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Thread: The Greatest Cycle-Rebirth Of A Civilization - Page 15







Post#351 at 01-25-2013 01:46 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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01-25-2013, 01:46 PM #351
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Quote Originally Posted by Tim Walker '56 View Post
Charles Kupchan presented a civilizational theory at the end of his book in a chapter entitled "The Rebirth of History." To summarize, as a society changes its way of making a living its organization and source of communal identity change with it. As it does so old institutions become de-ligitamized.#1 Nomadic. Hunter-gatherers. Approximate time-prior to 8000 BC. Organized as bands. Communal identity-animism.#2 Early agriculture. Hunting-gathering plus the beginnings of agriculture. Approximate time 8000-3000 BC. Organization-tribe, chiefdom. Communal identity-nature worship.#3 Agriculture. Approximate time 3000 BC-1700 AD. Organization in the form of kingdoms, coercive state. Communal identity-organized religion.#4 Industrial Capitalism. Approximate time 1700-2000 AD. Organization in the form of republics. Communal identity-nationalism. #5 Digital Capitalism. 2000? Organization? Communal identity?
I suspect that we are transitioning towards a situation analagous to #2, in which much of the old co-exists with novel features. People have tried to compare change to historical periods, but to the extent these features are relevant they may also co-exist with novel features as part of an amalgam..







Post#352 at 01-25-2013 01:52 PM by Eric the Green [at San Jose CA joined Jul 2001 #posts 22,504]
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Quote Originally Posted by TimWalker View Post
I suspect that we are transitioning towards a situation analagous to #2, in which much of the old co-exists with novel features. People have tried to compare change to historical periods, but to the extent these features are relevant they may also co-exist with novel features as part of an amalgam..
#5 Digital Capitalism. 2000? Organization? Communal identity?

Co-ops. The Earth.
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive,

Eric A. Meece







Post#353 at 01-25-2013 02:10 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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************************************************** ************
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 04:29 PM.







Post#354 at 01-25-2013 02:13 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Higher visions of the future thread
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 03:44 PM.







Post#355 at 01-25-2013 02:18 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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01-25-2013, 02:18 PM #355
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The Cycle of Civilization
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 03:32 PM.







Post#356 at 01-28-2013 03:51 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Philosophy, religion, science and turnings thread
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 03:24 PM.







Post#357 at 01-28-2013 03:57 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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One guess-the new Modern Epoch may (as described by historians in an even more distant Far Future Age) have Early and Late subdivisions. This would be similar to descriptions of earlier ages. If you think about it, the 500 year thing is a long time, even if the over-arching theme(s) still apply through the whole period. There could be substantial change before the epoch expires.







Post#358 at 01-28-2013 04:10 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Renaissance Watch thread
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 03:14 PM.







Post#359 at 01-28-2013 04:19 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Fermi thread
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-30-2013 at 05:32 PM.







Post#360 at 01-28-2013 09:55 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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exotic civilization
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-30-2013 at 05:01 PM.







Post#361 at 01-28-2013 09:59 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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OrionsArm
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-30-2013 at 04:19 PM.







Post#362 at 01-28-2013 10:01 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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future of West thread
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-29-2013 at 10:55 PM.







Post#363 at 01-28-2013 10:16 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Type I thread
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-29-2013 at 10:48 PM.







Post#364 at 01-28-2013 10:40 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Iain Bank'sviews
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-29-2013 at 09:57 PM.







Post#365 at 01-28-2013 11:19 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Civilization V .
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-29-2013 at 09:49 PM.







Post#366 at 01-31-2013 04:30 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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80 and 400 year cycles identified in Russia-scroll down
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 10:33 PM.







Post#367 at 01-31-2013 08:51 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Neo-cubists
Last edited by TimWalker; 01-31-2013 at 09:33 PM.







Post#368 at 02-01-2013 03:03 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Sorokin indicated that cubist type art is the last expression of Sensate (secular) art. It expresses the idea of an object, rather than trying to be realistic. Of course, "Neo"-cubism comes some time after Picasso. So...could society be stuck in a sort of holding pattern?







Post#369 at 02-01-2013 03:29 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Could society get stuck-perhaps with minor changes-but lacking dramatic change that would lead to a distinctive new era?







Post#370 at 02-12-2013 08:53 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Sorokin again
Last edited by TimWalker; 02-12-2013 at 09:05 PM.







Post#371 at 02-12-2013 10:22 PM by Eric the Green [at San Jose CA joined Jul 2001 #posts 22,504]
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Very good author, it appears, with a broad and balanced view and impressive research behind it. I was struck with this phrase which seems to apply to the "post-modern" outlook:

"The third type of sensate culture Sorokin calls "cynical" and involves the sensate mentality in an advanced state of nihilistic decadence, where the sensate ethos itself undermines its own claims to truth, and produces insincere hedonists and social climbers without conviction or redeeming merit."

The sensate vs ideational outlook certainly describes the up and down axis on the philosophy wheel, spiritualist vs. materialist, and his point is well taken on how thoroughly the world view predominant in a culture determines the activities and interests of the people in it.
"I close my eyes, and I can see a better day" -- Justin Bieber

Keep the spirit alive,

Eric A. Meece







Post#372 at 02-13-2013 01:51 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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I have been trying to figure out where we are going in terms of world views. Check out the table. Consider the Greaco-Roman transitional period. So...will the next couple centuries be a "mixed" period with several different world views co-existing?







Post#373 at 02-13-2013 02:01 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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If the core Cultural Creatives gel as an Idealistic group, then we would have three different world views co-existing...the new Idealism with an old Christian Ideational remnant and a cynical Sensate phase.







Post#374 at 02-13-2013 02:10 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Like the Hellenistic Age, you could get several different spiritual currents...
Last edited by TimWalker; 02-13-2013 at 02:26 PM.







Post#375 at 02-13-2013 02:12 PM by TimWalker [at joined May 2007 #posts 6,368]
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Society would not be well integrated, but it might be an interesting time.
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