Originally Posted by
MordecaiK
And Bernie can fuel that wave even (maybe especially) if he dosen't get the nomination. Bernie has young people's attention now. Most states have their state primaries between now and September. Only the remaining primaries have presidential primaries at the same time (and same ballots) as state primaries. All of those early presidential primaries are ways of separating high turnout presidential primaries from state primary elections so that those state races will have low turnout--which benefits party establishments.
The election of Bernie Sanders would bring in the oldest President in American history while putting an end to the recent gerontocracy. Such would be ironic in the extreme.
Bernie's plan all along may have been to build up attention and fund-raising he never have could have gotten otherwise by running for President--and now that he is a household word, support insurgent Democrats in primary elections where incumbents are not expecting high turnout. Bernie may have already stated to do this by keeping his organization and his funding separate from Democratic National Comittee and allowing his supporters to make issues of whether particularl superdelegates support him or Hillary. It's a good way to start targeting remaining "blue dog Clintonistas" in Congress for defeat (as well as state legislators of that ilk) in races which are poorly funded except for special interests who aren't used to having to seriously fund state primaries.
The rise of the Millennial generation in political life is an inevitability. Sure, I look at Barack Obama as showing an selection of masculine characteristics of both a Civic generation and an Idealist generation, as is commonplace among Adaptive generations -- but in his case the Civic traits are from a younger generation and the Idealist traits are from an older generation. He is definitely not an Adaptive; he still seems much like a sixty-something Reactive with much more in common with Truman, Eisenhower, or John Adams than with just about any Silent type. He is not John Quincy Adams, Andrew Jackson, or Theodore Roosevelt redux. Run afoul of him and you may find consequences befitting your folly should he not forgive you out of pragmatic concerns. (The killing of anti-American terrorists suggests an adoption of techniques, if not motives, of gangsters like Capone. I recognized the killing of Osama bin Laden as having much in common with an underworld hit of which Al Capone would have been proud).
Is Obama a one-time type for his generation? No. There will be another like him in many respects at or soon after the end of the Crisis. Mellowed, sixty-something Reactives have their virtues as leaders.
And now if Trump dosen't get the nomination, there will be a lot of angry Trump supporters who may be authoritarian but are not doctrinaire conservatives looking for someone to take their mad out on too. And if Bernie plays his cards right and is active right up until November and can maintain his funding base to appeal to those voters, that could be Republican incumbents. Whether or not Bernie gets the nomination, he could put together a real wave election--that could leave Hillary, if she wins with a Congress that is Democratic but far to the left of her comfort zone.
Wrong about Trump voters. We do not need their cruelty and xenophobia. We do not need their superstition. We need people to become more savvy about political reality. We Democrats are better off seeking out the support of "Establishment" Republicans who have no use for right-wing, nativist demagoguery... people who have no tolerance for religious or ethnic bigotry. Jeb Bush has a wife born in Mexico. The "Establishment" Republicans need to return to their roots as the Party of Lincoln. For now we need see the Republican Party lose the Presidential race like Goldwater did in 1964 while it loses a wave election in both Houses of Congress.
People need to start paying attention to the political process before it can spiral into something dangerous, like a sort of Torno in which Party A takes over in an election, goes on an anti-corruption campaign whose first focus is the repudiation of sentences for malfeasance of members of Party A by Party B and the prosecution and punishment of leading members of Party B, corrupt deals by members of Party A to entrench themselves in power and enrich themselves and their cronies, followed by mass disillusionment of party A with a landslide win for Party B that then takes much the same course as Party A; lather, rinse, and repeat. Government becomes little more than reversing what the previous leaders did while enriching those then in power. If that does not scare you, then consider how the last Torno ended in Spain: the rise of el Caudillo, Francisco Franco, who ended political pluralism in Spain once and for as long as he would live.
Yes, I see the Spanish Civil War as a possible analogue for this Crisis Era and will do so until events prove me wrong. The polarization is in place.
The "Blue Dog" Democrats are off the scene. They were largely in the South, and those would be improvements over what we have now. Is Tom Cotton an improvement over Mark Pryor? I thought otherwise. Politicians who say that they have no use for multiculturalism but no use for economic royalists are more likely allies of Democratic liberals on economics than are the semi-fascists who want a "Union of Christian and Corporate States" as the Koch brothers show that they want.
The greatest evil is not now done in those sordid "dens of crime" (or) even in concentration camps and labour camps. In those we see its final result. But it is conceived and ordered... in clean, carpeted, warmed and well-lighted offices, by (those) who do not need to raise their voices. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the office of a thoroughly nasty business concern."
― C.S. Lewis, The Screwtape Letters