingyas who were forced to flee across the border into Bangladesh, where they're living in filthy refugee camps.
However, that wasn't the end of the Tatmadaw's program of mass torture, rape and slaughter. After the coup of February 1 of this year, that same army turned on its own people. The Tatmadaw has been conducting torture, rape and slaughter of the ordinary Burmans, the Burmese people. And this time it isn't fizzling the way it did in 2007. Isn't it amazing, Dear Reader, what crazy things people do during a generational Crisis era?
So as Generational Dynamics has been predicting, the army and the people of Myanmar/Burma are refighting their last generational crisis war, which was a massive bloody war among ethnic groups (1948-58), with intervention by the Chinese.
But now there's a new acronym appearing in news reports: EAG, which stands for "Ethnic Armed Group." The EAGs are militias formed by different anti-junta ethnic groups in Myanmar. There are 135 ethnic groups in Myanmar, so there is the possibility of 135 different EAGs. The population of Myanmar numbers somewhere between 51 and 55 million people. Of this, around 68% are considered part of the dominant ethnic group - the Bamar (also known as the Burmans).
Here are some of the most significant EAGs:
Many people are comparing the civil war in Myanmar against the civil war in Syria.
Here's a comparison by the analysts at Lowy in Australia:
"Like their fellow Syrian protestors, civilians in Myanmar are forming their own militias. Myanmar already had a patchwork of ethnic militias, some of which have stepped up attacks on the military, known as the Tatmadaw, ostensibly in support of the protestors. Geopolitically, the fault lines mirror the Syrian conflict, with Russia and China blocking Western-led efforts to censure the Tatmadaw at the United Nations.Nonetheless, there are substantial differences between 2021 Myanmar and 2011–12 Syria.
Three key elements helped create the Syrian conflagration: a mass armed uprising, extensive foreign intervention on both sides and an influx of foreign fighters. None of those elements currently exist in Myanmar, and it is unclear whether they ever will – particularly the second and third."
From the point of view of Generational Dynamics, this analysis is nonsense, and it's instructive to understand why.
Syria's last generational crisis war climaxed in February 1982 with the destruction of the town of Hama, by Hafez al-Assad. His son, Bashar al-Assad, launched an attack on peaceful protesters in 2011, during a generational Awakening/Unraveling era. During such an era, the traumatized survivors of the previous crisis war do what they can to prevent a new war. Bashar al-Assad's army suffered from poor morale and heavy desertions, and in 2015, al-Assad announced that he was going to lose the war. At that point, Russia intervened. That's why there was "extensive foreign intervention on both sides and an influx of foreign fighters." This was the result of an unpopular war during an Awakening/Unraveling era.
So when comparing the Syria war to the Myanmar war, the reason for Russian (and Iranian) intervention in the Syrian war was that al-Assad was going to be defeated. It is typical for an Awakening/Unraveling war to fizzle, just like the Myanmar rebellions in 2007 and 1988.
Myanmar has been in a generational Crisis era since 2016. There is no chance that this war will fizzle like the Syria war. It's possible that the Chinese will intervene, but that's because of the fighting along China's border.
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China has for years been supplying weapons to the Tatmadaw, but has been reluctant to fully endorse the February 1 coup, because the Chinese Communists fear that the people of Myanmar will turn against the Chinese.
Myanmar is an essential element of the Chinese Communists' delusional grand plan to lead and control the world within five years. According to this plan, China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) will bring peace and harmony to the entire world, and all countries will resolve their mutual differences and accede to China's leadership. The only thing that can go wrong, according to this delusiona plan, is that the US will be jealous, and will go to war with China to stop it.
The major BRI project in Myanmar is the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC), which is strategically essential to China's grand plan, since it provides a corridor for the transport of people and goods between China's Yunnan province and the Indian Ocean, through Myanmar's ports on the Andaman Sea. This is similar to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), which connects China's Xinjiang province to Pakistan's Gwardar port, which China now controls.
Both CMEC and CPEC are essential to China's delusional grand plan, since they have to counter the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, formed by the US, along with Australia, India and Japan, with the obvious goal of countering China.
So the Myanmar civil war is more than just an inconvenience to the Chinese Communists. It's a threat to their whole delusional plan for world domination. What the Chinese really want is for the war to just end and go away, but in a generational Crisis era, that's very unlikely. It's much more likely that it will re-fight the previous crisis war, the extremely bloody 1948-58 civil war that involved all of Burma's ethnic groups, and forced the Chinese to intervene to protect their border.
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China and Russia have historically been the biggest weapons suppliers to the Tatmadaw, but they have different objectives.
Neither the Russians nor the Chinese care at all how many Myanmar civilians are tortured, raped, beaten or slaughtered. The Russians and the Chinese don't even care how many of their own people are tortured, raped, beaten or slaughtered, let alone the Myanmar people.
So the Russians are perfectly happy to fully support the coup, and continue to supply weapons to the Tatmadaw. Russia does not share a border with Myanmar, and so any genocide or mass slaughter is miles away, and easily ignored.
