Originally Posted by
General Mung Beans
You do realize the Republican Party is on the decline and that come 2016 they will almost certainly moderate itself (and they're fucked if Hillary Clinton or Joe Biden decides to run). The Tea Party peaked in 2010, what we're seeing now is the last hurrah of the Boom Generation right-wingers. And anyways it isn't as if Michigan was some sort of a great place under the Democrats (see Detroit for the last few decades, it seems to be one of the few inner cities that hasn't even had a slight turn-around unlike New York or Chicago or dozens of other cities around the nation). And the "largest English-speaking country has no attraction"? I suggest you talk to the millions of people who are demanding a path to citizenship in this country or the many graduate students who are struggling to stay here and set up businesses.
1. The GOP may be in decline among voters -- but they still have the deep pockets behind them. For a Michigan analogue -- Ford Motor Company threw huge resources into selling the Edsel but still failed.
2. The Tea Party peaked in popularity in 2010, but the GOP did get the chance to gerrymander the state's Congressional districts as directed. That could backfire, but that will take time.
3. The Republican Party has shown unusual ruthlessness for a party in participation in a democratic (note the small d) political culture. I almost see the analogue in fascist, communist, and Islamic-fundamentalist Parties in vilification of the other side and willingness to go to any length to win.
4. Nobody pretends that Detroit is a paradise. The city may have been doomed to decline when it dedicated itself to the auto industry as its main source of jobs, business activity, and tax revenue. The life-cycle of the auto industry puts the industry past peak. It was a good run, but Detroit gave up on activities such as grain milling that don't have a possibility of obsolescence because high paychecks in the auto industry were too attractive to resist. New York City relies heavily upon the garment industry -- an unglamorous industry, but people will always need clothes. Chicago depends heavily upon the cartage of bulk goods and can adapt so long as there are bulk goods. Minneapolis-St. Paul relies heavily upon grain milling, and people aren't going to give up eating. Nearby Toledo depends heavily upon glass and grain, items with steady use.
A warning to San José, California -- should high-technology associated with the semiconductor and its successors pass the peak, your city can become the new Detroit. Or Stockton, which is closer geographically.
Detroit has tried gambling as an attraction, attempting to be Las Vegas in lake country. Las Vegas has one advantage over Detroit in profiting from gambling: people who arrive there by car in Las Vegas must practically stay there. It's a long drive to the nearest full-service city outside of Greater La Vegas -- Kingman, Arizona? St. George, Utah? Needles, California? Someone who gambles in Detroit can find lodging in Jackson, Michigan. (Jackson, Michigan is a dump, but it has good shopping for everything but books, plenty of restaurants, and plenty of lodging). But Las Vegas hasn't been doing so great, either, in recent years. Ann Arbor? Nice place, really, but if the highbrow entertainment around a college campus is an attraction for you, you probably don't play slots.
5. Detroit has had a big problem with corrupt, incompetent city government. Contraction of the tax base is never easy for any city. Aging infrastructure gets increasingly expensive to maintain, and city governments rarely find the temptation to sell it off. Urban machine governments have always been prone to graft, and it may be that graft that does not itself cut back in hard times hurts more obviously than the bite that corrupt politicians and their cronies extract in a stronger economy. Just look at how bad things got when Kwame "Krookpatrick" was mayor.
6. A country can go from being very attractive to foreigners to being a place to avoid in a very short time. All that is necessary is for the government to go bad. For all its faults the GOP is philistine. Its leadership will allow no constraints upon the indulgence of economic elites no matter how much it imposes austerity upon everyone else. It wants a low-wage economy with brutal management, something tried before (Chile under Pinochet), and not many people would immigrate to such a place. OK -- someone might want to marry into one of the elite families.
The greatest evil is not now done in those sordid "dens of crime" (or) even in concentration camps and labour camps. In those we see its final result. But it is conceived and ordered... in clean, carpeted, warmed and well-lighted offices, by (those) who do not need to raise their voices. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the office of a thoroughly nasty business concern."
― C.S. Lewis, The Screwtape Letters