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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 9-Apr-06
Maoist rebels bringing chaos to Nepal and the entire region

Web Log - April, 2006

Maoist rebels bringing chaos to Nepal and the entire region

Nepal orders all-day curfew in Kathmandu for second day in order to prevent more protests demanding that King Gyanendra step down. The massive protests are led by Maoist rebels. The Maoist insurgency began in 1995 when the Nepal Communist Party left the government and started a rural rebellion.

Nepal

Nepal

What's a Maoist rebel? That's a good question, with Mao Zedong long gone. Even China isn't Maoist these days, so it's hard to see what a Maoist is, and anyway, China is supporting the King, not the rebels.

Nepal is a small, landlocked central Asian country in the midst of the Himalayan mountains. It's nestled right between China and India, and that fact reveals the strategic importance of Nepal and the current rebellion.

Nepal's royal family before being killed in 2001 <font size=-2>(Source: BBC)</font>

Nepal's royal family before being killed in 2001 (Source: BBC)

The country of Nepal isn't exactly on the radar of most Americans, but if you have a long memory, then you may remember when Nepal was headline news even here. In 2001, Crown Prince Dipendra got drunk at a party and gunned down the entire royal family, and then killed himself.

Devyani Rana, Crown Prince Dipendra's girlfriend. <font size=-2>(Source: BBC)</font>

Devyani Rana, Crown Prince Dipendra's girlfriend. (Source: BBC)

Dipendra's motive turned out to be that he had wanted to marry his girlfriend, Devyani Rana, but his parents had refused.

Anyway, Prince Gyanendra was soon crowned the new King of Nepal, and this apparently triggered a renewal of the Maoist insurgency. By 2005, the violence had increased to the point that King Gyanendra took dictatorial control of Nepal, and that a major issue in today's anti-King demonstrations.

See what can happen when a Crown Prince falls in love with the wrong girl?

More important though is that the Naxal terrorists, as the Maoist rebels are called, are linking up with the People's War Group in India, also Maoist rebels.

What ties them together, besides the name "Maoist," is that the rebels are mostly from lower castes in both countries, including the "untouchable" Dalits in India.

This has led to increased instability in Nepal and India, which China is taking advantage of in order to gain influence in the region at India's expense.

Generational Dynamics predicts that we're heading for a "clash of civilizations" world war. Although this is commonly thought of as a war between countries in the Muslim civilization and the West, there are many possible scenarios. Another component will certainly be something like a war in the Pacific involving China against Taiwan, Japan and America. India will be an ally of America and the West, if only because of its long-standing relationship with Great Britain as an English colony.

The rise of Maoist violent -- the Naxal group in Nepal and the People's War Group in India -- will play a part leading up to that war. (9-Apr-06) Permanent Link
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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 9-Apr-06 Maoist rebels bringing chaos to Nepal and the entire region

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Generational Dynamics Web Log for 9-Apr-06
Maoist rebels bringing chaos to Nepal and the entire region