David Kaiser '47
My blog: History Unfolding
My book: The Road to Dallas: The Assassination of John F. Kennedy
The environment is contrived. If the Renminbi was revalued at or even near its true value, would the Chinese eat you lunch? And it isn't only the Chinese. The Germans use the Euro zone to keep the Euro in check, while they export aggressively internally and position themselves to export at a discount externally. Then there is Brazil ...
We shouldn't be accepting this, but the GOP is screaming that the dollar is falling ... falling ... falling. I would hope so for all our sakes. We need to make the cost of imports rational, even in the face of opposition. We may have to accept higher prices for fuel as a consequence. If so, we might finally start to conserve.
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.
I don't know. Maybe if taken to a logical conclusion, it could be. But I think it *is* true that the world owes each of us nothing that we don't earn.
Having said that (and before you all start piling on) --
This isn't the same thing as saying that a compassionate and affluent society shouldn't want to provide some minimum "comfort level" to its citizens, particularly those who are either (a) honestly trying to help themselves or (b) physically/mentally unable to be expected to do so.
Do I *owe* the poor and the destitute a decent standard of living? No. Do I want to provide one nevertheless? Yes, in the general case I do. I may want to give to them, but I don't feel I have a *debt* to them (which is what the word "owe" implies).
(Edit to add: This sort of ties in with the "health care is a right" claim. I don't believe it is a right, as I believe a true *right* is something you can exercise without forcibly taking the life, liberty or property of another person. But I still think providing it for all is the morally correct thing to do; I just don't think it's a "right.")
Last edited by ziggyX65; 06-15-2011 at 04:26 PM.
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.
Its sounds like it because, on a world wide scale, that is what it is. We had better be on guard and work to stay competitive. The world does not owe us a living.
They are not staying up nights in Beijing worrying about America's middle class. They are trying to create their own.
This is hard stuff. Its scary, but it is what it is. Only the paranoid survive.
James50
Last edited by James50; 06-15-2011 at 04:45 PM.
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.
here.Social Darwinism is a term used for various late nineteenth century ideologies predicated on the idea of survival of the fittest.[1] It especially refers to notions of struggle for existence being used to justify social policies which make no distinction between those able to support themselves and those unable to support themselves. The most prominent form of such views stressed competition between individuals in laissez-faire capitalism but it is also connected to the ideas of the progressive era, in which many promoted eugenics or scientific racism or imperialism,[2] or a struggle between national or racial groups.[3] In sociology it has been defined as a theory of social evolution which asserts that "There are underlying, and largely irresistible, forces acting in societies which are like the natural forces that operate in animal and plant communities. One can therefore formulate social laws similar to natural ones. These social forces are of such a kind as to produce evolutionary progress through the natural conflicts between social groups. The best-adapted and most successful social groups survive these conflicts, raising the evolutionary level of society generally (the 'survival of the fittest')."[4] The term has very rarely been used as a self-description.[5]
David Kaiser is the one who used the term. I took it as a complaint that I was portraying a world harsher than it really is.
James50
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
Perhaps, but the flaw in Social Darwinism lay in treating everything as an individual contest for survival and ignoring the reality that Homo sapiens is a social species. A dog-eat-dog international world (which is the reality at present, agreed) is an argument for protectionism and other nationalistic economic measures, not against it. The Chinese, as you say, are not concerned with protecting and expanding the American middle class. Therefore, we must be.
"And what rough beast, its hour come round at last, slouches toward Bethlehem to be born?"
My blog: https://brianrushwriter.wordpress.com/
The Order Master (volume one of Refuge), a science fantasy. Amazon link: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00GZZWEAS
Smashwords link: https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/382903
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
Most economists are in service to the agenda that enriches the owner class at the expense of the middle class. One must try to understand the arguments they make as to why it is not, and see where they are right and where wrong, and not trust them too far.
EDIT: Here's how we can describe the process facilitated by the "free-trade" ideology.
1) Owners of manufacturing companies outsource labor to poor, pre-industrialized foreign countries with cheap labor. Products are produced in those countries for sale to the advanced world, especially to the U.S.
