Re: transitional generations do make sense!
Originally Posted by
Heliotrope
Originally Posted by
Number Two
Originally Posted by
Stonewall Patton
Originally Posted by
Heliotrope
Originally Posted by
Number Two
Originally Posted by
Heliotrope
The reasons why subgenerations like Jones or Y make sense, Marc, is because there has to be a transitional period from one archetypcal generation into another. Most people born from 1957 or so to 1965 or so don't and can't identify fully with either Boomers or Xers, so there has to be something in between to cover the hybrids. Generation Y serves the same purpose--a subgeneration that overlays (not replaces) the end of X and the beginning of Millennials. Most people born between 1978 or 79 and 1982 or 1983 are neither fully Millennials or fully Xer. Like Jonesers, they are hybrids.
So there is no way that taking into account transition zones or hybrid generations (which are not the actual archetypal generations) would mess up S&H four-cylce theory, only clarify it. If you poopoo the whole idea of transition zones, then you also believe that a person born at 11:30 PM on December 31, 1960 is automatically a Prophet and a person born a half hour later is automatically a Nomad.. Now *that* is really silly.
that makes sense... is there any reason you made the X/Mill transition zone merely half the size of the Boom/X one tho? (i think 1977 - 1985 would be more analogous to 1957-1965 than 1978/9 - 1982/3)
but I would just like to see what Anthony and Will have to say about all this...
No reason, and you are correct. I should have expanded Y to include 1977 and go up to at least 1984 or 85.
There is no necessity that these cusps be of equal length. The generations themselves are not all of equal length. For example, I think one has to conclude that the Lost/GI cusp spanned 1901-1911 or something very close to it (and obviously I reject a clear 1901 start for GIs...more like 1906 when GI archetypes began to outnumber Lost ones among the births, and also midway through the cusp. This also roughly corresponds to Anthony's Interbellum Generation which of course is intended as another bridge or cusp generation. But this cusp is roughly ten years long. I believe you find an unquestionably shorter cusp between most or all of the other generations. For example, the Silent/Boomer cusp might span 1940-1946. The Boom/X cusp might span 1958-1964 or something close to it. Regardless, these cusps are a lot shorter than that Lost/GI one. So who knows how the X/Millennial cusp might finally turn out? It may even be along the lines of 1978-1983 as you suggested. There is no necessity that all cusps be of equal length any more than all generations need be of equal length.
You make a valid point; I was merely objecting to the notion that the length of the current Nomad/Hero cusp is only about HALF of the current Prophet/Nomad cusp, when, for example, the LONGEST cusp of all the examined cusps is an 11-year Nomad/Hero cusp... I agree that we can't tell much about how the 1985 cohorts will currently end up (altho we might still be able to analyze the 77s at the moment); anyway by making my Boom/X cusp the HS classes of 1976 - 1982 (not counting grade skips/repeats after about age 10) and the X/Mill cusp the HS classes of 1995 - 2003 I do not even make those cusps the same length! :-)
only time will tell tho... i'm pretty sure that this cusp zone will end up more than 5 years long and less than 15 tho ;-)
I like the way the quotes nest themselves inside each other, the effect is really cool when the original post has been quoted a number of times, as this post here shows.
I guess you could keep doing this into infinity. Don't worry, I won't.
It's like a bug high on the wall. You wait for it to come to you. When it gets close enough you reach out, slap out and kill it. Or if you like its looks, you make a pet out of it.
- Charles Bukowski