But as we said, the civil war is a problem for the Chinese. The war could spill over across the border into China, and the people of Myanmar could turn against China, at a time when their support is needed for the CMEC and China's grand delusional plan to run the world. Thus, it is critical for China that the Myanmar people not blame the Chinese for the ongoing violence. There have already been attacks on Chinese factories by groups claiming that the Chinese are supporting the army violence. So the Chinese will continue supplying weapons, but will keep as low a profile as possible.
For the Tatmadaw, the situation is ideal. They can play the Russians and Chinese off against each other, and get all the weapons they want for their fun program of torture, rape, beatings and slaughter.
In fact, there are eight countries that have openly expressed support for the coup and the violence: Russia, China, India, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Laos, and Thailand.
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Just as China has a potential problem along the border with Myanmar, Thailand has an actual problem.
More than 20,000 villagers, mostly women and children, in Karen State (Kayin State, Kayah State) have been forced to flee from their homes into the jungle to escape the relentless airstrikes and artillery fire by the Tatmadaw. The targets are supposed to be military targets of the Karen National Liberation Army (KNLA), but as always happens with genocidal armies, the Tatmadaw are most targeting civilians, in order to "send a message."
As food is scarce in the jungle, with stories emerging of mothers having to feed their children with insects, many villagers have fled across the border into Thailand. Thailand has set up military checkpoints along the border, and is pushing villagers back across the border into Myanmar.
Thailand's Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha fully supports the coup and the violence by Myanmar's coup leader, Gen. Min Aung Hlaing. That is because Prayuth conducted his own coup in 2014, overthrowing the democratically elected government of Thailand, and Hlaing was the first foreign leader to congratulate him. (See "23-May-14 World View -- Thailand's army seizes power in major victory for 'yellow shirt' elites")
But there hasn't been similar violence in Thailand as is occurring in Myanmar. According to reports, Hlaing has been asking for advice from Prayuth in back-channel discussions, but so far they haven't worked.
Once again, the explanation is the difference in generational era. Thailand's last generational crisis war was the extremely violent "Killing Fields war" in the 1970s next door in Cambodia, so Thailand is in an Awakening/Unraveling era, while Myanmar is in a generational Crisis era. So Prayuth might be able to provide some interesting details, but nothing he says will help quell the Crisis era fury of the anti-junta rebels in Thailand.
As I've written before, the situation in Myanmar/Burma reeks of Karmic justice.
Since 2011, Burma's army has been committing atrocities on Muslim ethnic Rohingyas living in Rakhine State, including gang rape, violent torture, execution-style killings and the razing of entire villages, in a scorched earth campaign. These atrocities have been cheered by the ordinary Myanmar people, led by Buddhist monk Ashin Wirathu, most of whom apparently hate the Rohingyas.
Aung Sang Suu Kyi became a "useful idiot" for the army by presenting a sympathetic, tired, weary, female face to the world, defending the army to deflect the horrors and atrocities that are occurring in their country. In 2019, the International Court of Justice in the Hague held a trial on Burma's genocide, and Aung Sang Suu Kyi came and defended the army, saying that nothing had happened.
So now the same atrocities that the Buddhist monks cheered when used against the Muslim Rohingyas are being used against the Buddhists, and the "useful idiot" Aung Sang Suu Kyi is in jail, where she'll probably be killed when it's convenient for the Tatmadaw. That's full Karmic justice.
In the meantime, it's not just the people of Myanmar who are going to suffer. This is a highly explosive situation, and it's very likely to spread to other countries in the region, including China, Thailand and India. In the Generational Dynamics forum, we keep discussing various scenarios that could lead eventually into a world war, and this is one possibility.
Sources:
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(Comments: For reader comments, questions and discussion,
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Dynamics forum. Comments may be posted anonymously.)
(24-Jun-2021)
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Happy Juneteenth, everyone!
by
John J. Xenakis
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
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North Korean dictator last week said that "The people's food situation is now getting tense," referring to scarcity of food and sharply rising food prices He added that the "agricultural sector failed to fulfil its grain production plan" in 2020.
A massive shortage of food has led to a dramatic rise in prices of basic food commodities. A kilogram of bananas costs $45. The price of a kilogram of rice was $0.77 in April, $0.90 in May, and $0.96 in June.
North Korea is subject to both UN and US sanctions, but normally North Korea's agricultural sector can produce enough food, and receive supplements from China and Russia. However, this failed to be enough during 2020 for three reasons:
The food shortage has not surprisingly led to violence in some areas. According to reports, construction workers building houses in the capital city Pyongyang, North Korea’s largest city with a population of about 3 million, are poorly fed, and are committing robberies and murders to steal food in the neighborhoods where the houses are being built.
At the conclusion of a Central Committee meeting on Friday, Kim "solemnly swore that the Party will surely break through head-on the difficulties lying in the way of the revolution" and remain loyal to the revolutionary idea to the end regardless of the "severer difficulties it may be confronted with in the future," according to KCNA, the (North) Korean Central News Agency.
It's not clear how the North Koreans plan to do that, but there have already been some missteps.
North Korea's state-run food stores normally sell just basic foods like unprocessed corn and rice, but due to shortages are now selling some processed foods like sugar, seasonings, flour and cooking oil. However, stocks of those foods are extremely low as well.
