On 2002-02-20 21:14, HopefulCynic68 wrote:
On 2002-02-20 10:44, madscientist wrote:
On 2002-02-20 10:15, Tim Walker wrote:
I've been considering the notion of our Crisis being a combination of Civil War II with WWWIII. The Gray Champion we need must be a Pathleader of Peace. An ex-flower child perhaps? Obviously Bush does not fit. The Missionaries pushed the U.S.A. into the superpower role-now we need Boomers who will lead us away from that. And we need someone who can build bridges within our own society.
I agree. At this point in our development, war is more harmful than beneficial. I guess that's why Europe has been peaceful since WWII.
Europe has been peaceful since WW II from a combination of military exhaustion in the individual nation-states, and a perception of futility.
After World War II, it rapidly became apparent that the United States and the USSR both dwarfed any individual European nation-state in power, military, political, economic, and cultural. The disintegration of the colonial empires was not something that Europe
wanted, it was something that they couldn't prevent. If the national power had been sufficient to retain the empires, they would have.
Today, Europe has the luxury of being peaceful, because it lives, in practical purposes, under American protection. This carries costs, of course, in terms of self-respect, freedom of action, and world influence.
The
real purpose of the European Union is precisely to enable the Europeans to throw somewhat more equally with the U.S. within the West and the world. It's been very effective in trade terms. The EU commands a lot of clout at trade conferences and economic sessions.
But world influence, in the end, derives much more from military power than economic power (though military power in turn hinges on economic might). If the Europeans want to draw equal with the U.S., that means in practice that they have to upgrade their military power, and a disputatious discussion is growing in Europe that may, down the road, lead to just that.
That's where the perception of futility I mentioned comes in. Individually, there's no nation in Europe that could stand against America in a conventional war. Germany is potentially the strongest individual nation-state in Europe by many measures, and it fell short of the mark in WW II. Britain probably has the closest thing available in Europe to the current American capabilities,
and they fall far short of parity in almost all categories.
Further, there is little realistic chance of any nation-state in Europe changing that on its own, and they know it. Thus, Europeans make a virtue of necessity and take satisfaction in their 'more peaceful, more socially evolved' status.
But collectively...that's a different story.
In theory, a unified Europe
could match American power, and some people in Europe are quite well aware of this, and would like to see it happen.