This is an interesting exercise in self-censoship. What Arnett reported is entirely within the common line of Al Ahram http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/ reporting and I suspect the rest of the Arab press. There is a significant disconnect between how US/British reporters are echoing their national propaganda lines, and how the Arab press clings to an Arab agenda. I would quite expect an Iranian reporter to be fired for breaking the party line on the air, in the context of 'ready, aim, fire...' For the US to silence dissent is dissapointing.Originally Posted by monoghan
I suspect the truth is somewhere between the two party lines. I anticipate the west will win the conventional war. I expect the casulties will be kept very low. I believe Bush was going for broke, going for a 'short victorious war,' and in doing so was taking some risks. Victorious reamains ever so likely. Short might be problematic. The question is not whether Saddam can stand in a conventional war. It is fairly clear he can't. Will a guirilla tradition develop? Will the US be able to create a regeme satisfactory to both Dubya and the Iraqi people?
The largest disconnect is in reporting on the loyalties of the Iraqi people. Allied sources report on every hint of the people siding with the coalition against the regeme. Iraqi and Arab media are reporting how the coalition is having grave difficulties securing populated areas, how the people are not welcoming invaders. There is a strong dissconect in the reporting here, and in the most key area, the battle for the local's hearts.
Saddam and Dubya are both trying to project victory as the likely outcome. A leader can't do otherwise without destroying morale. One of them is going to be wrong. They aren't both going to win. Neither of them seem eager to admit to mistakes. To me, the whole thing seems to be a mistake.