2) In the process, well-paid manufacturing workers who were part of the middle class and a large part of the reason why the U.S. became a largely middle-class society when we were children, lose their jobs and are re-employed at lower-paying service jobs that drop them out of the middle class.
In what way is that beneficial to the American middle class? Isn't it self-evident that it is hurting it badly?
What if tariffs were imposed on imports from countries where this is taking place, reducing the incentive for doing so? Obviously it would take place less.
In what way does a tariff hurt the economy of the nation imposing it? In one way only. The nation impacted by the tariff enacts its own tariff in retaliation, and trade between the two nations is reduced. But if trade between the two nations was imbalanced anyway so that the more advanced country's citizens were (with a few notable exceptions) losing out because of it, how is the loss of that trade a problem? If we were to lose all of our trade with China, the U.S. would gain more than it lost. A trade war with China would very much be to our benefit, while a trade war with Japan or Germany or (God forbid!) Canada would be a catastrophe.
Now the final piece of the puzzle is the exceptions who do benefit from things as they are now. That's the owners of the companies that are doing the outsourcing. By drastically reducing their labor costs, they gain a much larger piece of the pie than they would by keeping their operations in the U.S. (or moving them to some other advanced nation). Even though they also reduce their prices, the net gain in profit is enormous, because prices are not reduced anywhere near the point that their labor costs go down. From their point of view, it's a lovely scam. America loses, but they make out like bandits.
Many economists, particularly a subset of those who are quoted in the media, think of the profits of the owner class when they speak of prosperity. One must bear that in mind when evaluating arguments against protectionism.
Last edited by Brian Rush; 06-15-2011 at 05:29 PM.
"And what rough beast, its hour come round at last, slouches toward Bethlehem to be born?"
My blog: https://brianrushwriter.wordpress.com/
The Order Master (volume one of Refuge), a science fantasy. Amazon link: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00GZZWEAS
Smashwords link: https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/382903
Your choice of words and the tone of your language reminds me more of the Cold War than of a heated sports competition. Many smaller countries in the world don't seem too worried about being conquered, out produced or left behind technologically, perhaps because subconsciously their politicians & people just assume that the USA and the other big NATO powers will always pull them along, up the high tech tower of progress.
I would like the Republican candidates for president to articulate a global vision and a long-term plan instead of only focusing on fire fighting the political problems of today. However what we're subjected to via big media is just the way political rhetoric works in the real world. Granted, wars are very serious and not little problems.
Likewise with President Obama, tho' he does oft speaketh so (and recourse to pithy doth go).
BTW, after the first line, I can't help but hear, "do not forget, stay out of debt."Neither a borrower nor a lender be;
For loan oft loses both itself and friend,
And borrowing dulls the edge of husbandry.
This above all: to thine own self be true,
And it must follow, as the night the day,
Thou canst not then be false to any man.
- Shakespeare
New Coalition Democrat who watches MMA, listens to Dennis Miller, and eats organic food after attending church
http://www.pollwatchdaily.com/tag/pe...ypology-study/
"Chi pò, non vò; chi vò, non pò; chi sà, non fà; chi fà, non sà; e così, male il mondo va."
"Fra il dire e il fare c'è di mezzo il mare."
The above is actually why I brought up the term again. James had been telling me I was too harsh in pinning it on the Republican candidates.
The question of whether protectionism will ever come back is a very interesting one. Stranger things have happened.
More to the point: health care. James, it's none of my business how much money you make or how much money you have, but my guess is that your net worth would probably not pay for a serious long-term medical emergency in your family. Thus you (like me) have insurance that will pay for it, based on the probability that very few people in the insurance pool will have it. Since you and I have that, I don't see why everyone else shouldn't, too.
But the overarching issue is one we've been over many times before (we as a forum): are we individuals or social beings? In my opinion the community makes all our lives possible in a jillion ways. It isn't a luxury, it's a necessity. We depend on most people obeying the laws, observing contracts, accepting our money, etc., etc., etc. And that creates, for me, some kind of mutual obligation to put a floor under everyone. In addition, since I think luck has a lot more to do with success than most people want to admit, I see nothing wrong with putting a ceiling on, too.
