The left did virtually nothing it believed in under Obama. You can call him a socialist and demonize him as a leftwing devil, but on policy, he's about as liberal as Dwight Eisenhower. Every liberal economist that anlyzed the need for stimulus (concensus - $2T) or healthcare reform (concensus - single payer) was ignored. I won't even start on the total cave-in on foreign and security issues, since Obama is Bush 2 Redux.
And give the class warfare thing a rest. The only class warfare that has actually been waged, rather than talked about endlessly on talk radio, is the war on hoi polloi by corps d'elite. When the warriors admit to it, I tend to take their admission seriously.
Last edited by Marx & Lennon; 10-20-2011 at 08:05 AM.
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.
"Qu'est-ce que c'est que cela, la loi ? On peut donc être dehors. Je ne comprends pas. Quant à moi, suis-je dans la loi ? suis-je hors la loi ? Je n'en sais rien. Mourir de faim, est-ce être dans la loi ?" -- Tellmarch
"Человек не может снять с себя ответственности за свои поступки." - L. Tolstoy
"[it] is no doubt obvious, the cult of the experts is both self-serving, for those who propound it, and fraudulent." - Noam Chomsky
Right. To the absolute nutcase left like most of the people who are left on this board, the left did virtually nothing it believed in under Obama. Among the American people at large, Obama and the Democrats are seen as too far left. The stimulus and health care bills were not nearly enough for you all. People on this board have been calling for the killing of bankers, and the overthrow of the government. This place has some genuinely disturbed people posting on it.
You're using an extremely loose definition of the word 'war.' Bush's Iraq invasion is in a totally different league than anything Obama has started.
I don't consider the Libya intervention a war, unless you want to call every bombing campaign or ground operation we've carried out a war. In which case Reagan and Clinton are probably the biggest warmongers of them all!
Working backwards -
3. Raising taxes across the board will likely impact economic growth, however, one could alter who pays what without a net overall increase in taxes. Also, raising taxes is very important as a means to reduce aggregate demand when inflation is a significant concern - we are not in that situation.
2. We absolutely need spending, i.e., increased aggregate demand - that IS the situation we now have. Household are deleveraging and that means they are cutting back on their spending. Further much of our spending is 'leaking out' to purchase of imports; that's good in that we are trading pieces of green paper for real goods and services, however, it does not put our people to work. Only the third of three of the economic sectors is in the position to spend - that would be the federal government. As this chart shows their net spending (i.e., deficit spending) is currently what is keeping the economy afloat -
This chart may be a little hard to understand. What it shows is that currently the federal govt is in net deficit while the private sector is net saving and some dollars are going overseas due to our imports exceeding our exports. You wil notice that in the 90s there was little federal deficits and for a while surpluses and at the same time little savings in the private sector, In that situation, for the private sector to grow, it had to go into a debt spree borrowing from overseas the only net dollar savers during that decade - and we now know where that eventually took us. After the fall, the private sector is net saving which is mostly in the form of de-leveraging - they ar NOT net spending. Now, the only net spending is from the federal govt - does that give you a clue what is driving growth right now?
1. It is the last (your first) one, "debt doesn't matter," that is puzzling. I assume you mean federal government debt. Could you explain to me why you think it does matter and on what basis/evidence/data that leads you to that conclusion? I believe federal debt matters a lot but for a much different reason than you, I'm sure.
Last edited by playwrite; 10-19-2011 at 05:35 PM.
"The Devil enters the prompter's box and the play is ready to start" - R. Service
“It’s not tax money. The banks have accounts with the Fed … so, to lend to a bank, we simply use the computer to mark up the size of the account that they have with the Fed. It’s much more akin to printing money.” - B.Bernanke
"Keep your filthy hands off my guns while I decide what you can & can't do with your uterus" - Sarah Silverman
If you meet a magic pony on the road, kill it. - Playwrite
Just put JPT on ignore, people.
To recommend thrift to the poor is both grotesque and insulting. It is like advising a man who is starving to eat less.
-Oscar Wilde, The Soul of Man under Socialism
You're scared we may win, aren't you? Why else would you be overreacting so much?
If you really think America in 2008-2011 is left-wing extremism gone awry, you are really deluded. All your arguments are just you re-spouting Fox propaganda. There's not an original thought there.
Last edited by LateBoomer; 10-20-2011 at 01:36 AM.
"My truck has 170,000 miles on it and the MPG is so bad that every time I start it, the ghost of an Indian appears in the passenger seat and cries."
