Generational Dynamics
Fourth Turning Forum Archive
Popular links:
Generational Dynamics Web Site
Generational Dynamics Forum
Fourth Turning Archive home page
New Fourth Turning Forum
Introduction
Neil Howe killed the Fourth Turning Forum on May 16, 2016. Prior to
that date, he asked people to copy and save any threads and contents
that they need or want.
As a service to the Fourth Turning community, the Generational
Dynamics web site is pleased to present an archive of many of the
threads in the old Fourth Turning Forum. Not all threads were saved,
or could be saved -- in its 20 year history, the Fourth Turning Forum
had a total of 7,757 threads, 525,420 posts, and 3,582 members. But
prior to the old FTF forum being killed, I asked members to let me
know what threads they wanted saved, so I believe that this archive
contains the most important of them, a total of 288 threads and 4049
pages.
Generational Dynamics would not have been possible without the
brilliant foundational work done by Neil Howe and the late William
Strauss on generational theory, publishing their findings in their
1995 book, The Fourth Turning.
However, their work was extremely limited, developing identifying
generational cycles only for England and America from the 1400s to the
present, and asserting that the entire world was on a single
generational cycle.
Generational Dynamics extends generational theory to every country
and society at any time in history, from ancient times on every
continent to the present.
Generational Dynamics is based on MIT's System Dynamics applied to the
dynamics of historical generational changes. System Dynamics was
developed at MIT in the 1960s by Jay Forrester, and this is by far the
most significant application of System Dynamics that's ever been
developed, because it's been so successful. Every country has its own
generational timeline. System Dynamics is used to predict what can be
predicted, and Chaos Theory is used to determine what cannot be
predicted. Since 2003, this web site has posted thousands of articles
containing hundreds of non-ideological predictions and analyses, and
every prediction has turned out to be true or is trending true. None
has been wrong. Generational Dynamics is the most successful
predictive and analytical methodology in history.
I joined the Fourth Turning Forum as a member in 2003. I developed
the Generational Dynamics theory with help from other members of
the forum. Matt Ignal, Nathaniel Ament-Stone, and Mike Alexander
were particularly big contributors. You will find many of their
postings, and mine, in the archive.
John J. Xenakis
1920s-1990s
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2016-18: The nest step down.
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3T or 4T? The POLL
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4T poll - August 2007
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A different view of the cycle
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A Nobel Laureate and The Fourth Great Awakening
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America in 2020
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Announcement
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Anything But Bush
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April 14, 2003: Having Troubles Posting?
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Are We There Yet?
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Australia
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Bernie 4 Prez anybody?
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Beyond the Forum
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Big Test for Generational Dynamics
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Boomers & Silents; 2004-2024
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Boomers Finally Get It?
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Britain on France
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British Turnings and Generations
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Burma
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Bye everyone
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Canada
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Cascade Phase of a Crisis
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Cause of the Saeculum
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Characterize the Generations
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China
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China Shares Tumble as Panic Spreads
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Conflict with Russia
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Congressional Approval Rating at 14%
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Conservatism contra populism; or, what hope is there for an anti-anti-elitist Right?
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Conversations with Authors
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Copyright material
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Count Every Vote Act
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Crazy Russia
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Delayed Generations - The Rewrite
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Divorce rates crashing
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Do you like Justin Bieber?
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Favorite Turning?
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Fermi's Paradox: Where are the aliens?
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Financial Crisis
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Finding Nemo
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Follow Neil Howe's new company, Saeculum Research, on Twitter!
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Forum Outage
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France
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Friends of T4T group!
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Future of Music
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Game of Thrones/A Song of Ice and Fire: A Generational Analysis
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Gas Tracker
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Gender Distinctions
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Generation X Leadership is Arriving
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Generation Zero - A film based on S&H
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Generational Boundaries
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Generational Dynamics - MIT - April 20 Presentation
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Generational Dynamics World View
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Generational Leadership Watch
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Generational Theory Forum
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Generations and Gaming
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Generations and Sex
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Generations and Sexuality
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Giga Saeculums, a theory inspired by Northrop Frye
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Global Warming
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Gore and Churchill
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Grade Inflation
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Greece
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Greetings!
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Have the Boomers Peaked? (In Political Power)
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Health care crisis personal response
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Hello!!!
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what will the millenial high be like?
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Heterodox concept of Western Civilization
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Historic population projections
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How Millennials Are Changing Campus Life
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How To Win Any Argument With A "Theory Doubter"
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Humor
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I took a poll on another forum about Baby Boomers. The responses were hilarious.
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If the Civil War saeculum had a normal 4T
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Important Announcement (July 4, 2001)
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Interstellar Saeculum
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Interventions: Is it ever worth it?
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Investigation of a pre-1435 saeculum
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Iran
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Iran
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Iran - Page 2
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Iran - Page 3
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Iran - Page 4
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Iraq CF Thread
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Ireland
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Ireland
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Is 2008 the New 1928? Or 1932?
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Is Oil the Great Issue of Our Current Saeculum?