A different concern was raised by a recent special "intensive inspection of the storage maintenance status of combat reserve supplies" for the armed forces. The inspection revealed shortages of reserve supplies, and evidence of corruption, since the written records do not match the actual supplies. According to an RFA report:
"The main focus of this inspection is on supplies like wartime fuel, food, combat suites and medicine. All units typically lack fuel, food and medicine so they often secretly dip into their reserves."
Managers responsible for the combat reserve supplies may now fact punishment:
"In addition to the punishment of those who are found at fault in the military-wide intensive inspection, the project to distribute combat reserve materials according to demand will also be under review.All units have been specifically asked whether they comply with the directive that requires them to create combat reserve supplies by contributing five percent of the daily supplies guaranteed by the state and of military supplies they themselves produce."
Obviously, this has implications for the ability of North Korea's army to attack South Korea, when Kim Jong-un decides to do so.
We haven't heard much from North Korean dictator Kim Jong-un since those exciting gone-by days of yesteryear prior to the Wuhan Coronavirus (Covid-19) pandemic, when he was meeting regularly with Donald Trump, and the two were expressing their love for one another, in their father-son relationship. In particular, there haven't been any new tests of nuclear weapons or long-range ballistic missiles in a long time. There were some short-range missile tests in March of this year, but they didn't generate much excitement.
President Joe Biden has not announced a North Korea policy, except for "consulting with our allies and partners" and "some form of diplomacy ... conditioned upon the end result of denuclearization," as he said after the North Korean missile test in March.
At that time, I wrote a lengthy article comparing the strategies of Donald Trump and Joe Biden. (See "28-Mar-21 World View -- North Korea's ballistic missiles stoke the Denuclearization Delusion")
The point of the article was the same as in the articles about North Korea that I've been writing for years -- that it makes absolutely no difference what strategy is used by Trump and Biden. North Korea is going to continue developing and manufacturing nuclear weapons and long-range ballistic missiles, and one day will use them, probably on Japan and the US. The idea of North Korea denuclearization is completely delusionary, even though the "Denuclearization Delusion" persists in the dream world of Pollyannaish fantasy.
In fact, Biden's special representative for North Korea, Sung Kim, was in South Korea on Saturday to discuss the stalled denuclearization talks. Kim Jong-un ordered his government to prepare for both dialogue and confrontation with the United States. Kim is demanding that the US lift its sanctions on North Korea.
Saturday was the new federal holiday, Juneteenth, celebrating the day June 19, 1865, when the Republicans, who had won the Civil War and emancipated the slaves under Abraham Lincoln, officially completed the emancipation by forcing the Democrats, who had finally surrendered after losing the Civil War, to really give up their slaves and set them free.
I can't help but think that this is an odd holiday for the Democrats to be celebrating, since it's a day of their total humiliation and surrender. Following the emancipation, the bitterly angry Democrats formed the Ku Klux Klan (KKK) and spent the next century lynching black boys and raping black girls with impunity.
This anger continues to today. Joe Biden grew up at the time when the KKK was active, and his friend and mentor Robert Byrd held the title "Exalted Cyclops." Biden and Byrd may have participated in some lynchings or rapes, or if not were certainly aware of them and approved of them. Biden was a racist and White Supremacist his entire life, and was quite public about it until Barack Obama nominated him to be vice president. But with the recent release of Hunter Biden's texts, which were laced with highly racist epithets, we know that racism and White Supremacy are deeply embedded in the Biden family.
Maxine Waters, who has often appeared to be totally unhinged, must have suffered some kind of trauma in the past. My guess is that either she was raped as a young girl by a White Democrat in the KKK, or if not, at the least she must have known many young black girls who were raped. Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot, who also seems to be unhinged, was born too late to be raped by a KKK member, but undoubtedly knew many black women who had been raped in years past. Frankly, I don't blame Waters or Lightfoot for acting as they do, given the trauma they must have suffered decades ago, surrounded by black girls and women who had been raped by White Democrats.
Lori Lightfoot's Chicago is a good example of how the Democrats are causing massacres of blacks today, just as though the KKK were as active as before. Lightfoot and other Democrat politicians have adopted a set of racist policies that specifically target black communities, making them unsafe and punishing successful black businesses. These policies include the following: destroying the black family, defunding police, not arresting violent criminals, letting violent criminals out of jail, keeping the police from making gun checks, forbidding community policing, and allowing huge amounts of fentynal and meth into the country through the southern border. Of course whites also suffer from these policies, but not nearly as much as blacks do. These policies all target blacks and have the specific purpose of making black neighborhoods unsafe and poor. These are all White Supremacist policies, and any Democrat who follows them is, by definition, a White Supremacist.
The results speak for themselves: Hundreds of blacks are killed each week through mass shootings on the streets of Chicago and other Democrat-run cities, where the above racist policies are in force. These have the same purpose as the 1921 Tulsa massacre of a century ago. It's as if the KKK were still as active as ever in the mass slaughter of blacks.
