Originally Posted by
Linus
That's just spin. Your point was that Democrats risk marginilization if they don't become the War Party, and my point was that the political dynamics are much different than the last crisis, and that that matters.
Unless there is some kind of political pole shift in 2008, the Democrats will remain in the opposition, but to date their grassroots support systems have been neutered by the belief that there will be a kind of "return to normal." 48% of the elecorate voted for John Kerry, and those same people support much of what is said on the dailykos and by Howard Dean is more feisty moments. The only reason they didn't nominate him as their standard bearer was the false belief in Kerry's electability.
But if electoral politics fail them (again: almost half the country) in the coming years no one should be surprised to see them take to the streets, with mass civil disobedience and protests, blue state tax revolts and general strikes. If they are smart, they will shut down the government and the economy. In any event, they are still the ones to watch. Just as the American Revolution grew out of the Whig movement dating back years (decades really) on college campuses (Harvard and Yale) and town halls, we could see a "blue velvet" insurgency grow out of moveon and the dailykos and the rest of the existing liberal infrastructure. They are as angry and motivated as the Patriots were, just not quite ready to give up on the system. Without the persistence of John Adams and a couple other key members of the Continental Congress there would have been detente with Britain in 1776, not a revolution. The Democrats, like much of the Continental Congress, have just not yet realized there is no future in detente; they will.
The Republicans have mocked the "return to normal" crowd, but they best be afraid when the 48% of the country who didn't vote for George W Bush finally realizes there will be no return to normal, and stops dismissing the idea of a popular movement as "too radical." That is when the floodgates will open, and the sparks will fly. The GOP may get what it wants abroad (at least until our Chinese banker friends pull the plug), but the Deaniacs will have their way at home. King George's hacks will fold like the pussies they are, the same way they did the last time. By the end of this crisis, the blue zone will have the autonomy and freedom to enact the liberal policies for themselves - on social issues, taxation, entitlements, and civil liberties - they have been unwilling to convince the red zone to accept, and they will no longer be burdened with having to support the economic backwater that is much of red America.
There are many interesting possibilities here.
Remember how we spitefully added "Under God" to the Pledge of Allegiance in 1954 and "In God We Trust" to our paper money three years later? These things were done, of course, in order to put out there, front and center, the differences between ourselves and our adversaries at the time - the Godless, atheistic Communists. What if the left hits on the same idea, promoting feminism, gay rights, and other facets of the liberal social agenda in an effort to show how different we are from the "Islamofascists" - a term coined by neoconservatives of the Victor Davis Hanson variety?
But in order to do this, the left would have to drop their knee-jerk opposition to the war(s), otherwise they would come across as hypocrites; but if they did become a "loyal opposition" on the war they could then turn around and plausibly accuse the right of hypocrisy, if not outright disloyalty (assuming the Christian Right remains an integral part of the latter's coalition - the left's point then being that Christian fundamentalism differs only in degree, and not in kind, from Islamic fundamentalism, just as Cold War-era conservatives attempted to assert that New Deal-Great Society liberalism differed only in degree and not in kind from Communism).
A less cheerful permutation is a "far left-far right" alliance, formed over the war, which many in the latter oppose, mainly due to their residual anti-Semitism; combined with a consistent and generalized xenophobia (over economic issues on the left and "cultural" issues on the right), this could morph into the "New American Fascism" S&H warned us about.