Originally Posted by
Kevin Parker '59
..which is why I used the qualifier "if they can somehow pull off the coup in the first place". I would agree that yours is the most likely scenario should the Bush Adminstration actually try. But I'm not totally convinced that 50% or more of voters won't meekly nod their heads (fucking sheep!) and go along with Bush should it happen. I hope not.
Most Republicans wouldn't stand for it, let alone Democrats and Independents.
More importantly, however, it doesn't matter how many civilians go along with it. Even if I believed that this represents some sort of attempt by the President to seize power in some sort of Hitlerian masterstroke--which I most emphatically do not--he would have to have the support of both the military and the political establishment (Republicans and Democrats both).
I don't haunt the halls of Congress and I'm not friendly with any Senators, but I'm having trouble imagining that even other Republicans would stand for such a scheme. I know that the popular message board wisdom these days suggests that Republicans are willing to stop at nothing to seize power, and so on, but there's very little supporting evidence for it. It strikes me as more of a paranoid delusion or, in some instances, a classic case of projection.
While I may not be making the rounds in DC, I do happen to know a lot of military types. While there is a lot of support for Bush, the support isn't the kind of personal fealty that would be required for them to forget that their duty is to the Constitution and not the President himself.
The more I read posts like this, the more I wonder whether or not the posters live in the same America I do. I'm not simply talking Red State/Blue State, or GOP/Dems here, either. I'm talking about something far more fundamental: an understanding of the way the nation works.
Originally Posted by
Kevin Parker '59
An article which appeared this morning in the Portland Oregonian is perhaps instructive. In the article, Governor Ted Kulongoski -- an ex-Marine -- expressed extreme concern that so much of Oregon's National Guard (his NG, as he put it) is being deployed to Iraq, that the State is actually in danger of being unable to cope with in-state emergencies.
I can easily picture the Governor's concerns evolving into a variation of S&H's Federal Income Tax 4T scenario. Perhaps sometime before November, Gov. K will stand up and say "An emergency situation has arisen in regard to the extensive forest fires in Eastern Oregon. As such, I am hereby excersising my personal authority as Commander-In-Chief of the Oregon National Guard, and will allow no more of my units deployed outside the country. Furthermore, I am recalling all ONG unit stationed overseas home, in order to help fight the fires and protect the citizenry, for the duration of the emergency".
The President declares this an act of seccession, refuses to allow ONG troops in Iraq to return to home, and threatens to cut off all Federal funds to Oregon. But the Governor stands firm and refuses to back down. President Bush begins to deploy National Guard units from other states toward the Oregon state line.
This scenario makes the assumption that Governor Kulongoski is a complete dolt. An olympic level dolt. Since I refuse to believe that he could become the governor of Oregon by being a complete and utter moron, that assumption appears to be invalid.
Governor Kulongoski would certainly realize that the very training facilities that allow him to have a National Guard at all are on Regular Army bases.
His infantrymen still go to the Benning School for Wayward Boys,
his tankers still go to Fort Knox,
his intel people still go to Fort Huachuca, and so on. The same point could be made for
his Air National Guard.
Realistically, Governor Kulongoski would request emergency assistance from the federal government, and would receive it, in the form of money and assets from other States. FEMA would coordinate the movement of various firefighting assets into the area--and would be able to do a far better job of defeating the fires than infantrymen and tankers anyway.
Originally Posted by
Kevin Parker '59
Oregon is then joined by Washington, California and Nevada in halting deployment of their own troops overseas; in response, the President declares martial law for the entire Western third of the United States. Battle lines begin to form along the borders with Idaho, Utah and Arizona. Bush orders the Air Force to bomb "enemy" positions on the western side of the line...a schizm develops between the Generals and everyone else as the Air Force pilots, many of whom are from the West Coast, refuse to do so. California, Oregon and Washington formally declare secession from the United States and institute their own draft to protect the Western homeland.
Is there some sort of hot States' rights issue that I'm unaware of which is driving a wedge between the Western States and the rest of the Union? I fail to see why, for example, the Governator would throw in his lot with the (apparently insane) governor of Oregon.
Originally Posted by
Kevin Parker '59
The Dominion of Canada closes its border with the U.S. east of British Columbia; the Canadian military offers reinforcmenent of Western troops with Canadian military personnel, and extends an offer to Oregon and Washington to join Canada.
So you're basically saying that Canada would declare war on the United States in this scenario? My mind is incapable of processing a purportedly realistic scenario in which Canada voluntarily enters into a war with the United States. It makes no sense and, on top of that, it would be suicide.
Originally Posted by
Kevin Parker '59
Far-fetched? Sure. But far less so that this time yesterday.