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ITALY
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Jericho, the TV Series
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Kurt's Theory = A New Bill of Rights by 2020? (and other thoughts)
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Larger Cycles
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Late Medieval Paradigm and Orientalization III ca. 1020-1270
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Latin America
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Leo Tolstoy's War and Peace
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Let's get real about an issue - flat tax
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Mass Shootings, the 4T and Pitrim Sorokin
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Massive Document Leak Details Offshore Accounts Connected to Putin and Other Leaders
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May 10, 2003: More Cookie Changes
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MBTI
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Mexico
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Micro-Turnings
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Micro-turnings as countercyclical
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Middle East
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Millennial Waves
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Millennials
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Millennials and X'ers 10 years from now
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Millie Experiences with G.I.s
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Miscellaneous Comments
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Moderated Forums
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Multi-Modal Saeculum
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My Apologizes for the June 29 Glitch
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Nanotechnology and the next High
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Neil Howe in the News
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New Announcement Thread
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New book updates Strauss & Howe's "The Fourth Turni
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New Generational Dynamics Book -- Available online
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New Social Groups
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New Zealand
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Noah Smith's sweeping theory of modern history
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Nomads leading in Crises
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North Korea
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Nostalgia circa 2011: "I Love the 2000s!"
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Obama has drunk the Kool-aid
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Obama's Less Than Brilliant Moments
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Objections to Generational Dynamics
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Official 'Map Project' Thread
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Old T4Ter photos on the Web
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On Borrowed Time
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On "North-centric" realignments
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Optimism, Pessimism, and generations.
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Other Cycles (Reference)
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Other Theories That Seem To Harmonize With S&H's
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Outage: What Happened?
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Palestine's Civil War Is On
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Perfidious Gaul
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Pew Research: Digital 'Natives' Invade the Workplace
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Philip Bobbitt's market-state and generational theory
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phpbb web worm
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Please vote: Correlate political and generational views
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Political Archetypes
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Political Polarization, Racial Tensions, and The Crisis era
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Poll: Would Americans ditch Israel to avoid long gas lines?
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Post election poll
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Presidents & Military/War Experience
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Prophet-Hero relations
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Proposed New Forum Rules
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"Hi, Everybody!"
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"Right Wing" (e.g. Faux Right) Revolutionaries
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"There was no Reagan Revolution."; or, why libertarians should abandon conservatives
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Raymond Kurzweil's predictions about the future and how we may merge with computers
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Recent Posts Function (Updated: May 10, 2003)
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Recent Spamming
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Red verus Blue, a neutral approach
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Registration Verification Problems
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Return of the Old Archives
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Russia – Culture, Society, and Future
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Russia's Awakening
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S&H must update the book!
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S&H's Theory, Regarding War & the Military
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Sacha Cohen, Comedy Genius
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Sarah Palin, The Right Man
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Saudi Arabia be 4T?
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Sci-fi story based on S&H model
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Secular Cycles: Is history repeating
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See What Tunisia Started?
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Senioritis, a Millennial musical
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Server Change
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Seven Pillars Of Iraq
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Sign up for Saeculum Research's NewsWire!
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Silent Sex Symbols
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Social Welfare Policy
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Socialist America
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Some terrible news
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Southeast Asia
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Spam on every forum --
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Survey on Iraq War (supporters only)
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Swine Flu
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Syria
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T4T Board Truth And Reconciliation Thread.
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The 2010's
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The 2016 Election will be awful.
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The Alternating Paradigm Theory (APT)
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The American Economy - The Big Picture
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The Bolshevik Revolution through the Great Patriotic War -- a 28-year Crisis Era?
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The Causes of the American Civil War
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The Cycle of Civilization
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The Exclave of Kaliningrad
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The future, as I see it.
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The future of the West.
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The Generation Game
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The Generational Theory In the Simpsons
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The Gore Watch
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The Great Devaluation
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The Greatest Cycle-Rebirth Of A Civilization
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The impact of the 2014 Iraq crises on America's current 4T.
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The Media and Us
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The new balance of Congress
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The next crisis is another depression?
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The Next New Deal
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The next pandemic
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The Phony Fourth
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The Revolution will come from the Right, not the Left
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The Roots of Trump's Strength
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The Saeculum in Ancient Rome
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The Singularity
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The Spiral of Violence
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The Worst Hyperinflation in History
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This 4T Compares to...
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Threads Grouped By Topic
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Through prism of tragedy, generations are defined
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To all Fourth Turning Forum members:
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Trump- The Grey Champion???
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Turkey
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Turkey: Currently in a High?
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Tweaking the Generations and Turnings
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Twelve Tribes of American Politics
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Two Lifetime Cycle
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Understanding Nomads and 1Ts
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US elections, 2016
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US oil production
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User Moderation
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Video Game Generations
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Visionaries from the Consciousness Revolution
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Visions of America's Future
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Wall Street in Wonderland
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War of Spanish Succession
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Warning About Private Messages from Reidema09
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Was it 2005 after all?
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We be 4T, and not just that
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We're Not Weimar Germany, Nor Is Trump Hitler, but...
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Web sites for Boomers
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Welcoming Corena
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Western Europe
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What America Will My Children See?
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What book attracted you to S&H's theories?
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What do you think is the root cause of human problems?
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What Is Needed: A "Bi-Polar Compromise"
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What "Megaturning" are we entering into?
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What the Cycles Predict
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What would a wartime economy look like?
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When does the 3T/4T shift occur?
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When will Gen Xers get serious?
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Who will become the next Gray Champion?
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Why 2005 did start the 4T
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Why a recession in 2015 might be the start of a regeneration
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Why Left-Liberals Don't Get It
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Why the 4T started in 2008 and NOT in 2001
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Why There Are Turnings
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Will Bush cave to the insurgents?
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World War Three
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Writers Wanted!
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Xers are serious, damnit!
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Xers becoming soccer moms / dads
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Yers vs. Core Millennials
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You and Time Magazine
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Your Career and Generational Theory
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