--John Cheese
*INFJ Joneser*
Please join my Facebook group, Fans of the Fourth Turning.
Yeah, it's those nutcases. You know the ones. The ones with the Nobel prizes in economics. Yeah, those wackos are certainly scary, since they, and their equally illustrious but currently unawarded collegues have been right on the economy for a very long time. In fact, no one on the right has been even decent since Milton Friedman, and one of his pet theories (quantitative easing) has actaully been tried and found inadequate ... as predicted by those pesky Keynesians.
Other than Justin '77, who is many things but certainly not a left winger, who has been calling for killing bankers and overthrowing the government?Originally Posted by JPT ...
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.
Really have not posted that much recently.
I've been very busy recently, just renewed subscription to ancestry.com that I didn't renew 2 years ago. I've spent a bit of time researching more of my family history, which I've been able to trace back to at least 1600s. Maybe further.
In it I've found ancestors in nearly every war...Korea, WW1, Civil War, War 1812, American Revolution, even French/Indian War. Strangely none in WW2 or Vietnam.
I know this has little to do with the 2012 election, but I'll get to that near the end. Most of these ancestors lived their lives doing what they thought was best for their families, probably looking towards an unknown future. One wonders especially during the 4T's (Revolution, Civil War, WW2) what they thought of the future. A different world always ended up emerging. But life still went on.
Now I like guessing at what a re-election of Obama or election of Romney might mean for the country as a whole. The reality is though, we really don't know. Which is why I continue to lose patience with the typical Democrat vs Republican schtick exhibited by both sides here...or anywhere.
Now 2012 will be my 6th presidential election I will be voting in. Thus far my trend has been I have never voted to re-elect a President. Ever. I have never voted to continue the party in power in the WH. Ever. I have to say, Eric Greens post earlier about a parlimentary style government after this 4T sounds somewhat appealing.
In voting in 2012, I don't just consider the difference between Obama and the GOP nominee, but also the likely effect on the 2014 elections.
Ten things to keep in mind for 2012
Anyone care to disagree with one of these?With an eye on 2012, here are ten important but sometimes counterintuitive facts to keep in mind:
1. There is no austerity.
2. There was no deregulation.
3. You can’t trust Republicans on spending.
4. Wall Street loves Democrats.
5. People who voted for Barack Obama on civil-liberties grounds are fools.
6. If you aren’t for massive entitlement reforms, you’re for massive tax hikes.
7. But taxing the rich won’t close the deficit.
8. The housing bubble was largely a political creation.
9. Well-meaning politicians are just as dangerous as self-serving ones.
10. There’s no way out of this jam without big cuts to popular programs.
I would say #8 is the one most frequently derided on this forum.
James50
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
Yes, certainly.
First, #4 and #5 are the typical "lesser evil" argument that tends to get some on the Left wringing their hands and wishing for third parties and magic ponies; those of you on the Right of course see it as a wedge issue to keep voters on the Left at home on election day. The easy answer to this is to just change the focus to "the greater evil" (i.e, you guys) and the concern for the relative minor trespasses on the Left, at least from a pragmatic standpoint, get lost as background noise.
Next, #3 is a perfect example of the "greater evil" in a couple of ways. First, the author, being a Right wing nut 'think' tanker, tries a little misdirection by suggesting that what we can't trust is the GOP actually deficit spending - that is deceitful in and of itself (i.e. a calling card of "the greater evil"). She knows, and you would be hard pressed to find anyone on the Left that doesn't know, that no real GOPer is actually a deficit hawk and clearly the evidence of their prodigious spending over the decades makes clear they don't give a shit about deficits but only on occasion, like now, to speak otherwise when it is political expedient - most people call this hypocrisy (i.e. a calling card of "the greater evil").
Implicit in #9 is the conclusion that nothing should be attempted because we are all too dumb - that is far from Hayek's philosophy or his advice given. What #9 attempts to imply is a bastardization of one of the great thinkers of our time (i.e. typical of "the greater evil")
#7 an #8 are the meatier ones but both rely on the reader's abject ignorance of the topic matter and knee-jerk reaction to the "big government" myths that have been relentlessly instilled into brains for the last several decades. #7 relies on pulling the wool over your eyes of the complex intertwining of ownership and relationships between huge financial entities with tons of million-dollar income lawyers making those relationships as clear as mud (see "the greater evil"). #8 is a zombie myth that just will not die no matter how many time its been shot in the head such as here (see "the greater evil") -
http://www.fourthturning.com/forum/s...889#post377889
Now, we get to the really fun stuff, #1, #6, #7, and #10 - all based on a complete ignorance of how a fiat currency in the hands of monetarily-sovereign government works.