So now we come to the new Juneteenth federal holiday, which celebrates the Democrat Party's loss of their black slaves, and also commemorates the Democrat Party's launching of the KKK. I find it bewildering that the Democrats allowed this holiday to be celebrated, and I can't help but wonder if this is actually the beginning of a social war by the blacks against their white masters.
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(20-Jun-2021)
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Understanding inflation, deflation and the CPI
by
John J. Xenakis
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
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In mid-May, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) published its monthly computation of the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) of 4.2%, the highest rate since September 2008. This means that consumer prices had risen 4.2% in the preceding 12 months.
The media went hysterical and started predicting hyperinflation. A typical media statement by so-called "experts" was some variation of the following:
"Inflation exploded in April at an annual rate of 4.2%, the highest rate since Sept 2008, so inflation is already occurring, and we can expect much higher inflation or hyperinflation in the next few months!"
Long-time readers are aware that I have a low opinion of economists, and the above statement is one more example. If the inflation rate was even higher in September 2008, then why wasn't there hyperinflation in 2009? These "experts" are too dumb to even ask that question. As it turned out, there was mild deflation in 2009, so the Law of Reversion of the Mean took hold.
Then in mid-June, the BLS reported a CPI increase of 4.99%. Here's how CNBC reported it:
"The consumer price index, which represents a basket including food, energy, groceries, housing costs and sales across a spectrum of goods, rose 5% from a year ago. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been expecting a gain of 4.7%.The reading represented the biggest CPI gain since the 5.3% increase in August 2008, just before the worst of the financial crisis sent the U.S. spiraling into the worst recession it had seen since the Great Depression."
This was actually a pretty good report, since it balanced the inflation hysteria with a sober report about what happened in 2009.
However, it didn't stop the hysteria from the so-called "experts" on TV, who have been predicting hyperinflationary doom, because they just can't seem to grasp that this CPI change is a temporary spike.
The following page contains a table of historical changes in the CPI month by month for the preceding 12 months, from 1913 to the present:
Historical Consumer Price Index Change
If you'd like, you can copy and paste the table on that page into a text file or into a spreadsheet, or you can just read the table on the web page.
You should spend a few minutes studying that table. It shows how the current spike in inflation is not unusual in the last three decades, and that there were previous larger spikes that didn't lead to sustained inflation.
As I've written many times, the "experts" have been consistently wrong about inflation since 2003, when I started keeping track, and predicted a deflationary era. For the last 70 quarters, the "experts" predicted that there would be inflation or super-inflation in the following quarter, and for 70 quarters they've been wrong every quarter and I've been right every quarter. And now it's the same thing all over again.
It would be VERY nice if even one of these "experts" at least acknowledged that they've been wrong for the last 70 quarters, and explained why "this time it's different" this quarter. But they never do.
When I first wrote about deflation in 2003, I really didn't understand what was going on, and in fact I said that inflation is "very mysterious." But I knew we were in a stock market bubble, and I knew that public debt was very high, and I knew that we were in a generational Crisis era, so I assumed that we would be following the deflationary path of the 1930s, and that we were in a "deflationary era."
That turned out to be correct. But now, having seen what happened in the last almost 20 years, I now have a much better idea about what a "deflationary era" or "disinflationary era" means. It means two things:
There are two economic measures that define a deflationary era:
Both of these economic measures are generational, in the sense that they occur during generational Crisis eras, and are the opposite of what occurred in the generational Awakening era of the 1970s. During the 1970s, people were still recovering from the Great Depression and public debt was extremely low, so people were willing to incur debt and spend money, resulting in a high velocity of money in the 1970s, and inflation.
The global financial crisis of 2007-2008 caused many people to go bankrupt or to lose their homes, and that made people extremely averse to spending. This reluctance to spend was measured by the velocity of money, which has been falling sharply since then. You can see that clearly by the graph at the beginning of this article.
This doesn't cause deflation, but it does put a lid on inflation during this deflationary era. It also means that when there's a burst of inflation caused by scarcity, like today, it will not encourage people to spend more, but instead will cause people to become more cautious and pull back even further, often resulting in a brief period of deflation as the scarcity unwinds. This happened in 2009, following an inflationary spike in 2008.
The second factor, besides velocity of money, is increasing public debt.
But today, public debt is extremely high and growing. This feeds into the velocity of money, since people in debt are very reluctant to spend and pay high prices, which would only increase their debt.
Furthermore, the high public debt leads to the second outcome of a deflationary era, namely that it ends with a sharp deflationary crash. This is because of the chain reaction that starts at the beginning of a financial crisis. As debts come due, people are no longer able to borrow money to roll debts over, so they have to sell assets and collect money owed through other people's interlocking debts, and that forces other people to sell their assets, resulting in a chain reaction and a full-fledged deflationary spiral.
I was actually expecting this to happen in 2008, with the collapse of Lehman and other banks. But something happened that I didn't expect -- that the Fed would flood the markets with "quantitative easing" (printed money), which provided banks with plenty of liquidity so that they could lend money to roll debts over. The problem is that this exacerbated the problem of interlocking debt and extended it around the world, so that the next crisis won't be resolved by quantitative easing, especially if it happens in the context of war.
