Originally Posted by
Brian Rush
Trouble with this ideas is that Rome is in a class by itself. There are no other civilizations in history that followed the same pattern. A sample set of one does not a trend describe.
What I do think is that we may be ripe for a Caesar. The people obviously are hungry for one. But perhaps that statement requires some explanation; Caesar has been vilified by his conservative opponents and their modern counterparts to the point where he has become, in the imagination of many, simply a tyrant and his assassins liberators. The truth is more complex.
The Roman Republic was designed to govern a city-state. Its original purpose was to preserve the dominance of an elite class (initially the Patrician class only) while preventing any one member of it from becoming so powerful as to be a threat to the rest. Pursuant to the first goal was the rigged voting in the Assemblies that denied poor people any effective voice, and the retention of the Senate as the senior governing body. To the second, the divided leadership under the two Consuls, who served only for a year, as did all other elected magistrates except the Pontifex Maximus. The revolt of the Plebeian order forced reforms including the creation of the Tribune of the Plebeians and the Plebeian Assembly, and allowing rich Plebeians into the Senate and the magistrates. (Interestingly, by the late Republic one of the two Consuls each year had to be a Plebeian because of a public ceremony a Consul had to preside over for Plebeians only.)
The acquisition of the empire was what made the Republic non-functional. It was too clumsy and corrupt a government form to administer the provinces well. Also, the enormous wealth that flowed into Rome from the provinces concentrated the power of the nobility (which was no longer just Patricians) to the point where the poorer people increasingly got the shaft. Many reformers tried to address this, including the Gracchi brothers, Marius, and Caesar. By Caesar's time the Republic was so corrupt that it had completely lost the allegiance and support of most of the people. When Caesar crossed the Rubicon into Italy with this army, he was greeted everywhere he went with cheers and flowers, no opposition except from the Senatorial class. True, he was a dictator, and the people had no say in government under him (although he continued to hold elections for the traditional offices and even ran for Consul himself on one occasion), but they had had no say in the Republic's governance either, and Caesar was on their side while the rich and powerful who ran the Republic had not been. He was extremely popular. The Roman people made him a god after he was assassinated. In fact, it was all he could do to keep them from deifying him before that! He gave Rome the first truly capable government it had had since Sulla, and unlike Sulla Caesar was a liberal, and hence the people were quite pleased with him.
Similar to the Romans in the late Republic, the people of the United States have lost control of the government, which is now run for the benefit only of a noble class of wealthy and powerful people. Someone who would move in, wipe the slate clean, and provide a government that would support the people's interests and put the elite in their place would have a lot of popular support. Unfortunately I don't see a Caesar on the horizon. We may need to seek a different path.
What followed after Caesar was of course the end of the Republic under Augustus, but to show that this is not inevitable I give you a very good parallel to Gaius Julius Caesar in a more recent time: Napoleon Bonaparte. Like Caesar, Napoleon was a military officer with political ambitions in a time of a corrupt republic. Like Caesar, Napoleon seized power and made himself a dictator. Like Caesar, Napoleon provided his country with good, efficient, and enlightened government; France enjoyed greater liberties and a closer enactment of the ideals of the Revolution under his dictatorship than under the republic which preceded him, and his reforms throughout Europe paved the way for the democratic revolutions which followed. When he was defeated militarily and the monarchy restored, it was a constitutional monarchy rather than the absolute monarchy of before the Revolution, and Napoleon's reforms were for the most part retained. A few decades later, after more political upheavals and a lost war against Germany, France finally achieved its first true, lasting republic, the Third Republic, in 1870. France has been governed by a republic ever since, except briefly during the Nazi occupation. Between 1815 when Napoleon fell and 1870 55 years passed. 55 years after Caesar's assassination in 44 BCE brings us to 14 CE, the year Augustus died and the beginning of the reign of Tiberius. In the one case, a lasting republic. In the other, a monarchy that endured until Rome fell. If that isn't enough to caution us against drawing hasty parallels, we are simply blind.