First, "this jam" (#10) is that there is not enough aggregate demand in the economy; we are far below the capacity of the US economy and even farther below the capacity of the global economy. As a result, there is high unemployment for there is no need for firms to hire more people to increase supply when there is a dearth of aggregate demand. Cutting spending, whether federal govt or non-govt, will exacerbate "this jam."
The deficit (#7) is not a problem; the only concern for a deficit is if it putting too much money supply into the economy (i.e. too much federal spending) or leaving too much money supply in the economy (i.e. not enough taxing) and that is causing sustained generalize increases in goods and services that are harmful, i.e. harmful inflation. There is no harmful inflation now or for the foreseeable future. Yes, there is energy price increases, mostly from a year ago, but that is not a result of federal deficit spending. Yes, there are commodity price increased, but that is also not a result of federal deficit spending. Taxing the rich to close the deficit is a red herring.
If there is any need for "massive entitlement reforms" (#6), it is to ensure that all benefits will be paid and the end of FICA. As the issuer of our currency, the federal govt's spending is not limited by taxing or by borrowing; it has the boundary constraint of the concern for harmful inflation. That is not an issue for us now nor in the foreseeable future. When we get to the point where these programs are suppose to be having problems, the degree that spending on the benefits will be a problem (adding to inflation) or a solution (countering deflation) can only be determined AT THAT TIME.
CBO estimates that our economy is running about $850 billion below its potential, which means a lot of idle capacity and a lot of people not working. Given the deleveraging that households are going through and the unlikelihood that we are going to start to have a positive trade balance, the ONLY way to fill that gap is by the spending of the third sector of the economy, the federal government. Any spending by the federal government that does not fill that gap and fully employ everyone willing and able to work IS AUSTERIY (#1)and it is UNNECESSARY. And just like the Stimulus of 2009, it won't cost you or me a dime.
Given all this, your list should be re-labeled as the ten stupidest things to keep in mind.
"The Devil enters the prompter's box and the play is ready to start" - R. Service
“It’s not tax money. The banks have accounts with the Fed … so, to lend to a bank, we simply use the computer to mark up the size of the account that they have with the Fed. It’s much more akin to printing money.” - B.Bernanke
"Keep your filthy hands off my guns while I decide what you can & can't do with your uterus" - Sarah Silverman
If you meet a magic pony on the road, kill it. - Playwrite
"There have always been people who say: "The war will be over someday." I say there's no guarantee the war will ever be over. Naturally a brief intermission is conceivable. Maybe the war needs a breather, a war can even break its neck, so to speak. But the kings and emperors, not to mention the pope, will always come to its help in adversity. ON the whole, I'd say this war has very little to worry about, it'll live to a ripe old age."
The whole modern world has divided itself into Conservatives and Progressives. The business of Progressives is to go on making mistakes. The business of the Conservatives is to prevent the mistakes from being corrected. - G.K. Chesterton
In order:
- So far there is no austerity, but no anti-austerity either. As bad as the economy is right now, that qualifies as austerity.
- The deregulation steamroller goes all the way back to Jimmy Carter. Nothing was worse than Clinton signing Gramm-Leach-Bliley, except for its being passed in the first place. Then there is energy ...
- This was overly long by one word.
- This is true.
- Likewise, this is true
- The only issue that applies here is REAL healthcare reform, which was stimied by Blue Dogs and Republicans. Therre is no other fix, unless we're willing to let people die on the steps of the hospital.
- Taxing the rich will close the deficit gap, because it will change behavior. It won't happen immediately though.
- The housing bubble was due to reckless lending in the private sector, and was compounded by creative refiinacing. I can't lame government for most of this, but see item 2 for a reason to blame them anyway.
- Politicians are dangerous because they have power, but they are not well constrained.
- Without a growth plan, there is no austerity solution. Sorry. Cuttinig most programs will get us nowhere we want to be. On the other hand, some sonsolidatin and scrupulous auditing migh eliminate waste, whisch is good but inadequate.
Last edited by Marx & Lennon; 10-21-2011 at 09:24 AM.
Marx: Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it everywhere, diagnosing it incorrectly and applying the wrong remedies.
Lennon: You either get tired fighting for peace, or you die.