Here's a final ironic point. When the US government "prints money," knee-jerk economists say that this will result in "too many dollars chasing too few goods" and inflation. This was true in the 1970s, but the opposite is true in a generational Crisis era, which the knee-jerk economists don't grasp at all. Printing money today does not generate inflation today. Printing money today increases public debt, which makes people more cautious and lowers the velocity of money. So printing money today does not cause inflation. It creates disinflationary pressure, and eventually will make the deflationary crash much larger. So printing money today actually causes more deflation.
You know, I used to think that the amount of money in the economy (M2) at least had some effect on the inflation rate, but as time has gone on, I increasingly believe that the amount of money has absolutely nothing to do with the inflation rate, at least in the American economy.
The inflation rate is not a monetary phenomenon. It's a generational phenomenon. It's not the Fed that affects the inflation rate. It's the people and the mood of the people that affect the inflation rate.
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(15-Jun-2021)
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Evidence grows that Wuhan coronavirus came from Wuhan Virology Lab
by
John J. Xenakis
This morning's key headlines from GenerationalDynamics.com
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This is an article about two subjects -- threats by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to bomb Australia and the unraveling of the CCP's Wuhan coronavirus coverup. As different as these issues are, they have a common core: the intense increase in the last year of China's xenophobia, paranoia, nationalism and belligerence. This has been predicted by Generational Dynamics for years, as the prelude to world war. By now, the level of hostility between China and the West is as bad as the hostility between Japan and the US in 1941, in the months prior to the bombing of Pearl Harbor.
This is being described as a sharp rise in "Wolf Warrior" strategy, named after a 2015 Chinese-produced military action film that demands a belligerent response to anyone disrespecting China.
Here's how left-leaning Foreign Policy magazine puts it:
"Sometime in 2020, China came unmoored from its grand strategy. Until then, Beijing’s diplomatic, military, and economic efforts were all directed toward national security. ... The consistency of purpose underpinning China’s behavior was hard to miss.Of late, however, China has lost that purposefulness -- one of the hallmarks of grand strategy. The predominant feature of Chinese conduct today is not grand strategy but a belligerent, defensive nationalism that lashes out without heed of consequences. Just why that breakdown has occurred is uncertain, but it is clear that the change has put both China and the world in jeopardy. China risks undoing all it has gained -- at considerable cost -- since the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) came to power. And the rest of the world, particularly the United States, finds itself confronted not with the hard task of managing a rising, reasonably predictable power but the infinitely harder job of managing a flailing one."
Analysts analyzing the situation say that the rise in this kind of xenophobic nationalism actually began in 2008 with the global financial crisis. I would agree with that because 2008 was 59 years after the end of China's civil war in 1949, and so was the time that China entered its generational Crisis era (Fourth Turning), just as 2003 was the time when America entered its generational Crisis era, 58 years after the end of World War II. There's a parallel between Washington and Beijing in that sensible policies in this era have been replaced by total lunacy in both capitals. Unfortunately, that's how world wars start.
Last year I gave as an example of the insanity of CCP policy is that it was threatening war over 21 different border disputes with neighboring countries. This would be like America threatening border disputes with Canada, Russia, Mexico, Haiti, Dominican Republic and Cuba. The CCP no longer has any coherent strategy, and is striking out in all directions. (See "5-Jul-20 World View -- Gleeful China wins big Hong Kong victory at UN Human Rights Council -- India's list of China's border disagreements")
Australia has a long history of antipathy towards Chinese in Australia since European settlement, starting with race riots amid the gold rush of the 1850s and '60s. With hundreds of Chinese prospectors injured and evicted from mining sites, the unrest prompted immigration rules that led to the infamous "White Australia" policy, which existed in various forms from 1901 until 1973.
Although these racist policies were repealed decades ago, there has never been a comfortable relationship. In May 2018, an Australian MP accused politicians of Chinese ancestry of being spies for the CCP, and the parliament passed sweeping influence laws targeting secret attempts by foreign spies to influence Australia's politicians, media, ethnic groups and civil society organizations. ( "29-Jun-18 World View -- Australia passes foreign influence laws, targeting China")
In April of last year, Australia's relationship with China deteriorated significantly after prime minister Scott Morrison called for an international inquiry into the origins of the coronavirus pandemic. The Chinese were furious, assuming that it was an attack on the CCP (which, in fact, it was). Morrison further infuriated the Chinese for commenting on human rights abuses in Xinjiang and Hong Kong, and for criticizing China's repeated threats to invade Taiwan.
At this point, China was deep into its "wolf warrior" phase. China blocked or slowed exports from Australia of numerous products, including wine, barley, beef, timber and coal.
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Australia was infuriated in December when China's foreign ministry tweeted a fake picture of an Australian soldier holding a knife to the neck of an Afghan baby, saying, "Don't be afraid, we are coming to bring you peace." In his strongest criticism of China, Morrison said:
"The Chinese government should be totally ashamed of this post. It diminishes them in the world's eyes. It is an absolutely outrageous and disgusting slur. Australia is seeking an apology from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and we are seeking it be removed from Twitter."