So I am against social darwinism. Some will always prosper more than others, but I see nothing wrong with keeping that spread within limits. I also think it helps the economy to do so, but that's another story.
David Kaiser '47
My blog: History Unfolding
My book: The Road to Dallas: The Assassination of John F. Kennedy
This is contrary to historical fact. Industrialization requires protectionism. The US was highly protectionist during the Great Power saeculum. China is VERY protectionist right now. There is no country that ever industrialized via "Free Trade". In fact, "Free Trade" policies in 3rd Word countries get in the way of industrialization and keeps countries stuck in a state of being exporters of raw commodities.
To recommend thrift to the poor is both grotesque and insulting. It is like advising a man who is starving to eat less.
-Oscar Wilde, The Soul of Man under Socialism
It is impacted by the higher prices paid by its consumers. For every one person that is aided by protectionism in their jobs, there are ten who are hurt at the store. Low prices at Walmart keep the cost of living lower here. Raising prices for items which can be produced somewhere else at a lower cost makes the tariff producing country poorer.
Instead of thinking of the manufacturing sector (which is doing just fine in the US), think of the tariffs on sugar. That is the type of tariff you will get when the special interests have their way. It keeps our sugar prices artificially high while helping the special interests in LA. We also have high tariffs on ethanol which keep prices artificially high here. Protectionism is for losers.
James50
Last edited by James50; 06-15-2011 at 09:27 PM.
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
Last edited by James50; 06-15-2011 at 09:30 PM.
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
What makes you think I am in favor of domestic social darwinism? Fortunately we are still wealthy enough as a society to provide safety nets. I think they need modification if they become unaffordable (like Medicare as its currently constituted), but I do not advocate doing away with them.
My comment earlier was about the relations between states in an international economic context. We do live in a highly competitive world. When it comes to economics, its eat or be eaten. Do you dispute that? I don't like it and did not make it that way, but it is the world we live in.
James50
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
Will the GOP run from the left after getting establishment Dems to buy into the deficit hawk talk.
The bolding in the quote is mine of course.Originally Posted by The Hill
And I can tell you just how quickly the compassionate conservative mask will be replaced by the hard man-and it will be a man- mask. As soon as the man finishes his walk down Pennsylvania Avenue on January 20, 2013.
"There have always been people who say: "The war will be over someday." I say there's no guarantee the war will ever be over. Naturally a brief intermission is conceivable. Maybe the war needs a breather, a war can even break its neck, so to speak. But the kings and emperors, not to mention the pope, will always come to its help in adversity. ON the whole, I'd say this war has very little to worry about, it'll live to a ripe old age."
Prices by themselves don't matter. The ratio of prices to wages is what matters. If the same thing that drives prices up by 25% also drives wages up by 150%, we're much better off.
Not correct. Let me point out first of all that we're in unprecedented territory today, so no historical examples apply as far as tariffs per se. What we can do is look at what has happened historically when something has driven up wages in one part of the economy, for example the unionization of key industries. And it fits, because the same argument has been made about that: higher union wages drive up prices for industrial goods, which hurts more people at the store than it helps at the paycheck.For every one person that is aided by protectionism in their jobs, there are ten who are hurt at the store.
But rising union wages had the effect of driving up non-union wages, too. Employers in non-union companies had to pay something competitive with union wages for the same industry because they were competing with union shops for workers, and also because not doing so increased agitation in their own businesses to form a union. The same thing would happen if outsourcing were to be reversed. Jobs currently employing virtual slaves in foreign countries would be filled instead by Americans. Unemployment would drop dramatically. Supply and demand would force wages up across the board. Yes, prices would also probably go up, but the net effect would be beneficial for everyone except the owners of the businesses that could no longer outsource profitably.
