Originally Posted by
Kepi
Because both are the products of industrialization. We needed a new social order, and used law to implement it. Law was a stop gap, a way to create compliance with a new order. Necessary to a new society. Once you have an order in place you don't need to keep the associated laws in place. Nobody drives how they've been taught to. They drive the way their local driving culture reaches them to. Plus, let's point out out that both were products of a 3T. Far too late for this kind of garbage now.
How do you think a new order manages to emerge in the first place? There have to be carrots and sticks to motivate, encourage and threaten people into a behavior pattern society wants to establish. It doesn't happen on its own.
Originally Posted by
Kepi ...
Uh, that's not my method, that's called "how law works". Law is a reactive process. Anything else is a violation of things like due process. There's no such thing as a preventative law, becausethe entire purpose is to punish people for doing something wrong. Not crazy, not irresponsible, not unnerving: wrong. And it had to involve a specific action, and intent. None of these criteria are present in what you propose.
You seem confused by the difference between law making and law enforcement. Enforcement is reactive, but enforcement is not what I was discussing. I was discussing the carrots and sticks need to get the populous moving in the direction society intends. Of course, society has to have the intent first, but assuming some limits on gun ownership and control are desired, licensing and regulation are a lot less onerous than prosecuting assaults and homicides.
Originally Posted by
Kepi ...
This is part of the 1-2 punch combo that keeps gun control advocates on the ropes the entire time when it comes to getting legislation passed. People see tragedy, that swing percentage says "maybe gun control", but then they see what the proposals are and decide "no thank you". Part two of this combo comes in with the general disposition of the strongest advocates. Loud, nagging, and hysterical... which of these is supposed to appeal to people who fence ride the issue? Especially when you're talking about Millennials, all three of those qualities are seen as negative, and when they're already like warm on the concept, that will send them running away from the proposed legislation, for sure.
See threes are kids who grew up with the results of Columbine hysteria, War on Terror hysteria, and likely hysterical, overly emotional parenting. They're not going to respond well to fear and outrage.Things like tantrum laws are going to disenfranchise and demotivate Millennials, which effectively leaves these laws DOA because in this day and age a noisy, hysterical minority doesn't get laws past. You have to have a large number of people backing it, and that means feet on the ground, which means a Millennial response is necessary.
I've watched issues swing quickly, and the gun issue is so imbalanced today that this is highly likely to be the end-game for gun rights. It will take a trigger, but the huge number of guns and low level of gun control will eventually trip the point of no return. It's sad that the mayhem to date isn't enough, but apparently it isn't.
Originally Posted by
Kepi ...
Your first part had you seeing the locomotive and the cars, but missing the tracks entirely. Places with the higher rates of gun ownership generally correlate with longer police response times. If you live in a place with a 4 minute response time, your neighbor is less likely to own a gun, because he doesn't need it. Your neighbor is also less likely to escalate his domestic dispute to the point of no return in that time either. There's one place in my county that has a 30 minute minimum response time. They're all armed up there because of it. It's also the most violent area, because there's nobody that can defuse a situation nearby, as all parties there are involved. That, coupled with the fact that criminals actively do seek out places where cops don't hang out is precisely why you see that correlation, because when we're talking declining crime, we're talking all crime indexes. Nobody needs a gun to go shop lifting. They do need a place with no cops.
Personally, I don't care that some jurisdiction prefer the wild-west approach to safety. I do care that they demand that the rest of us must follow suit. If you want to let everyone in your city, county or state to own guns, fine. Just make sure that those guns stay there, and not somewhere they are not wanted. Licensing and registration go a long way. Start there.
Originally Posted by
Kepi ...
As to your second point, it seems the gun control cause is more than a day late and a dollar short. Also, my guess is implementation of gun control would lead to more spree shootings, which are the statistically insignificant exception to the lower Millennial violence rule. So, yeah, gun control can go back in the box and wait to fail again in another turning (likely an early to mid 3rd), likely in another couple saeculum, if ever.
Now is the only time it's possible. Fear in high crime periods will stop it cold ... and the number of guns floating around out there assures us that high crime periods will be violent.
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.