Needless to say, China did not apologize, and Twitter did not remove it. However, Morrison's statement was significant because it was strong comment Morrison had ever made about the CCP since taking office.
Four months later, in April of this year, Australia struck back at China by canceling Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) agreements that China had contracted with Victoria, a province in southeast Australia. The reason given was that the projects were not compatible with Australia's security, and made Victoria too dependent on China. Agreements with Iran and Syria were also scrapped at the same time.
These were small projects, so this should not have been a big deal, and it would not have been in any other era. But China responded with rage and threats, calling the cancellation "unreasonable and provocative," and vowing revenge.
China's state media Global Times accused Australia to be a puppet of the United States, and wrote the following, referring to Australia's capital city Canberra:
"Canberra must have known or even anticipated that its action would draw such a furious response and potentially crippling countermeasures from Beijing. However, it still decided to move ahead with the action. Clearly, Canberra is increasingly unhinged and in way over its head by taking such a suicidal attack on not just China but also its own economic interests.Since the cancellation of the BRI deals, speculation has been rife that Canberra may soon suffer from the wrath of its largest trading partner. Given the viciousness and seriousness of the move, we won't be surprised if China takes forceful countermeasures to inflict serious pain on Australia. With China's comprehensive strength, there are numerous ways for China to achieve that."
The reason for China's hysterical response is that the cancellation of this small project is a loss of faith for the CCP and Xi Jinping himself.
As I've written in the past, has a totally delusional geopolitical strategy based on BRI. Guided by China's leadership, countries throughout Africa, Asia and the Mideast will put aside their disagreements. Old hatreds will be mended by necessity, to attract capital for investments. These include countries like Iran, Saudi Arabia, India, and Pakistan. China will create a "global colossal," of dozens of countries in a massive multi-country partnership, bound together by China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). China foresees connecting the world through trade and peace, but foresees only one obstacle: that America will try to block it, leading to war.
China has used bribery, corruption, and threats to coerce countries in Asia, Africa and Europe agree to build BRI projects in those countries. However, China is receiving increasing resistance to these projects because of "debt trap diplomacy," which gives China almost effective control over each national government. This is actually what Australia feared, in canceling Victoria's BRI project.
A firm cancellation of Australia's Victoria BRI project would be the first such cancellation and would be a major crack in the entire delusional geopolitical plan, since it would provide cover for other countries to similary cancel or refuse BRI projects.
So China's hysteria over the cancelation, with threats of revenge, is intended to force Australia to reverse its decision, just as the boycotts of barley, coal and other products was intended to force Australia to back down from its demands in the area of human rights and particularly its demand for an international investigation of the source of the Wuhan Coronavirus.
At the beginning of May, the editor in chief of the Global Times posted the following editorial:
"Given that Australian hawks keep hyping or hinting that Australia will assist the US military and participate in war once a military conflict breaks out in the Taiwan Straits, and the Australian media outlets have been actively promoting the sentiment, I suggest China make a plan to impose retaliatory punishment against Australia once it militarily interferes in the cross-Straits situation. The plan should include long-range strikes on the military facilities and relevant key facilities on Australian soil if it really sends its troops to China's offshore areas and combats against the PLA. In addition to making the plan, China should also reveal this plan through non-official channels to deter the extreme forces of Australia and prevent them from taking the risk and committing irresponsible actions.China loves peace and will not take the initiative to pick a fight with faraway Australia, but Australian hawks must be clear-minded. If they are bold enough to coordinate with the US to militarily interfere in the Taiwan question and send troops to the Taiwan Straits to wage war with the PLA, they must know what disasters they would cause to their country. China has a strong production capability, including producing additional long-range missiles with conventional warheads that target military objectives in Australia when the situation becomes highly tense."
This is a remarkable statement, for several reasons:
This editorial well illustrates the belligerent mood in Beijing, and its "wolf warrior" attitude that China must never be disrespected.
Now let's turn to the second subject area, the Wuhan coronavirus.
Last week, president Joe Biden ordered intelligence officials to investigate the origins of the Wuhan Coronavirus, including the theory that it came from the Wuhan Virology Lab in China, either accidentally or intentionally, and that the virus was the result of "gain of function" research to create a bioweapon for the military. The investigation will also look at China's actions in covering up the spread of the virus, protecting China by blocking internal travel, and then purposely spreading the virus to 180 other countries by encouraging air travel between Wuhan and those countries.
This order has caused a seismic shock in Beijing, as well as in Washington's mainstream media.
Simply calling for an investigation isn't exactly an act of war, but we've seen how Australia's call for an investigation in March of last year led to hysterical calls for revenge and retribution, including boycotts of Australian goods, escalating up to the present time when Chinese media is talking about bombing Australian soil.
The CCP is far more reluctant to threaten the US militarily than to threaten Australia. Nonetheless, they must be considering possible forms of revenge in the next few weeks.