Now you've changed the subject. The key is NOT to let the special interests have their way.Instead of thinking of the manufacturing sector (which is doing just fine in the US), think of the tariffs on sugar. That is the type of tariff you will get when the special interests have their way.
"And what rough beast, its hour come round at last, slouches toward Bethlehem to be born?"
My blog: https://brianrushwriter.wordpress.com/
The Order Master (volume one of Refuge), a science fantasy. Amazon link: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00GZZWEAS
Smashwords link: https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/382903
The thing is, we don't know that, at least not in terms of cost for items relative to spending power. (In other words, double my wages and I'll gladly pay 50% more for everything, and cutting prices by 5% does little good if my wages are cut by 10%, and cutting prices by 10% doesn't do much good if I lose my job completely because the relentless quest for "the lowest price" sends my job to China or India or wherever.)
We know, I think, that consumer behavior focusing strictly on price is leading to production of goods in places where wages are as low as circumstances and the law will allow. But that comes at a price that isn't reflected in the lower price tag. Whether or not the lower *direct* price is a better deal than the downward pressure it has on wages and domestic employment demand (and the increased demand in the government "safety net") is a bad deal, I can't say. But lower prices don't appear in a vacuum in a labor market which is now globalized and has a lot of dirt-cheap labor markets.
And at the very least, any honest assessment of the impact on Wal-Mart's "lower prices" on the average wages and benefits of the average domestic consumer is far from a slam-dunk in favor of a policy of "cheaper is always better" for the average consumer. Maybe it is, maybe it isn't -- but any benefit households have from "low prices" needs to be offset by considering the impact on domestic wages, unemployment rates and cost of public benefits for those unemployed due to having their jobs offshored.
Last edited by ziggyX65; 06-15-2011 at 10:40 PM.
Once upon a time. Maybe 35-40 years ago, but not now. Up to that point I think a rising union tide lifted all labor boats, but it mostly stopped at that time. And this erosion was already taking place before Reagan fired the controllers (and before Reagan even took office). It is a chicken and egg problem -- did the public stop supporting unions because it no longer delivered for the average worker (union or not), or did the unions stop delivering much for all labor because more of the non-union public stopped supporting them? I don't think it's clear. In any event I do think it's the case that the erosion in public support for unions and the "trickle down" of union benefits are linked. I just can't say which came first, or if they just fed on each other.
"And what rough beast, its hour come round at last, slouches toward Bethlehem to be born?"
My blog: https://brianrushwriter.wordpress.com/
The Order Master (volume one of Refuge), a science fantasy. Amazon link: http://www.amazon.com/dp/B00GZZWEAS
Smashwords link: https://www.smashwords.com/books/view/382903
David Frum at TPM dug this up and its getting good play over at Kos.
I've posted it on three relevant threads on this Forum - yea, it is that deserving
Notice how workers rebounded after each recession until the 1980s?
Call it 3T, call it Movement Conservatism, call it outsourcing (and now, automation) whatever you call it, its worker slowly but surely getting screwed. Do you think it's going to stop?
"The Devil enters the prompter's box and the play is ready to start" - R. Service
“It’s not tax money. The banks have accounts with the Fed … so, to lend to a bank, we simply use the computer to mark up the size of the account that they have with the Fed. It’s much more akin to printing money.” - B.Bernanke
"Keep your filthy hands off my guns while I decide what you can & can't do with your uterus" - Sarah Silverman
If you meet a magic pony on the road, kill it. - Playwrite
To recommend thrift to the poor is both grotesque and insulting. It is like advising a man who is starving to eat less.
-Oscar Wilde, The Soul of Man under Socialism
A smarter person would either know or quickly be able to conclude that the majority of us are both an individual and a social being vs simply being one or the other. I don't know many Americans who would jump off a bridge or contribute to mass suicide because some leader told us too or a large group of leaders decided to set a greater example and actually do it themselves. BTW, as far as success is concerned, luck has very little to with most of it as well. I wasn't as lucky as Playdude or possibly yourself. I actually had to go out and do something, learn something, earn something, show something, proove something or actually impress people to earn and sustain my success.