For now, the CCP response is limited to the usual hysterical lying and deceptions. Here's the statement from China's foreign ministry spokesman:
"However, some in the US, turning a blind eye to facts, science, the questionable study of origins and botched response at home, kept clamoring for additional investigation in China. This shows that they don't care about facts or truth and have zero interest in a serious science-based study of origins. Their one aim is to use the pandemic to pursue stigmatization and political manipulation to shift the blame. They are being disrespectful to science, irresponsible to people's lives, and counter-productive to concerted global efforts to fight the virus. With 33 million confirmed cases and 600,000 deaths from COVID-19, both the highest in the world, the US, instead of examining its own behavior, attempted to scapegoat China. What are they up to? Can they sleep at night with a troubled conscience?What secrets are hidden in the suspicion-shrouded Fort Detrick and the over 200 US bio-labs all over the world? In July 2019, there were reports on the unexplained outbreaks of respiratory disease in northern Virginia and on the subsequent EVALI outbreaks in Wisconsin. What's hidden there? When will the US release detailed data and information on relevant cases? It owes an explanation to the world."
There are many biolabs in many countries around the world, including one at Fort Detrick biodefense center, where an infectious disease research program was shut down in 2019 over problems with disposal of dangerous materials. However, there was no threat to public health, no injuries to employees, and no attempt to protect the United States while purposely infecting 180 countries around the world, so its in no way comparable to the Wuhan Virology Lab.
The seismic shock to Washington's mainstream media is that this is the biggest story of the century, and yet the mainstream media adamantly refused to investigate and report on it, but has cooperated with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to label it as "fake news" or a "conspiracy theory" that was dreamed up by president Donald Trump for political reasons.
Left wing media pundits have been falling all over themselves trying to explain why Donald Trump was right and they were all wrong about the biggest story of the century. Joy Behar of the TV show The View, who is a total idiot, said:
"Trump was blaming the Chinese from the beginning. He was using them as scapegoats. If it happens to be true it was from Wuhan, then that was just a lucky break on his part because he took a guess, in my opinion."
This was echoed by other mainstream media pundits, explaining that the reason that they missed the story of the century was that they didn't want to admit that Trump was right.
However, I believe that the real reason is obvious and far more sinister. The mainstream media and many politicians are totally compromised by the Chinese. News organizations that report news that "disrespects" China can be expelled from China, and even have their reporters jailed. Sports figures have been forced to make humiliating public apologies, kowtowing to China, for merely uttering the word "Uighur" or the phrase "the nation of Taiwan." California representative Eric Swalwell was totally compromised by an affair with a hot Chinese spy, and Joe Biden and his son Hunter are totally compromised by their financial deals with China. But that's just the tip of the iceberg. The CCP have given grants, provided money, provided girls, and provided workers to every university, every public, private and governmental organization, to infiltrate them. This has been a nationwide scandal in Australia and New Zealand.
That China operates this way has been well-documented in many countries, with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) being the primary bribery and extortion vehicle in Asia, Africa and Europe. This is China's playbook, and it gives them the leverage to use extortion against any reporter, sports figure or politician that might otherwise "disrespect" China or disagree with Chinese Communist policies.
So that's the reason why the mainstream media have been refusing to investigate and report the greatest story so far this century. They would rather find a way to blame Trump, even though it makes them look like idiots, rather than admit to being extorted, which they were. It's bad enough that the mainstream media are an arm of the Democrat Party, but it's much worse that the mainstream media are an arm of the Chinese Communist Party. (Paragraph modified, 1-June)
Biden was clearly reluctant to order any investigation for the same reasons, and in fact in January he closed an investigation in the State Dept. that had been opened by Trump and Mike Pompeo. So what changed?
It's just that circumstantial evidence has been growing and growing more powerful over time. This has included whistleblowers and scientists who had worked in the Wuhan Virology Lab.
There were several triggering events during the month of May:
Biden had previously called for the previous WHO investigation to be completed, as had been promised, but after the CCP announcement on Tuesday that they wouldn't cooperate, Biden was compelled politically to agree to an investigation.
In August 2019, shortly before the spread of the Wuhan Coronavirus, Defense One magazine published a detailed analysis of decades of China's plans for creating biological weapons for use by the military. So it's possible, though unproven, that Covid-19 was developed by the Chinese military as a bioweapon.
If you take a virus and turn it into a bioweapon, the type of research is named "gain-of-function." The enhanced virus may be more lethal, may spread more easily, or may target only certain kinds of entities. For example, in 2000 Dutch researchers genetically engineered the spike protein of a mouse coronavirus so that it would attack only cats, but not rodents.
The nightmare scenario for the world is that Chinese scientists might similarly engineer a virus that attacks all humans, excluding all those with Chinese DNA.
Not surprisingly, gain-of-function research has become highly controversial. As described by the recent article in Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, the US National Institutes of Health (NIH) provides grants funding projects at the Wuhan Virology Lab. When questioned about these grants in congressional committees, Dr. Anthony Fauci denied vehemently that these grants ever funded gain-of-research funding at the Wuhan Lab.
However, publicly available documents show that the grants went to a prime contractor, Peter Daszak, president of the EcoHealth Alliance of New York, and that Daszak subcontracted to Bat Lady, Shi Zheng-li, the gain-of-function researcher at Wuhan Virology Lab that we previously described. Fauci insisted that there was no gain-of-function research because the grant agreement specified that there would be no gain-of-funding research. Under questioning, Fauci admitted that there was no way to tell if the Chinese were lying.
The Chinese Communists are supported by many useful idiots in the United States, but apparently Fauci is the stupidest useful idiot of them all.
I've described China's Communist government as being desperate and unstable in the past, and that's been true, but it's been getting much worse. It's a worsening trend that the CCP is desperately striking out in all directions, with a delusional geopolitical plan, 21 border disputes, deteriorating BRI strategy, and facing people in hundreds of countries that are pissed off that China protected themselves while purposely inflicting the Wuhan Coronavirus on them, though are afraid to take any action because of China's bribery and extortion playbook.
Americans can't grasp how China's government is becoming increasingly unstable because the US Constitutional government is possibly the most stable in world history, and we can't imagine it any other way. Every serious decision we take is subject to checks and balances by three branches of government, and is usually first debated in various committees, agencies, and the courts.
Contrast that with China, where Xi Jinping has made himself a dictator for life, which means that he could make a serious decision and there would be no one there to stop him. That's what happened with Mao Zedong's disastrous Great Leap Forward in 1958, which resulted in tens of millions of unnecessary deaths, and destroyed China's economy for decades, so much that it still hasn't recovered. Nothing like that could ever happen in America.
Why did the Imperial Japanese choose December 7, 1941, to bomb Pearl Harbor? They chose that date because they thought that they were running out of time and they panicked. The US had placed an embargo on the trade of all militarily useful items with Japan, and faced with serious shortages, they believed that they had to move quickly, or they would lose the opportunity.
We know that the Chinese are going to attack Taiwan. We know that because they've said so repeatedly, and they've been open about making military preparations for an attack. And now we've learned that their preparations are reaching the stage of possibly bombing Australia, because they believe that Australia's military would join with America's military in defending Taiwan.
China's "Wolf Warrior" strategy of xenophobia, nationalism and belligerance has been growing. I've tried to show a trend, how there have been a series of such incidents, and how each incident has been worse than the last one. Over the last 20 years, I've studied thousands of wars, and this is how wars start.
The Chinese military or Xi Jinping may decide, for rational, irrational or delusional reasons, that they've run out of time and that they have to move quickly, or they would lose the opportunity. No one, not even the Chinese themselves, can predict when they will panic and take that step. All we can do is watch as the Chinese Communist government becomes increasingly unstable and desperate.
This is a separate subject, but this is a good place to include it.
The mainstream media have been pointing to an increase in hate crimes on Asian Americans as proof that Republicans are white supremacists, and that they've been stirred up by president Trump's frequent reference to the "China Virus."
It takes a reporter from the NY Times or CNN to say something as totally idiotic as that. These attacks have been going on since the 1800s, and incidentally they've been even worse in Australia. So they long predate Trump.
However I came across a report, posted in January by the National Institutes of Health, which used data from the Department of Justice to "examine the nature and characteristics of hate crimes against Asian Americans." The report compared hate crimes against Asian Americans, African Americans, and Hispanics.
The most important finding of the report is that perpetrators of hate crimes against Asians are most likely to be blacks, for economic reasons. This is something that's been known anecdotally for a long time, but the NIH report confirms it. It's also clear that the writers of the NIH report don't want you to easily find this result, probably for fear that if they expose the truth, they'll get fired or canceled.
You have to go far into the report to find the results (search for "Table 3" or "Findings of this study, however, also provide support to the minority-specific model"), but the findings are clear:
"Hate crimes against Asian Americans are more likely than hate crimes against either African Americans or Hispanics to be committed by non-White offenders."
"This finding may be attributed to animosity toward the “model minority” from other minority groups. As aforementioned, the “model minority” stereotype assuming Asian Americans’ success in economics, education, and other opportunities generates potential competition or threats by members of other racial groups, which in turn may lead to resentment to be further acted upon through hate crimes."
"Offenders of other minorities of color targeting Asian Americans might fit the category of “reactionists." ... Instead of acting impulsively, the “reactionists” are motivated by protecting their resources from competitors.... This finding might also lend indirect support to the perspective of racial competition motivating hate crimes, which argues that when members of a racial group perceive that their access and privileges to material resources are threatened by other racial groups during economic downturns, racial conflict and hate crimes may occur."
The article by conservative Michelle Malkin referenced below provides multiple examples of hate crimes against Asians by blacks, probably all Democrats.
Reading through the news stories of the Atlanta shooting in March of Asians, you can almost see the frustration of the writers that they can't find an angle to blame Republicans. By this time it's almost certain that the Atlanta shooter was a Democrat, probably a supporter of Black Lives Matter.
A personal note: All the signs are there that the Atlanta shooter was obsessed with Asian women and went berserk. I find this quite believable, since I've known two guys in the past who were obsessed with Asian women -- to date them not to kill them. There's something about Asian women that causes some men (not me) to obsess about them.
John Xenakis is author of: "World View: War Between China and Japan: Why America Must Be Prepared" (Generational Theory Book Series, Book 2), June 2019, Paperback: 331 pages, with over 200 source references, $13.99 https://www.amazon.com/World-View-Between-Prepared-Generational/dp/1732738637/
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